Wednesday , 30 September 2026

US Cremonese vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
Sat 6 May 2023 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Giovanni Zini HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Cremonese vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at Stadio Giovanni Zini.

Match Details

  • Referee Paolo Valeri
  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Marco Piccinini
  • Referee Stefano Del Giovane
  • Referee Salvatore Longo
  • Referee Damiano Di Iorio

Head-to-Head

4
2
US Cremonese 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Spezia Calcio H 2–0 W
03 May AC Milan A 1–1 D
30 Apr Hellas Verona FC H 1–1 D
23 Apr Udinese Calcio A 0–3 L
14 Apr Empoli FC H 1–0 W
08 Apr UC Sampdoria A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May US Cremonese A 0–2 L
03 May Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
28 Apr AC Monza H 0–2 L
22 Apr UC Sampdoria A 1–1 D
14 Apr SS Lazio H 0–3 L
08 Apr ACF Fiorentina A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Spezia Calcio get us underway at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both US Cremonese and Spezia Calcio are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Pablo Galdames suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. US Cremonese and Spezia Calcio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' It looks surprising US Cremonese does not make any changes. Eldor Shomurodov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' Spezia Calcio are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 41' Daniel Ciofani adds to his 0 season tally! US Cremonese lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 46' US Cremonese are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Spezia Calcio's shape.
  • 51' Przemyslaw Wisniewski has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 228 appearances.
  • 54' M'Bala Nzola gets the nod from Spezia Calcio. He replaces Mehdi Bourabia and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 59' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His US Cremonese side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 61' The whistle greets Emanuel Gyasi as he departs to be replaced by Daniele Verde.
  • 66' Marco Benassi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Michele Castagnetti at the 66 minute mark.
  • 67' Vlad Chiriches is ready to make an impact after coming on for Pablo Galdames at the 67 minute mark.
  • 72' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 76' Poor challenge from Kevin Agudelo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 77' GOAL! Johan Vasquez fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 79' Another substitution for Spezia Calcio to replace Salvatore Esposito by Viktor Kovalenko on 79 minute.
  • 80' Spezia Calcio player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 85' US Cremonese are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Spezia Calcio backline.
  • 88' Daniel Ciofani makes way for Felix Afena-Gyan at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from US Cremonese.
  • 90' A tactical swap from US Cremonese — Cristian Buonaiuto on, David Okereke off on 90 minutes.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. US Cremonese take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58 US Cremonese xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Cremonese54% Draw26% Spezia Calcio20%
Actual: US Cremonese win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

US Cremonese or Draw
80%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
46%
US Cremonese or Spezia Calcio
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Cremonese36% Draw48% Spezia Calcio16%
Actual: US Cremonese win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — US Cremonese

Handicap US Cremonese covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

US Cremonese keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.