Sunday , 15 November 2026

Atalanta BC vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
Wed 3 May 2023 · 16:00 UTC Gewiss Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Alessandro Costanzo
  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Matteo Passeri
  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello
  • Referee Antonio Giua
  • Referee Livio Marinelli

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Spezia Calcio H 3–2 W
29 Apr Torino FC A 2–1 W
24 Apr AS Roma H 3–1 W
17 Apr ACF Fiorentina A 1–1 D
08 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 0–2 L
01 Apr US Cremonese A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
28 Apr AC Monza H 0–2 L
22 Apr UC Sampdoria A 1–1 D
14 Apr SS Lazio H 0–3 L
08 Apr ACF Fiorentina A 1–1 D
02 Apr US Salernitana 1919 H 1–1 D

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atalanta BC
Nikola Krstovic 7 G 2 A
Ederson 2 G
Giacomo Raspadori 1 G
Lazar Samardzic 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Gewiss Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Atalanta BC and Spezia Calcio.
  • 5' Atalanta BC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 18' Magnificent from Emanuel Gyasi! That is 13 goals in 228 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 23' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Przemyslaw Wisniewski made 228 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 32' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marten de Roon makes it 1-1.
  • 37' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rafael Toloi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Spezia Calcio.
  • 38' That is a Yellow card for Spezia Calcio. Ethan Ampadu will be fuming at that decision.
  • 40' Simone Bastoni has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 40.
  • 45' Atalanta BC is showing some good football. However, Atalanta BC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 48' Davide Zappacosta makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Atalanta BC are in front.
  • 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joakim Maehle suffering a number of foals already.
  • 54' Magnificent from Luis Muriel! That is 93 goals in 427 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 57' The supporters are chanting for Albin Ekdal. He replaces Ethan Ampadu on 57 minute.
  • 62' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 64' Mehdi Bourabia makes no mistake. The score reads 3-2 and Spezia Calcio are in front.
  • 66' The Spezia Calcio manager makes a substitution. Kelvin Amian Adou departs to be replaced by Salvador Ferrer.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Jeremie Boga. He replaces Luis Muriel on 67 minute.
  • 68' Atalanta BC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jose Luis Palomino is hanging Giorgio Scalvini on the field on 68 minute.
  • 73' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atalanta BC and Spezia Calcio are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 75' The referee has no hesitation. Kevin Agudelo is booked for Spezia Calcio — Yellow card on 75.
  • 80' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leonardo Semplici will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 83' The Spezia Calcio manager makes a substitution. Mehdi Bourabia departs to be replaced by Daniele Verde.
  • 88' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 90' Brandon Soppy has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joakim Maehle on 90 minute.
  • 3-2 the final result. Spezia Calcio will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.95 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC55% Draw22% Spezia Calcio23%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
78%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
45%
Atalanta BC or Spezia Calcio
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC37% Draw41% Spezia Calcio22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.2%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 21% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.