Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Mon 8 May 2023 · 19:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham HT 45' · FT 45'
Renan Lodi 78' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Southampton FC — Premier League at City Ground, Nottingham.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Referee Neil Davies
  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Referee Stuart Burt
  • Referee Lee Betts
  • Referee Michael Oliver
4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game

Head-to-Head

4
Nottingham Forest FC 4 games · Avg 3.5 goals Southampton FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 May Southampton FC H 4–3 W
29 Apr Brentford FC A 1–2 L
26 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 3–1 W
22 Apr Liverpool FC A 2–3 L
16 Apr Manchester United FC H 0–2 L
08 Apr Aston Villa FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 May Nottingham Forest FC A 3–4 L
30 Apr Newcastle United FC A 1–3 L
27 Apr AFC Bournemouth H 0–1 L
21 Apr Arsenal FC A 3–3 D
15 Apr Crystal Palace FC H 0–2 L
08 Apr Manchester City FC H 1–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
Morgan Gibbs-White 1 G 2 A
Dan Ndoye 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.13 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC53% Draw22% Southampton FC25%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Southampton FC
47%
Nottingham Forest FC or Southampton FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC38% Draw39% Southampton FC23%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.9%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.4%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 20% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 14% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.