AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at San Siro.
- AC Milan 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Spezia Calcio 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Maurizio Mariani
- Referee Luca Banti
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Referee Valerio Marini
- Referee Antonio Vono
- Referee Davide Miele
- Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
7 games this season
🟨 3.7/game
⚽ 11.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | Spezia Calcio | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | FC Red Bull Salzburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | A | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | AC Monza | H | 4–1 | W |
| 16 Oct | Hellas Verona FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | AC Milan | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Oct | ACF Fiorentina | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | US Salernitana 1919 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | US Cremonese | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Oct | AC Monza | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | SS Lazio | A | 0–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at San Siro. AC Milan are looking to make home advantage count against Spezia Calcio.
- 5' Rade Krunic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their trying to find a way past Spezia Calcio's compact .
- 15' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 21' A stunning finish from Theo Hernandez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 26' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 36' Spezia Calcio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' Ismael Bennacer is having his name booked by the referee on 40.
- 41' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Ismael Bennacer will be fuming at that decision.
- 46' The whistle greets Ismael Bennacer as he departs to be replaced by Sandro Tonali.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 54' Another change for Spezia Calcio made on 54 minute. Kelvin Amian Adou leaves to be changed by Arkadiusz Reca.
- 59' The deadlock is broken! Daniel Maldini gets on the scoresheet on 59 minutes.
- 63' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Junior Messias on 63 minutes.
- 65' Sandro Tonali is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the midfielder.
- 68' The Spezia Calcio bench stirs into life. Daniel Maldini is withdrawn and Daniele Verde gets his opportunity.
- 69' It is a substitution in Spezia Calcio team. Mehdi Bourabia is replaced by Mikael Egill Ellertsson on 69 minute.
- 72' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Junior Messias is replaced by Ante Rebic.
- 74' Ethan Ampadu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 74.
- 79' Rafael Leao is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
- 80' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Mikael Egill Ellertsson.
- 83' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Olivier Giroud.
- 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Theo Hernandez.
- 89' Against the run of play, Olivier Giroud has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 89' Poor challenge from Mattia Caldara. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 90' Spezia Calcio ring the changes. Albin Ekdal has done his job and it is now time for David Strelec to step up.
- 90' Poor challenge from Olivier Giroud. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Red card.
- Full Time. AC Milan beats Spezia Calcio
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
27
Divock Origi ↓ Olivier Giroud 72'
- 10
- 23
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Malick Thiaw 90'
- 1
- 19
- 33
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Sandro Tonali 46'
- 46
- 20
-
30
Junior Messias ↓ Ante Rebic 72'
Bench
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↑ 72'
- 7
- 5
-
12
Ante Rebic ↑ 72'
- 24
- 83
- 14
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↑ 46'
- 40
-
90
Charles De Ketelaere ↑ 72'
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↑ 90'
- 32
- 96
Coach
Stefano Pioli
Spezia Calcio Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 27
- 29
- 69
-
8
Albin Ekdal ↓ David Strelec 90'
- 6
-
33
Kevin Agudelo ↓ Petko Hristov 68'
-
30
Daniel Maldini ↓ Daniele Verde 68'
- 2
- 18
- 14
Bench
- 1
- 39
-
13
Arkadiusz Reca ↑ 54'
-
15
Petko Hristov ↑ 68'
- 7
-
10
Daniele Verde ↑ 68'
-
44
David Strelec ↑ 90'
- 89
- 31
- 21
- 40
-
28
Mikael Egill Ellertsson ↑ 69'
- 16
Coach
Luca Gotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Daniel Maldini | 1 |
| Salvatore Esposito | 1 |
| Giulio Maggiore | 1 |
| Przemyslaw Wisniewski | 1 |
| Simone Bastoni | 1 |
| Brahim Diaz | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
83%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
41%
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
3 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
2.8%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Spezia Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.