Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Roma vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
1 1
Full Time
Sat 29 Apr 2023 · 16:00 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

  • AS Roma 38 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
  • AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Eugenio Abbattista
  • Referee Aleandro Di Paolo
  • Referee Giovanni Baccini
  • Referee Giacomo Camplone
  • Referee Alessio Berti
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr AC Milan H 1–1 D
24 Apr Atalanta BC A 1–3 L
20 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam H 4–1 W
16 Apr Udinese Calcio H 3–0 W
13 Apr Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–1 L
08 Apr Torino FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr AS Roma A 1–1 D
23 Apr US Lecce H 2–0 W
18 Apr SSC Napoli A 1–1 D
15 Apr Bologna FC 1909 A 1–1 D
12 Apr SSC Napoli H 1–0 W
07 Apr Empoli FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

AS Roma AC Milan
#3 Position #5
73 Points 70
38 Played 38
23 / 4 / 11 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
59 Scored 53
31 Conceded 35
+28 GD +18
1.92 PPG 1.84
61% Win % 53%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! AS Roma welcome AC Milan for this crunch clash at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The supporters are chanting for Edoardo Bove. He replaces Marash Kumbulla on 15 minute.
  • 16' The referee calls foul for Fikayo Tomori. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 21' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Alexis Saelemaekers has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 24' Nemanja Matic picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 29' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 34' With 1 assists to his name this season, Pierre Kalulu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 44' Brahim Diaz has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 46' Andrea Belotti makes way for Stephan El Shaarawy at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from AS Roma.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marash Kumbulla made 266 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Brahim Diaz is withdrawn and Alexis Saelemaekers gets his opportunity.
  • 61' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 66' AC Milan have won 600 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 71' AS Roma receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 72' Roger Ibanez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 72.
  • 73' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Ismael Bennacer is withdrawn and Charles De Ketelaere gets his opportunity.
  • 75' The referee has no hesitation. Rade Krunic is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 75.
  • 80' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 84' A moment of madness from Bryan Cristante on 84 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AS Roma will be frustrated.
  • 88' Divock Origi is replacing Olivier Giroud for the AC Milan side.
  • 89' Mohamed Mady Camara is replacing Edoardo Bove for the AS Roma side.
  • 90' Time for substitution for AS Roma. Tammy Abraham is replaced by Ola Solbakken.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: AS Roma or AC Milan 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AS Roma42% Draw29% AC Milan29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
71%
Draw or AC Milan
58%
AS Roma or AC Milan
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma31% Draw48% AC Milan21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
33%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.