AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Filippo Valeriani
- Referee Daniele Chiffi
- Referee Antonio Giua
- Referee Valerio Marini
- Referee Oreste Muto
- Referee Gaetano Massara (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | US Lecce | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | SSC Napoli | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Apr | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | SSC Napoli | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Empoli FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | SSC Napoli | A | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | AC Milan | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Apr | UC Sampdoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | SSC Napoli | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Empoli FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Torino FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #14 |
| 24 | Points | 10 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 7 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 7 |
| 23 | Scored | 12 |
| 13 | Conceded | 22 |
| +10 | GD | -10 |
| 2.18 | PPG | 0.91 |
| 64% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
18%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). US Lecce are 14th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Lecce
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/8
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/5
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 2 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | 1 A |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. AC Milan kicks off things out of here…
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with AC Milan winning 100% of all matches.
- 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' US Lecce are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Brahim Diaz needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 27' A moment of madness from Malick Thiaw on 27 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 32' Over 32 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 37' It looks surprising US Lecce does not make any changes. Simone Romagnoli has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 40' Rafael Leao does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
- 45' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 50' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wladimiro Falcone suffering a number of foals already.
- 59' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Junior Messias is replaced by Alexis Saelemaekers on 59 minute.
- 60' Another change for AC Milan made on 60 minute. Malick Thiaw leaves to be changed by Simon Kjaer.
- 65' Another change for US Lecce made on 65 minute. Federico Di Francesco leaves to be changed by Gabriel Strefezza.
- 66' Joel Persson gets the nod from US Lecce. He replaces Assan Ceesay and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' US Lecce come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 75' Rafael Leao with the second goal in the match!
- 76' The US Lecce bench stirs into life. Alexis Blin is withdrawn and Joan Gonzalez gets his opportunity.
- 78' Charles De Ketelaere gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Brahim Diaz and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' Brahim Diaz makes way for Charles De Ketelaere at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 80' The US Lecce manager makes a substitution. Lameck Banda departs to be replaced by Youssef Maleh.
- 85' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 90' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- AC Milan celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 16
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Divock Origi 78'
- 12
- 19
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Ismael Bennacer 59'
- 33
- 20
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↓ Simon Kjaer 59'
- 30
Bench
-
27
Divock Origi ↑ 78'
- 7
- 5
- 1
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↑ 59'
- 25
- 83
- 14
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 59'
- 11
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 59'
- 40
- 46
-
90
Charles De Ketelaere ↑ 78'
Coach
Stefano Pioli
US Lecce Lineups
Starting XI
-
29
Alexis Blin ↓ Joan Gonzalez 76'
- 28
- 93
- 11
- 25
-
77
Assan Ceesay ↓ Joel Persson 65'
- 42
- 17
-
22
Lameck Banda ↓ Youssef Maleh 79'
- 30
- 6
Bench
- 21
- 13
- 97
-
4
Simone Romagnoli ↑ 80'
- 18
- 1
- 7
-
32
Youssef Maleh ↑ 79'
-
27
Gabriel Strefezza ↑ 65'
-
16
Joan Gonzalez ↑ 76'
- 14
-
31
Joel Persson ↑ 65'
- 84
Coach
Marco Baroni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Alexis Blin | 1 |
| Adrien Rabiot | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.48
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 73% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
91%
Draw or US Lecce
27%
AC Milan or US Lecce
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
10.7%
1 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
7%
4 – 0
6.6%
0 – 0
5.8%
4 – 1
4.4%
5 – 0
3.3%
2 – 2
2.7%
0 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -2 | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| -1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| -1 | 54% | 22% | 24% |
| -0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +0.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
53%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.