Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 24 Aug 2024 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 70' Morgan Gibbs-White

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Nottingham Forest FCPremier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Tim Wood
  • Assistant 2 Simon Long

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Newcastle United FC A 0–1 L
26 May Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
17 May West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–1 W
12 May West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
04 May Leeds United FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Southampton FC A 1–0 W
17 Aug AFC Bournemouth H 1–1 D
19 May Burnley FC A 2–1 W
11 May Chelsea FC H 2–3 L
04 May Sheffield United FC A 3–1 W
28 Apr Manchester City FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Saint Mary's that hosts another battle between Southampton FC and Nottingham Forest FC.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' It looks surprising Southampton FC does not make any changes. Murillo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 11' A meaty challenge results in booking for Adam Armstrong on 11.
  • 16' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryan Yates suffering a number of foals already.
  • 21' Nottingham Forest FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 21.
  • 26' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 29' It’s a booking for Southampton FC player. Flynn Downes gets a card.
  • 34' Nottingham Forest FC is showing some good football. However, Nottingham Forest FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ola Aina, as he is very good at scoring at Saint Mary's with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alex McCarthy made 348 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 49' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 54' The referee calls foul for Ibrahim Sangare. He receives a card.
  • 59' It’s high time Nuno Espírito Santo made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 61' Nottingham Forest FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
  • 66' The Nottingham Forest FC manager makes a substitution. Ibrahim Sangare departs to be replaced by Ryan Yates.
  • 70' What a strike from Morgan Gibbs-White! The score is 0-1.
  • 72' Southampton FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Samuel Edozie is hanging Adam Armstrong on the field on 72 minute.
  • 75' The whistle greets Elliot Anderson as he departs to be replaced by Nicolas Dominguez.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Charlie Taylor. He replaces Taylor Harwood-Bellis on 76 minute.
  • 81' Joe Aribo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 25 Yellow cards this season.
  • 82' Jan Bednarek is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. William Smallbone is replaced by Tyler Dibling.
  • 88' That looks like a foul for a card for Nicolas Dominguez.
  • 90' Jota Silva is replacing Morgan Gibbs-White for the Nottingham Forest FC side.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nottingham Forest FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Nottingham Forest FC 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC31% Draw30% Nottingham Forest FC39%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
69%
Southampton FC or Nottingham Forest FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC22% Draw49% Nottingham Forest FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.