AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Filippo Valeriani
- Referee Daniele Chiffi
- Referee Antonio Giua
- Referee Valerio Marini
- Referee Oreste Muto
- Referee Gaetano Massara (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 2 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 3 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Internazionale Milano | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SSC Napoli | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Juventus FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atalanta BC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Bologna FC 1909 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | SS Lazio | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Torino FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Cagliari Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | ACF Fiorentina | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | US Lecce | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | AC Monza | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Venezia FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Frosinone Calcio | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | US Lecce | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | SSC Napoli | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Apr | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | SSC Napoli | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Empoli FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | SSC Napoli | A | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | AC Milan | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Apr | UC Sampdoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | SSC Napoli | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Empoli FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | Torino FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #20 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Played | 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 0 | Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| – | PPG | – |
| – | Win % | – |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). US Lecce are 20th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AC Milan launch into their encounter with US Lecce.
- 5' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joel Persson made 190 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' Federico Baschirotto needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 27' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 32' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 37' Simone Romagnoli, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 40' The Portugal Rafael Leao breaks the deadlock on 40 minutes. 1-0!
- 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 59' The whistle greets Junior Messias as he departs to be replaced by Alexis Saelemaekers.
- 60' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Malick Thiaw exits the field as Simon Kjaer enters on 60.
- 65' US Lecce manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gabriel Strefezza is hanging Federico Di Francesco on the field on 65 minute.
- 66' US Lecce manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joel Persson is hanging Assan Ceesay on the field on 66 minute.
- 71' With 0 assists to his name this season, Theo Hernandez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for US Lecce.
- 75' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Rafael Leao makes it 2-0.
- 76' A change in the US Lecce ranks — Alexis Blin exits the field as Joan Gonzalez enters on 76.
- 78' Charles De Ketelaere has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brahim Diaz on 78 minute.
- 79' Charles De Ketelaere is replacing Brahim Diaz for the AC Milan side.
- 80' US Lecce ring the changes. Lameck Banda has done his job and it is now time for Youssef Maleh to step up.
- 85' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 90' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 16
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Divock Origi 78'
- 12
- 19
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Ismael Bennacer 59'
- 33
- 20
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↓ Simon Kjaer 59'
- 30
Bench
-
27
Divock Origi ↑ 78'
- 7
- 5
- 1
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↑ 59'
- 25
- 83
- 14
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 59'
- 11
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 59'
- 40
- 46
-
90
Charles De Ketelaere ↑ 78'
Coach
Stefano Pioli
US Lecce Lineups
Starting XI
-
29
Alexis Blin ↓ Joan Gonzalez 76'
- 28
- 93
- 11
- 25
-
77
Assan Ceesay ↓ Joel Persson 65'
- 42
- 17
-
22
Lameck Banda ↓ Youssef Maleh 79'
- 30
- 6
Bench
- 21
- 13
- 97
-
4
Simone Romagnoli ↑ 80'
- 18
- 1
- 7
-
32
Youssef Maleh ↑ 79'
-
27
Gabriel Strefezza ↑ 65'
-
16
Joan Gonzalez ↑ 76'
- 14
-
31
Joel Persson ↑ 65'
- 84
Coach
Marco Baroni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 1 |
| Marco Calderoni | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 87% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.23
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 1.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 2.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 3.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
| ± 4.5 | 1% |
|
99% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
89%
Draw or US Lecce
46%
AC Milan or US Lecce
65%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
31.9%
1 – 0
25.8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 1
1.4%
1 – 2
1.2%
0 – 2
1.1%
4 – 0
0.8%
2 – 2
0.7%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 13% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 30% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 8% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
74%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.