Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs FC Internazionale Milano, Champions League 2022-23 SEMI FINALS

Wed 10 May 2023 · 19:00 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs FC Internazionale MilanoChampions League at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez
  • Referee Juan Martinez
  • Referee Diego Barbero
  • Referee Jose Sanchez
  • Referee Jesus Gil
  • Referee Angel Nevado

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
06 May SS Lazio H 2–0 W
03 May US Cremonese H 1–1 D
29 Apr AS Roma A 1–1 D
23 Apr US Lecce H 2–0 W
18 Apr SSC Napoli A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May AC Milan A 2–0 W
06 May AS Roma A 2–0 W
03 May Hellas Verona FC A 6–0 W
30 Apr SS Lazio H 3–1 W
23 Apr Empoli FC A 3–0 W
19 Apr Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 3–3 D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
FC Internazionale Milano this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at San Siro as AC Milan face off against FC Internazionale Milano in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their trying to find a way past FC Internazionale Milano's compact .
  • 8' What a strike from Edin Dzeko! The score is 0-1.
  • 11' A goal from the Armenia international Henrikh Mkhitaryan! He fires home on 11 to make it 0-2!
  • 16' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 18' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Junior Messias comes on to replace Ismael Bennacer.
  • 23' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 28' The energy levels are beginning to show. Stefano Pioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 31' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Simon Kjaer.
  • 36' Hakan Calhanoglu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 41' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rade Krunic on 45.
  • 50' The 39-year-old Olivier Giroud has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 59' Another change for AC Milan made on 59 minute. Simon Kjaer leaves to be changed by Malick Thiaw.
  • 60' Divock Origi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alexis Saelemaekers on 60 minute.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Marcelo Brozovic. He replaces Henrikh Mkhitaryan on 63 minute.
  • 64' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Fikayo Tomori gets a Yellow card.
  • 69' FC Internazionale Milano started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
  • 70' The FC Internazionale Milano manager makes a substitution. Edin Dzeko departs to be replaced by Romelu Lukaku.
  • 71' Another change for FC Internazionale Milano made on 71 minute. Federico Dimarco leaves to be changed by Stefan de Vrij.
  • 76' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 78' Roberto Gagliardini has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hakan Calhanoglu on 78 minute.
  • 82' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Davide Calabria departs to be replaced by Pierre Kalulu.
  • 87' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Internazionale Milano to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 FC Internazionale Milano xG
I would bet for: FC Internazionale Milano or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan28% Draw29% FC Internazionale Milano43%
Actual: FC Internazionale Milano win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
58%
Draw or FC Internazionale Milano
72%
AC Milan or FC Internazionale Milano
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan20% Draw48% FC Internazionale Milano32%
Actual: FC Internazionale Milano win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
10.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push FC Internazionale Milano covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 22% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
24%
FC Internazionale Milano keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.