Stoke City FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Joshua Smith
- Assistant 1 Callum Gough (England)
- Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov
8 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 13.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Millwall FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | Wrexham AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Stoke City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Norwich City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #16 |
| 29 | Points | 18 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 9 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 5 / 3 / 7 |
| 24 | Scored | 23 |
| 18 | Conceded | 27 |
| +6 | GD | -4 |
| 1.93 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 60% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts). Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Jack McGlynn | 5 G | 2 A |
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 4 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Stoke City FC get us underway at Bet365 Stadium.
- 5' The referee has no hesitation. Derek Mazou-Sacko is booked for Millwall FC — card on 5.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Stoke City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' The referee shows Millwall FC player a card on 15.
- 20' Camiel Neghli puts Millwall FC on the lead.
- 25' Stoke City FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Millwall FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 50' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stoke City FC and Millwall FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 55' The England forward Femi Azeez breaks the deadlock on 55 minutes. 0-2!
- 59' Sam Gallagher is ready to make an impact after coming on for Million Manhoef at the 59 minute mark.
- 60' Caleb Taylor adds to his 2 season tally! Millwall FC lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
- 60' Lewis Baker makes way for Lamine Cisse at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stoke City FC.
- 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 69' The deadlock is broken! Josh Coburn gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
- 74' Milan Smit gets the nod from Stoke City FC. He replaces Robert Bozenik and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Dan McNamara. He replaces Zak Sturge on 80 minute.
- 81' It’s gonna be a card for Dan McNamara.
- 85' Luke Cundle is replacing Femi Azeez for the Millwall FC side.
- 90' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- Stoke City FC will have plenty to reflect on. Millwall FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
-
8
Lewis Baker ↓ Lamine Cisse 60'
-
15
Steven N'Zonzi ↓ Ben Pearson 74'
- 31
-
11
Robert Bozenik ↓ Milan Smit 74'
- 17
- 12
-
42
Million Manhoef ↓ Sam Gallagher 59'
- 26
- 54
- 50
Bench
-
20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 59'
-
4
Ben Pearson ↑ 74'
-
29
Lamine Cisse ↑ 60'
-
49
Milan Smit ↑ 74'
- 9
- 21
- 25
- 10
- 59
Coach
Mark Robins
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 24
- 13
- 4
-
11
Femi Azeez ↓ Luke Cundle 85'
- 10
-
19
Josh Coburn ↓ Mihailo Ivanovic 80'
- 6
-
7
Thierno Ballo ↓ Tom Watson 80'
- 49
-
3
Zak Sturge ↓ Dan McNamara 80'
Bench
-
17
Macaulay Langstaff ↑ 85'
- 18
- 67
- 15
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 80'
-
25
Luke Cundle ↑ 85'
- 29
-
22
Tom Watson ↑ 80'
-
9
Mihailo Ivanovic ↑ 80'
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Jacob Brown | 2 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 2 |
| Charlie Cresswell | 2 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
| Saido Berahino | 1 |
| Kevin Nisbet | 1 |
| Ben Thompson | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Millwall FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Millwall FC
64%
Stoke City FC or Millwall FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

