AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Filippo Valeriani
- Referee Daniele Chiffi
- Referee Antonio Giua
- Referee Valerio Marini
- Referee Oreste Muto
- Referee Gaetano Massara (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | US Lecce | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | SSC Napoli | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Apr | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | SSC Napoli | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Empoli FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | SSC Napoli | A | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | AC Milan | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Apr | UC Sampdoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | SSC Napoli | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Empoli FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Torino FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #12 |
| 11 | Points | 6 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 3 / 2 / 0 | W / D / L | 2 / 0 / 3 |
| 10 | Scored | 5 |
| 4 | Conceded | 10 |
| +6 | GD | -5 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 60% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
20%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). US Lecce are 12th (6 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Lecce
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. US Lecce kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Pierre Kalulu is a natural centre-back and has been asked to do a very specific job for US Lecce tonight.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Simone Romagnoli suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rade Krunic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for US Lecce.
- 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 27' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Malick Thiaw.
- 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 37' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and US Lecce are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 40' GOAL! Rafael Leao scores on 40. Assisted by Sandro Tonali
- 45' Gabriel Strefezza has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 50' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 55' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 59' Alexis Saelemaekers is ready to make an impact after coming on for Junior Messias at the 59 minute mark.
- 60' AC Milan make a change. Malick Thiaw trudges off to be replaced by Simon Kjaer on 60 minutes.
- 65' US Lecce make a change. Federico Di Francesco trudges off to be replaced by Gabriel Strefezza on 65 minutes.
- 66' The US Lecce bench stirs into life. Assan Ceesay is withdrawn and Joel Persson gets his opportunity.
- 71' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 75' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rafael Leao makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 76' Time for substitution for US Lecce. Alexis Blin is replaced by Joan Gonzalez.
- 78' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Brahim Diaz is replaced by Charles De Ketelaere.
- 79' AC Milan ring the changes. Brahim Diaz has done his job and it is now time for Charles De Ketelaere to step up.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Youssef Maleh. He replaces Lameck Banda on 80 minute.
- 85' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 90' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 90 minutes.
- It finishes all square. AC Milan and US Lecce share the spoils 2-0.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 16
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Divock Origi 78'
- 12
- 19
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Ismael Bennacer 59'
- 33
- 20
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↓ Simon Kjaer 59'
- 30
Bench
-
27
Divock Origi ↑ 78'
- 7
- 5
- 1
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↑ 59'
- 25
- 83
- 14
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 59'
- 11
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 59'
- 40
- 46
-
90
Charles De Ketelaere ↑ 78'
Coach
Stefano Pioli
US Lecce Lineups
Starting XI
-
29
Alexis Blin ↓ Joan Gonzalez 76'
- 28
- 93
- 11
- 25
-
77
Assan Ceesay ↓ Joel Persson 65'
- 42
- 17
-
22
Lameck Banda ↓ Youssef Maleh 79'
- 30
- 6
Bench
- 21
- 13
- 97
-
4
Simone Romagnoli ↑ 80'
- 18
- 1
- 7
-
32
Youssef Maleh ↑ 79'
-
27
Gabriel Strefezza ↑ 65'
-
16
Joan Gonzalez ↑ 76'
- 14
-
31
Joel Persson ↑ 65'
- 84
Coach
Marco Baroni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Alexis Blin | 1 |
| Adrien Rabiot | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.52
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.51
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 76% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
92%
Draw or US Lecce
24%
AC Milan or US Lecce
84%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
12.4%
1 – 0
12.2%
4 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6.2%
4 – 1
4.1%
5 – 0
3.9%
5 – 1
2.2%
0 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -2 | 35% | 23% | 42% |
| -1.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| -1 | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| -0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +0.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +1 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
60%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.