Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 24 Aug 2024 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 70' Morgan Gibbs-White

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Premier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Tim Wood
  • Assistant 2 Simon Long
5 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Newcastle United FC A 0–1 L
26 May Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
17 May West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–1 W
12 May West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
04 May Leeds United FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Southampton FC A 1–0 W
17 Aug AFC Bournemouth H 1–1 D
19 May Burnley FC A 2–1 W
11 May Chelsea FC H 2–3 L
04 May Sheffield United FC A 3–1 W
28 Apr Manchester City FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
Morgan Gibbs-White 1 G 2 A
Dan Ndoye 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Saint Mary's!
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Nuno Espírito Santo will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 11' A meaty challenge results in booking for Adam Armstrong on 11.
  • 16' Both keepers have barely been tested. Southampton FC and Nottingham Forest FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 21' Supporters expect more eagerness from Adam Armstrong, as he is very good at scoring at Saint Mary's with 16 goals in the last 12 games.
  • 26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 29' Flynn Downes was booked on 29.
  • 34' Southampton FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 39' Southampton FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 44' Southampton FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 49' Brazil international Murillo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 54' The referee calls foul for Ibrahim Sangare. He receives a card.
  • 59' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 61' Chris Wood picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 66' The crowd applauds Ibrahim Sangare as he leaves the pitch. Ryan Yates steps in for Nottingham Forest FC.
  • 70' The England Morgan Gibbs-White breaks the deadlock on 70 minutes. 0-1!
  • 72' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Adam Armstrong departs to be replaced by Samuel Edozie.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Elliot Anderson as he leaves the pitch. Nicolas Dominguez steps in for Nottingham Forest FC.
  • 76' Southampton FC ring the changes. Taylor Harwood-Bellis has done his job and it is now time for Charlie Taylor to step up.
  • 81' Ibrahim Sangare has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 82' A moment of madness from Jan Bednarek on 82 minutes earns him a card. Southampton FC will be frustrated.
  • 84' Southampton FC make a change. William Smallbone trudges off to be replaced by Tyler Dibling on 84 minutes.
  • 88' The referee has no hesitation. Nicolas Dominguez is booked for Nottingham Forest FC — card on 88.
  • 90' The Nottingham Forest FC manager makes a substitution. Morgan Gibbs-White departs to be replaced by Jota Silva.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nottingham Forest FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC or Nottingham Forest FC 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC31% Draw30% Nottingham Forest FC39%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
69%
Southampton FC or Nottingham Forest FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC22% Draw49% Nottingham Forest FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.