Wrexham AFC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Wrexham AFC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Racecourse Ground.
- Wrexham AFC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Adam Herczeg
- Assistant 1 Alex James (England)
- Assistant 2 Sam Lewis (England)
7 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 11.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Birmingham City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Apr | Southampton FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| 03 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Mar | Sheffield United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | Watford FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Wrexham AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | Watford FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Wrexham AFC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #3 |
| 18 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 6 / 5 | W / D / L | 9 / 2 / 4 |
| 18 | Scored | 24 |
| 20 | Conceded | 18 |
| -2 | GD | +6 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 27% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Wrexham AFC this season
Wrexham AFC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Wrexham AFC are 15th (18 pts). Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Wrexham AFC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/4
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/2
61-75
4/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Wrexham AFC
| Kieffer Moore | 5 G | 2 A |
| Jacques Ekomie | 2 G | |
| Danny Imray | 1 G | 1 A |
Stoke City FC
| Jack McGlynn | 5 G | 2 A |
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 4 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Racecourse Ground. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Wrexham AFC and Stoke City FC.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Robins will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' Wrexham AFC are deployed in a 5-3-2 today, looking to exploit space against Stoke City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wrexham AFC that had 127 games and scored 114 goals.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 31' What composure from George Thomason! The England international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 33' What a moment for Josh Windass! That strike on 33 puts his side firmly in control.
- 38' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 43' Japan international Tatsuki Seko has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 46' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Aaron Cresswell is withdrawn and Jesurun Rak-Sakyi gets his opportunity.
- 47' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Million Manhoef.
- 52' The whistle greets Sam Gallagher as he departs to be replaced by Robert Bozenik.
- 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 62' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Wrexham AFC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 67' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dan Scarr is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
- 68' The whistle greets Lewis Baker as he departs to be replaced by Tatsuki Seko.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Lewis O'Brien. He replaces Oliver Rathbone on 73 minute.
- 78' It is a substitution in Wrexham AFC team. Josh Windass is replaced by Nathan Broadhead on 78 minute.
- 79' A tactical swap from Wrexham AFC — Kieffer Moore on, Sam Smith off on 79 minutes.
- 84' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 86' Pijus Otegbayo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bosun Lawal at the 86 minute mark.
- 2-0 the final result. Stoke City FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Wrexham AFC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 21
- 37
- 24
- 15
-
10
Josh Windass ↓ Nathan Broadhead 78'
-
28
Sam Smith ↓ Kieffer Moore 79'
-
20
Oliver Rathbone ↓ Lewis O'Brien 73'
- 5
- 12
- 14
- 2
Bench
-
19
Kieffer Moore ↑ 79'
-
27
Lewis O'Brien ↑ 73'
-
33
Nathan Broadhead ↑ 78'
- 4
- 47
- 7
- 3
- 1
- 11
Coach
Phil Parkinson
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
-
20
Sam Gallagher ↓ Robert Bozenik 52'
- 3
- 4
-
8
Lewis Baker ↓ Tatsuki Seko 68'
- 31
- 17
- 42
- 29
-
18
Bosun Lawal ↓ Pijus Otegbayo 86'
- 10
Bench
-
11
Robert Bozenik ↑ 52'
-
12
Tatsuki Seko ↑ 68'
- 49
- 9
-
21
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi ↑ 46'
- 25
-
54
Pijus Otegbayo ↑ 86'
- 50
- 59
Coach
Mark Robins
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37
Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Wrexham AFC or Stoke City FC 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wrexham AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Wrexham AFC or Draw
71%
Draw or Stoke City FC
56%
Wrexham AFC or Stoke City FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Wrexham AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC
| Handicap | Wrexham AFC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

