Tuesday , 27 October 2026

Southampton FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 24 Aug 2024 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 70' Morgan Gibbs-White

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Premier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Tim Wood
  • Assistant 2 Simon Long
7 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 12.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Newcastle United FC A 0–1 L
26 May Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
17 May West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–1 W
12 May West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
04 May Leeds United FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Southampton FC A 1–0 W
17 Aug AFC Bournemouth H 1–1 D
19 May Burnley FC A 2–1 W
11 May Chelsea FC H 2–3 L
04 May Sheffield United FC A 3–1 W
28 Apr Manchester City FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
Dan Ndoye 2 G
Morgan Gibbs-White 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Nottingham Forest FC 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC31% Draw30% Nottingham Forest FC39%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
69%
Southampton FC or Nottingham Forest FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC22% Draw49% Nottingham Forest FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.