Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
7 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
17 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
09 Aug Wrexham AFC H 2–1 W
25 May Arsenal FC H 1–2 L
18 May Everton FC A 0–2 L
10 May Manchester City FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Southampton FC A 2–1 W
16 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
09 Aug Derby County FC H 3–1 W
03 May Derby County FC A 0–0 D
25 Apr Sheffield United FC H 0–2 L
21 Apr Leeds United FC A 0–6 L

Season Stats

Southampton FC Stoke City FC
#13 Position #7
10 Points 13
8 Played 8
4 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 3
19 Scored 13
10 Conceded 12
+9 GD +1
1.25 PPG 1.63
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Southampton FC are 13th (10 pts). Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Finn Azaz 3 G 4 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A
Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.92 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Stoke City FC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC45% Draw26% Stoke City FC29%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Stoke City FC
55%
Southampton FC or Stoke City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC37% Draw42% Stoke City FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 21% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.