Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2024-25
Southampton FC
0 – 1
Full Time
Burnley FC
Sat 8 Feb 2025 · 15:00 UTC St. Mary's Stadium 15,253 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 77' Marcus Edwards
Kamal Deen Sulemana 51' Y
Y 74' Joe Worrall
James Bree 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Burnley FC — FA Cup at St. Mary's Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
3
4
Southampton FC 9 games · Avg 2.3 goals Burnley FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-02-08 Southampton FC 0–1 Burnley FC 2022-04-21 Burnley FC 2–0 Southampton FC 2021-10-23 Southampton FC 2–2 Burnley FC 2021-04-04 Southampton FC 3–2 Burnley FC 2020-09-26 Burnley FC 0–1 Southampton FC

Recent Form

Southampton FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Burnley FC H 0–1 L
01 Feb Ipswich Town FC A 2–1 W
25 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
19 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 2–3 L
16 Jan Manchester United FC A 1–3 L
12 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
Burnley FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Feb Southampton FC A 1–0 W
04 Feb Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
01 Feb Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
27 Jan Leeds United FC H 0–0 D
22 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 5–0 W
17 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Southampton FC vs Burnley FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' James Bree has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Burnley FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Southampton FC in their trying to find a way past Burnley FC's compact .
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Welington, as he is very good at scoring at St. Mary's Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 45' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
  • 50' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kamal Deen Sulemana on 51.
  • 56' Burnley FC have won 407 goals from 345 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 58' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Jonjo Shelvey is replaced by Joe Bauress on 58 minute.
  • 59' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Benson Manuel is replaced by Marcus Edwards.
  • 60' Maxime Esteve is replacing CJ Egan-Riley for the Burnley FC side.
  • 65' It looks surprising Southampton FC does not make any changes. Hannibal Mejbri has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 67' Southampton FC ring the changes. Tyler Dibling has done his job and it is now time for Paul Onuachu to step up.
  • 72' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 74' The referee calls foul for Joe Worrall. He receives a card.
  • 77' Marcus Edwards puts Burnley FC on the lead.
  • 82' William Smallbone has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chimuanya Ugochukwu on 82 minute.
  • 83' Southampton FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Jeremy Sarmiento is replaced by Nathan Redmond.
  • 86' Albert Gronbaek Erlykke has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mateus Fernandes on 86 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Southampton FC 0-1 Burnley FC.

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Burnley FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Danny Ings 3
Ashley Barnes 3
Matej Vydra 2
Maxwel Cornet 2
Nathan Redmond 2
Johann Berg Gudmundsson 1
Nathan Collins 1
Marcus Edwards 1

Head to Head

2025-02-08 Southampton FC 0–1 Burnley FC 2022-04-21 Burnley FC 2–0 Southampton FC 2021-10-23 Southampton FC 2–2 Burnley FC 2021-04-04 Southampton FC 3–2 Burnley FC 2020-09-26 Burnley FC 0–1 Southampton FC

Southampton FC Form

2025-02-08 Southampton FC 0–1 Burnley FC L 2025-02-01 Ipswich Town FC 1–2 Southampton FC W 2025-01-25 Southampton FC 1–3 Newcastle United FC L 2025-01-19 Nottingham Forest FC 3–2 Southampton FC L 2025-01-16 Manchester United FC 3–1 Southampton FC L 2025-01-12 Southampton FC 3–0 Swansea City AFC W

Burnley FC Form

2025-02-08 Southampton FC 0–1 Burnley FC W 2025-02-04 Burnley FC 1–0 Oxford United FC W 2025-02-01 Portsmouth FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-01-27 Burnley FC 0–0 Leeds United FC D 2025-01-22 Plymouth Argyle FC 0–5 Burnley FC W 2025-01-17 Burnley FC 0–0 Sunderland AFC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC30% Draw30% Burnley FC40%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Burnley FC
70%
Southampton FC or Burnley FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC21% Draw50% Burnley FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 22% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.