AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at San Siro.
- AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Spezia Calcio 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Maurizio Mariani
- Referee Luca Banti
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Referee Valerio Marini
- Referee Antonio Vono
- Referee Davide Miele
- Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
5 games this season
🟨 4.6/game
⚽ 12.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | Spezia Calcio | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | FC Red Bull Salzburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | A | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | AC Monza | H | 4–1 | W |
| 16 Oct | Hellas Verona FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | AC Milan | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Oct | ACF Fiorentina | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | US Salernitana 1919 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | US Cremonese | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Oct | AC Monza | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | SS Lazio | A | 0–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at San Siro. Ninety minutes of football awaits between AC Milan and Spezia Calcio.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bartlomiej Dragowski, as he is very good at scoring at San Siro with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' Spezia Calcio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' Kevin Agudelo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' It’s high time Stefano Pioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 21' Theo Hernandez makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and AC Milan are in front.
- 26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 31' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Spezia Calcio backline.
- 36' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Spezia Calcio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 40' Ismael Bennacer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 40.
- 41' The referee has no hesitation. Ismael Bennacer is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 41.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Sandro Tonali. He replaces Ismael Bennacer on 46 minute.
- 51' Spezia Calcio started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 54' Arkadiusz Reca is replacing Kelvin Amian Adou for the Spezia Calcio side.
- 59' Magnificent from Daniel Maldini! That is 17 goals in 521 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 63' Junior Messias was booked on 63.
- 65' What a strike from Sandro Tonali! The score is 2-1.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Daniele Verde. He replaces Daniel Maldini on 68 minute.
- 69' The crowd applauds Mehdi Bourabia as he leaves the pitch. Mikael Egill Ellertsson steps in for Spezia Calcio.
- 72' Ante Rebic is replacing Junior Messias for the AC Milan side.
- 74' The referee has no hesitation. Ethan Ampadu is booked for Spezia Calcio — Yellow card on 74.
- 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 80' Spezia Calcio player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 83' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Olivier Giroud on 83 minutes.
- 84' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Theo Hernandez will be fuming at that decision.
- 89' What composure from Olivier Giroud! The France international strokes it home. 3-1.
- 89' Mattia Caldara has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 89.
- 90' Time for substitution for Spezia Calcio. Albin Ekdal is replaced by David Strelec.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Olivier Giroud is booked for AC Milan — Red card on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Spezia Calcio.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
27
Divock Origi ↓ Olivier Giroud 72'
- 10
- 23
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Malick Thiaw 90'
- 1
- 19
- 33
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Sandro Tonali 46'
- 46
- 20
-
30
Junior Messias ↓ Ante Rebic 72'
Bench
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↑ 72'
- 7
- 5
-
12
Ante Rebic ↑ 72'
- 24
- 83
- 14
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↑ 46'
- 40
-
90
Charles De Ketelaere ↑ 72'
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↑ 90'
- 32
- 96
Coach
Stefano Pioli
Spezia Calcio Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 27
- 29
- 69
-
8
Albin Ekdal ↓ David Strelec 90'
- 6
-
33
Kevin Agudelo ↓ Petko Hristov 68'
-
30
Daniel Maldini ↓ Daniele Verde 68'
- 2
- 18
- 14
Bench
- 1
- 39
-
13
Arkadiusz Reca ↑ 54'
-
15
Petko Hristov ↑ 68'
- 7
-
10
Daniele Verde ↑ 68'
-
44
David Strelec ↑ 90'
- 89
- 31
- 21
- 40
-
28
Mikael Egill Ellertsson ↑ 69'
- 16
Coach
Luca Gotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 1 |
| Sandro Tonali | 1 |
| Daniel Maldini | 1 |
| Salvatore Esposito | 1 |
| Giulio Maggiore | 1 |
| Przemyslaw Wisniewski | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
83%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
41%
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
3 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
2.8%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Spezia Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

