Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Wed 4 Jan 2023 · 19:30 UTC St. Mary's Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Nottingham Forest FCPremier League at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Bhupinder Gill
  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Referee John Brooks
  • Referee Lee Mason
  • Referee Darren Cann
  • Referee Marc Perry

Head-to-Head

4
Southampton FC 4 games · Avg 3.5 goals Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
31 Dec Fulham FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–3 L
12 Nov Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
06 Nov Newcastle United FC H 1–4 L
29 Oct Crystal Palace FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Southampton FC A 1–0 W
01 Jan Chelsea FC H 1–1 D
27 Dec Manchester United FC A 0–3 L
12 Nov Crystal Palace FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Brentford FC H 2–2 D
30 Oct Arsenal FC A 0–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Southampton FC welcome Nottingham Forest FC for this crunch clash at St. Mary's Stadium.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Southampton FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nottingham Forest FC's shape.
  • 15' The 29-year-old Dean Henderson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' Harry Toffolo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 27' What a strike from Taiwo Awoniyi! The score is 0-1.
  • 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joe Worrall made 403 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 34' A tactical swap from Southampton FCDuje Caleta-Car on, Armel Bella Kotchap off on 34 minutes.
  • 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 42' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Remo Freuler.
  • 43' Nottingham Forest FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 43.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Romain Perraud on 45 minutes.
  • 50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Armel Bella Kotchap is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Southampton FC.
  • 55' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 60' Jack Colback is ready to make an impact after coming on for Orel Mangala at the 60 minute mark.
  • 64' The Southampton FC bench stirs into life. Romeo Lavia is withdrawn and Joe Aribo gets his opportunity.
  • 65' Southampton FC make a change. Sekou Mara trudges off to be replaced by Adam Armstrong on 65 minutes.
  • 70' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Nottingham Forest FC! Sam Surridge comes on to replace Taiwo Awoniyi.
  • 76' It looks surprising Southampton FC does not make any changes. Serge Aurier has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 81' Sekou Mara has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 84' The Nottingham Forest FC bench stirs into life. Brennan Johnson is withdrawn and Neco Williams gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Stuart Armstrong gets the nod from Southampton FC. He replaces Lyanco and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Stuart Armstrong was booked on 89.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Nottingham Forest FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC31% Draw31% Nottingham Forest FC38%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
69%
Southampton FC or Nottingham Forest FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC23% Draw52% Nottingham Forest FC25%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.1%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.