Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Tue 3 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 41' Stuart Armstrong

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Southampton FCChampionship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee James Bell
  • Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
  • Assistant 2 George Byrne

Head-to-Head

2
2
Stoke City FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Southampton FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Southampton FC H 0–1 L
30 Sep Bristol City FC A 3–2 W
24 Sep Hull City AFC H 1–3 L
20 Sep Huddersfield Town AFC A 2–2 D
16 Sep Norwich City FC A 0–1 L
02 Sep Preston North End FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Stoke City FC A 1–0 W
30 Sep Leeds United FC H 3–1 W
23 Sep Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
19 Sep Ipswich Town FC H 0–1 L
15 Sep Leicester City FC H 1–4 L
02 Sep Sunderland AFC A 0–5 L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Southampton FC
#17 Position #4
55 Points 80
46 Played 46
15 / 10 / 21 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
51 Scored 82
56 Conceded 56
-5 GD +26
1.20 PPG 1.74
33% Win % 48%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Bet365 Stadium that hosts another battle between Stoke City FC and Southampton FC.
  • 5' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Shea Charles is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Southampton FC.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kyle Walker-Peters suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' Mark Travers has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 41' Against the run of play, Stuart Armstrong has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 44' Stoke City FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 45' Ben Pearson picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' Junior Tchamadeu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 55' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Russell Martin will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 59' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Ben Wilmot is replaced by Jordan Thompson.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Jordan Thompson. He replaces Ben Wilmot on 60 minute.
  • 65' Ryan Manning has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 70' The whistle greets Josh Laurent as he departs to be replaced by Wouter Burger.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Sekou Mara. He replaces Carlos Alcaraz on 72 minute.
  • 74' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Ki-Jana Hoever by Wesley on 74 minute.
  • 79' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 81' Fresh legs for Southampton FC! Shea Charles comes on to replace Stuart Armstrong.
  • 82' Southampton FC make a change. Adam Armstrong trudges off to be replaced by Joe Aribo on 82 minutes.
  • 86' It’s a booking for Southampton FC player. Flynn Downes gets a Yellow card.
  • 87' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Mehdi Leris.
  • 90' The whistle greets William Smallbone as he departs to be replaced by Mason Holgate.
  • 0-1 the final result. Stoke City FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC27% Draw30% Southampton FC43%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Southampton FC
73%
Stoke City FC or Southampton FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC18% Draw50% Southampton FC32%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.7%
0 – 2
9.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.4%
1 – 3
4.2%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 15% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 23% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.