Stoke City FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Joshua Smith
- Assistant 1 Callum Gough (England)
- Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Millwall FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | Wrexham AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Stoke City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #3 |
| 55 | Points | 83 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 15 / 10 / 21 | W / D / L | 24 / 11 / 11 |
| 51 | Scored | 64 |
| 56 | Conceded | 49 |
| -5 | GD | +15 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.80 |
| 33% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Stoke City FC is hosting Millwall FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Derek Mazou-Sacko is having his name booked by the referee on 5.
- 10' Stoke City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' That looks like a foul for a card for Casper De Norre.
- 20' Camiel Neghli puts Millwall FC on the lead.
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Casper De Norre suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 40' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 50' Millwall FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Camiel Neghli scoring 1 goals.
- 55' GOAL! Femi Azeez scores on 55. Assisted by Thierno Ballo
- 59' Sam Gallagher is replacing Million Manhoef for the Stoke City FC side.
- 60' GOAL! Caleb Taylor scores on 60.
- 60' Lamine Cisse has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lewis Baker on 60 minute.
- 65' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Millwall FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 69' What a strike from Josh Coburn! The score is 0-4.
- 74' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Robert Bozenik departs to be replaced by Milan Smit.
- 79' Robert Bozenik needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Dan McNamara. He replaces Zak Sturge on 80 minute.
- 81' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dan McNamara on 81.
- 85' Another change for Millwall FC made on 85 minute. Femi Azeez leaves to be changed by Luke Cundle.
- 90' The travelling Millwall FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-3.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
-
8
Lewis Baker ↓ Lamine Cisse 60'
-
15
Steven N'Zonzi ↓ Ben Pearson 74'
- 31
-
11
Robert Bozenik ↓ Milan Smit 74'
- 17
- 12
-
42
Million Manhoef ↓ Sam Gallagher 59'
- 26
- 54
- 50
Bench
-
20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 59'
-
4
Ben Pearson ↑ 74'
-
29
Lamine Cisse ↑ 60'
-
49
Milan Smit ↑ 74'
- 9
- 21
- 25
- 10
- 59
Coach
Mark Robins
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 24
- 13
- 4
-
11
Femi Azeez ↓ Luke Cundle 85'
- 10
-
19
Josh Coburn ↓ Mihailo Ivanovic 80'
- 6
-
7
Thierno Ballo ↓ Tom Watson 80'
- 49
-
3
Zak Sturge ↓ Dan McNamara 80'
Bench
-
17
Macaulay Langstaff ↑ 85'
- 18
- 67
- 15
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 80'
-
25
Luke Cundle ↑ 85'
- 29
-
22
Tom Watson ↑ 80'
-
9
Mihailo Ivanovic ↑ 80'
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Charlie Cresswell | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Jacob Brown | 2 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 2 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
| Saido Berahino | 1 |
| Kevin Nisbet | 1 |
| Ben Thompson | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.92
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Millwall FC
76%
Stoke City FC or Millwall FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
11.7%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.4%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 24% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

