AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Filippo Valeriani
- Referee Daniele Chiffi
- Referee Antonio Giua
- Referee Valerio Marini
- Referee Oreste Muto
- Referee Gaetano Massara (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | US Lecce | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | SSC Napoli | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Apr | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | SSC Napoli | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Empoli FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | SSC Napoli | A | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | AC Milan | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Apr | UC Sampdoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | SSC Napoli | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Empoli FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Torino FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #17 |
| 70 | Points | 38 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 20 |
| 53 | Scored | 28 |
| 35 | Conceded | 50 |
| +18 | GD | -22 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 53% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). US Lecce are 17th (38 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at San Siro. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' US Lecce is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Federico Baschirotto has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their trying to find a way past US Lecce's compact .
- 20' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 27' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Malick Thiaw on 27 minutes.
- 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 37' Rade Krunic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 41 cards already picked up this season.
- 40' A stunning finish from Rafael Leao — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 45' US Lecce are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 50' AC Milan are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against US Lecce's shape.
- 55' The 26-year-old Brahim Diaz has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
- 59' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alexis Saelemaekers is hanging Junior Messias on the field on 59 minute.
- 60' Another change for AC Milan made on 60 minute. Malick Thiaw leaves to be changed by Simon Kjaer.
- 65' Fresh legs for US Lecce! Gabriel Strefezza comes on to replace Federico Di Francesco.
- 66' Another substitution for US Lecce to replace Assan Ceesay by Joel Persson on 66 minute.
- 71' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 75' A stunning finish from Rafael Leao — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 76' A change in the US Lecce ranks — Alexis Blin exits the field as Joan Gonzalez enters on 76.
- 78' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Brahim Diaz is withdrawn and Charles De Ketelaere gets his opportunity.
- 79' Charles De Ketelaere is replacing Brahim Diaz for the AC Milan side.
- 80' Youssef Maleh is replacing Lameck Banda for the US Lecce side.
- 85' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Remi Oudin made 420 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 90' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for AC Milan and US Lecce (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 16
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Divock Origi 78'
- 12
- 19
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Ismael Bennacer 59'
- 33
- 20
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↓ Simon Kjaer 59'
- 30
Bench
-
27
Divock Origi ↑ 78'
- 7
- 5
- 1
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↑ 59'
- 25
- 83
- 14
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 59'
- 11
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 59'
- 40
- 46
-
90
Charles De Ketelaere ↑ 78'
Coach
Stefano Pioli
US Lecce Lineups
Starting XI
-
29
Alexis Blin ↓ Joan Gonzalez 76'
- 28
- 93
- 11
- 25
-
77
Assan Ceesay ↓ Joel Persson 65'
- 42
- 17
-
22
Lameck Banda ↓ Youssef Maleh 79'
- 30
- 6
Bench
- 21
- 13
- 97
-
4
Simone Romagnoli ↑ 80'
- 18
- 1
- 7
-
32
Youssef Maleh ↑ 79'
-
27
Gabriel Strefezza ↑ 65'
-
16
Joan Gonzalez ↑ 76'
- 14
-
31
Joel Persson ↑ 65'
- 84
Coach
Marco Baroni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Khouma Babacar | 1 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.52
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
89%
Draw or US Lecce
33%
AC Milan or US Lecce
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
17.1%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 1
9.8%
3 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
2.3%
1 – 2
2.2%
2 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 21% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 27% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
60%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.