AC Milan vs SS Lazio, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Referee Filippo Meli
- Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
- Referee Stefano Alassio
- Referee Gianluca Manganiello
- Referee Antonio Rapuano
4 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 15.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | SS Lazio | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 May | US Cremonese | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Apr | AS Roma | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Apr | US Lecce | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | SSC Napoli | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Apr | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | AC Milan | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 May | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Apr | Torino FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | Spezia Calcio | A | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Apr | Juventus FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | SS Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #1 |
| 24 | Points | 29 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 7 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 9 / 2 / 0 |
| 23 | Scored | 25 |
| 13 | Conceded | 9 |
| +10 | GD | +16 |
| 2.18 | PPG | 2.64 |
| 64% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
36%
Clean Sheets
SS Lazio this season
SS Lazio this season
AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). SS Lazio are 1st (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SS Lazio
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
5/2
61-75
3/2
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
SS Lazio
| Tijjani Noslin | 4 G | 4 A |
| Gustav Isaksen | 4 G | 1 A |
| Davide Frattesi | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, SS Lazio does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 11' Another change for AC Milan made on 11 minute. Rafael Leao leaves to be changed by Alexis Saelemaekers.
- 16' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sergej Milinkovic-Savic suffering a number of foals already.
- 17' Ismael Bennacer doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 20' Alessio Romagnoli is having his name booked by the referee on 20.
- 25' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Adam Marusic.
- 29' The deadlock is broken! Theo Hernandez gets on the scoresheet on 29 minutes.
- 34' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 39' It’s high time Maurizio Sarri made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 42' Davide Calabria has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 42.
- 46' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Davide Calabria departs to be replaced by Pierre Kalulu.
- 51' SS Lazio looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Matteo Cancellieri scoring 1 goals.
- 56' Manuel Lazzari has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adam Marusic on 56 minute.
- 61' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nicolo Casale on 61.
- 66' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and SS Lazio are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 68' A change in the SS Lazio ranks — Sergej Milinkovic-Savic exits the field as Toma Basic enters on 68.
- 69' Time for substitution for SS Lazio. Elseid Hysaj is replaced by Luca Pellegrini.
- 74' SS Lazio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 79' With 0 assists to his name this season, Elseid Hysaj is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SS Lazio.
- 80' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Theo Hernandez is withdrawn and Fode Ballo-Toure gets his opportunity.
- 81' Ciro Immobile makes way for Matteo Cancellieri at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from SS Lazio.
- 86' SS Lazio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 88' The referee calls foul for Luca Pellegrini. He receives a Yellow card.
- 89' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Malick Thiaw will be fuming at that decision.
- The final score is 2-0.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↓ Ante Rebic 69'
- 23
- 16
- 17
- 19
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↓ Malick Thiaw 46'
-
2
Davide Calabria ↓ Pierre Kalulu 46'
- 8
- 33
- 4
- 30
Bench
- 27
- 10
- 7
-
5
Fode Ballo-Toure ↑ 80'
- 1
-
12
Ante Rebic ↑ 69'
- 83
- 14
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 11'
- 40
- 46
- 90
-
20
Pierre Kalulu ↑ 46'
-
28
Malick Thiaw ↑ 46'
- 32
Coach
Stefano Pioli
SS Lazio Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 20
-
23
Elseid Hysaj ↓ Luca Pellegrini 68'
- 13
- 21
-
77
Adam Marusic ↓ Manuel Lazzari 56'
- 17
- 10
- 6
- 94
- 15
Bench
-
88
Toma Basic ↑ 68'
-
3
Luca Pellegrini ↑ 68'
- 26
- 4
- 96
-
29
Manuel Lazzari ↑ 56'
- 1
- 18
- 31
-
11
Matteo Cancellieri ↑ 81'
- 50
-
9
Pedro Rodriguez ↑ 56'
- 34
Coach
Maurizio Sarri
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joaquin Correa | 4 |
| Ciro Immobile | 4 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 2 |
| Luis Alberto | 2 |
| Noah Okafor | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.43
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
SS Lazio xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or SS Lazio 74% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
70%
Draw or SS Lazio
56%
AC Milan or SS Lazio
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | SS Lazio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

