Southampton FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Southampton FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Stoke City FC

Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship .

Southampton FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Joshua Smith

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Southampton FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Stoke City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-23 Southampton FC 1–2 Stoke City FC 2024-04-27 Southampton FC 0–1 Stoke City FC 2023-10-03 Stoke City FC 0–1 Southampton FC

Recent Form

Southampton FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	Stoke City FC	H	1–2	L
17 Aug	Ipswich Town FC	A	1–1	D
09 Aug	Wrexham AFC	H	2–1	W
25 May	Arsenal FC	H	1–2	L
18 May	Everton FC	A	0–2	L
10 May	Manchester City FC	H	0–0	D

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	Southampton FC	A	2–1	W
16 Aug	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	3–0	W
09 Aug	Derby County FC	H	3–1	W
03 May	Derby County FC	A	0–0	D
25 Apr	Sheffield United FC	H	0–2	L
21 Apr	Leeds United FC	A	0–6	L

Season Stats

Southampton FC		Stoke City FC
#4	Position	#17
80	Points	55
46	Played	46
22 / 14 / 10	W / D / L	15 / 10 / 21
82	Scored	51
56	Conceded	56
+26	GD	-5
1.74	PPG	1.20
48%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Southampton FC to score. At the same time, Stoke City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Southampton FC.

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Stuart Armstrong	1
Tyrese Campbell	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.47 Southampton FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.17 Stoke City FC xG

I would bet for: Southampton FC or Stoke City FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Southampton FC40% Draw29% Stoke City FC31%

Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.64

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw

68%

Draw or Stoke City FC

60%

Southampton FC or Stoke City FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Southampton FC31% Draw47% Stoke City FC22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

1 – 0

9.5%

0 – 0

9.1%

2 – 1

8.7%

2 – 0

7.5%

0 – 1

7.3%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

5.1%

0 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.3%

3 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap	Southampton FC covers	Push	Stoke City FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	13%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	21%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	17%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.