Saturday , 14 November 2026

Southampton FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
8 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 13.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
17 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
09 Aug Wrexham AFC H 2–1 W
25 May Arsenal FC H 1–2 L
18 May Everton FC A 0–2 L
10 May Manchester City FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Southampton FC A 2–1 W
16 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
09 Aug Derby County FC H 3–1 W
03 May Derby County FC A 0–0 D
25 Apr Sheffield United FC H 0–2 L
21 Apr Leeds United FC A 0–6 L

Season Stats

Southampton FC Stoke City FC
#7 Position #3
24 Points 29
15 Played 15
8 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 9 / 2 / 4
29 Scored 24
15 Conceded 18
+14 GD +6
1.60 PPG 1.93
53% Win % 60%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
33% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Southampton FC are 7th (24 pts). Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
2/4
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
3/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Kuryu Matsuki 4 G 1 A
Finn Azaz 3 G 5 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A
Stoke City FC
Jack McGlynn 5 G 2 A
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 4 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • Another three points for Stoke City FC.

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.42 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Stoke City FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC38% Draw29% Stoke City FC33%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Stoke City FC
62%
Southampton FC or Stoke City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC29% Draw48% Stoke City FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.