Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 31 Jan 2026 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Southampton FCChampionship .

Match Details

  • Referee Farai Hallam (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan Southampton FC H 0–2 L
24 Jan Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
21 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–2 L
17 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–0 D
10 Jan Coventry City FC H 1–0 W
04 Jan Norwich City FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan Stoke City FC A 2–0 W
25 Jan Portsmouth FC A 1–1 D
21 Jan Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W
17 Jan Hull City AFC H 1–2 L
10 Jan Doncaster Rovers FC A 3–2 W
04 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Southampton FC
#17 Position #4
55 Points 80
46 Played 46
15 / 10 / 21 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
51 Scored 82
56 Conceded 56
-5 GD +26
1.20 PPG 1.74
33% Win % 48%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.03 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC29% Draw29% Southampton FC42%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Southampton FC
71%
Stoke City FC or Southampton FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC20% Draw49% Southampton FC31%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
11.1%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
4.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 22% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.