Thursday , 2 July 2026

Wrexham AFC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 14:00 UTC Racecourse Ground 10,633 HT 45' · FT 45'
George Thomason 31' 1–0
Josh Windass 33' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Wrexham AFC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Racecourse Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Herczeg
  • Assistant 1 Alex James (England)
  • Assistant 2 Sam Lewis (England)

Head-to-Head

1
1
Wrexham AFC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Stoke City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
12 Apr Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
07 Apr Southampton FC H 1–5 L
03 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 2–2 D
21 Mar Sheffield United FC A 2–1 W
17 Mar Watford FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Wrexham AFC A 0–2 L
11 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Derby County FC A 0–2 L
03 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
20 Mar Preston North End FC A 1–3 L
14 Mar Watford FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Wrexham AFC Stoke City FC
#7 Position #17
71 Points 55
46 Played 46
19 / 14 / 13 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
69 Scored 51
65 Conceded 56
+4 GD -5
1.54 PPG 1.20
41% Win % 33%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wrexham AFC are 7th (71 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Racecourse Ground that hosts another battle between Wrexham AFC and Stoke City FC.
  • 5' Matty James has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 48 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Stoke City FC is showing some good football. However, Stoke City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lewis Baker suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Wrexham AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 31' Wrexham AFC is taking the lead after the goal scored by George Thomason on 31.
  • 33' What a strike from Josh Windass! The score is 2-0.
  • 38' Wrexham AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 43' Stoke City FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Jesurun Rak-Sakyi. He replaces Aaron Cresswell on 46 minute.
  • 47' That looks like a foul for a card for Million Manhoef.
  • 52' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 52 minute. Sam Gallagher leaves to be changed by Robert Bozenik.
  • 57' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sam Smith made 366 appearances and scored 62 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 62' It’s high time Mark Robins made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
  • 68' The whistle greets Lewis Baker as he departs to be replaced by Tatsuki Seko.
  • 73' Time for substitution for Wrexham AFC. Oliver Rathbone is replaced by Lewis O'Brien.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Wrexham AFC. Josh Windass is replaced by Nathan Broadhead.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Wrexham AFC team. Sam Smith is replaced by Kieffer Moore on 79 minute.
  • 84' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 84.
  • 86' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pijus Otegbayo is hanging Bosun Lawal on the field on 86 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Stoke City FC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62 Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC50% Draw26% Stoke City FC24%
Actual: Wrexham AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw
76%
Draw or Stoke City FC
50%
Wrexham AFC or Stoke City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wrexham AFC35% Draw46% Stoke City FC19%
Actual: Wrexham AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap Wrexham AFC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
35%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.