AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at San Siro.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- Spezia Calcio 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Maurizio Mariani
- Referee Luca Banti
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Referee Valerio Marini
- Referee Antonio Vono
- Referee Davide Miele
- Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
14 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 4.4 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | Spezia Calcio | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | FC Red Bull Salzburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | A | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | AC Monza | H | 4–1 | W |
| 16 Oct | Hellas Verona FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | AC Milan | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Oct | ACF Fiorentina | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | US Salernitana 1919 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | US Cremonese | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Oct | AC Monza | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | SS Lazio | A | 0–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, Spezia Calcio does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' It’s high time Stefano Pioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Rafael Leao has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 21' Goal! Theo Hernandez scores his 38 goal in 348 matches.
- 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for M'Bala Nzola suffering a number of foals already.
- 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ethan Ampadu made 409 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ismael Bennacer.
- 41' The referee calls foul for Ismael Bennacer. He receives a Yellow card.
- 46' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sandro Tonali is hanging Ismael Bennacer on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' The travelling Spezia Calcio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 54' Another substitution for Spezia Calcio to replace Kelvin Amian Adou by Arkadiusz Reca on 54 minute.
- 59' Goal! Daniel Maldini scores his 14 goal in 515 matches.
- 63' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 65' AC Milan is taking the lead after the goal scored by Sandro Tonali on 65.
- 68' Daniele Verde has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel Maldini on 68 minute.
- 69' The whistle greets Mehdi Bourabia as he departs to be replaced by Mikael Egill Ellertsson.
- 72' Another change for AC Milan made on 72 minute. Junior Messias leaves to be changed by Ante Rebic.
- 74' Spezia Calcio player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 79' Mikael Egill Ellertsson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 80' The referee calls foul for Mikael Egill Ellertsson. He receives a Yellow card.
- 83' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 83.
- 84' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 89' GOAL! Olivier Giroud scores on 89.
- 89' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Mattia Caldara.
- 90' David Strelec has so much to prove this time. He replaces Albin Ekdal on 90 minute.
- 90' Olivier Giroud was booked on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
27
Divock Origi ↓ Olivier Giroud 72'
- 10
- 23
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Malick Thiaw 90'
- 1
- 19
- 33
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Sandro Tonali 46'
- 46
- 20
-
30
Junior Messias ↓ Ante Rebic 72'
Bench
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↑ 72'
- 7
- 5
-
12
Ante Rebic ↑ 72'
- 24
- 83
- 14
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↑ 46'
- 40
-
90
Charles De Ketelaere ↑ 72'
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↑ 90'
- 32
- 96
Coach
Stefano Pioli
Spezia Calcio Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 27
- 29
- 69
-
8
Albin Ekdal ↓ David Strelec 90'
- 6
-
33
Kevin Agudelo ↓ Petko Hristov 68'
-
30
Daniel Maldini ↓ Daniele Verde 68'
- 2
- 18
- 14
Bench
- 1
- 39
-
13
Arkadiusz Reca ↑ 54'
-
15
Petko Hristov ↑ 68'
- 7
-
10
Daniele Verde ↑ 68'
-
44
David Strelec ↑ 90'
- 89
- 31
- 21
- 40
-
28
Mikael Egill Ellertsson ↑ 69'
- 16
Coach
Luca Gotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 1 |
| Sandro Tonali | 1 |
| Daniel Maldini | 1 |
| Salvatore Esposito | 1 |
| Giulio Maggiore | 1 |
| Przemyslaw Wisniewski | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
83%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
41%
AC Milan or Spezia Calcio
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
3 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
2.8%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Spezia Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.