Thursday , 2 July 2026

Leeds United FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 4 May 2024 · 11:30 UTC Elland Road HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Adam Armstrong
Joel Piroe 21' 1–1
1–2 35' William Smallbone

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Southampton FCChampionship at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Richard Wild

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Southampton FC H 1–2 L
26 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–4 L
22 Apr Middlesbrough FC A 4–3 W
13 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
09 Apr Sunderland AFC H 0–0 D
06 Apr Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Leeds United FC A 2–1 W
27 Apr Stoke City FC H 0–1 L
23 Apr Leicester City FC A 0–5 L
20 Apr Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
16 Apr Preston North End FC H 3–0 W
13 Apr Watford FC H 3–2 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.36 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC or Southampton FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC37% Draw29% Southampton FC34%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Southampton FC
63%
Leeds United FC or Southampton FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC28% Draw48% Southampton FC24%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.