Southampton FC vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Burnley FC — FA Cup at St. Mary's Stadium.
- Southampton FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Burnley FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Newcastle United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Jan | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 16 Jan | Manchester United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Jan | Swansea City AFC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Feb | Oxford United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Jan | Leeds United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 17 Jan | Sunderland AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
Southampton FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Southampton FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Southampton FC launch into their encounter with Burnley FC.
- 5' The 25-year-old Welington has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' Jeremy Sarmiento is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 35' Southampton FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
- 45' Southampton FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 51' The referee calls foul for Kamal Deen Sulemana. He receives a card.
- 56' A quiet spell here at St. Mary's Stadium. Southampton FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 58' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Jonjo Shelvey is replaced by Joe Bauress.
- 59' Marcus Edwards gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Benson Manuel and will look to change the dynamic.
- 60' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. CJ Egan-Riley is replaced by Maxime Esteve on 60 minute.
- 65' Southampton FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Burnley FC's shape.
- 67' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Tyler Dibling by Paul Onuachu on 67 minute.
- 72' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joe Worrall on 74.
- 77' What a strike from Marcus Edwards! The score is 0-1.
- 82' William Smallbone has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chimuanya Ugochukwu on 82 minute.
- 83' James Bree has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
- 83' Nathan Redmond is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jeremy Sarmiento at the 83 minute mark.
- 86' The whistle greets Mateus Fernandes as he departs to be replaced by Albert Gronbaek Erlykke.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 35
- 2
- 14
- 7
- 3
- 34
- 20
- 26
- 18
-
33
Tyler Dibling ↓ Paul Onuachu 67'
Bench
- 10
- 30
- 15
- 16
-
32
Paul Onuachu ↑ 67'
- 37
-
19
Cameron Archer ↑ 86'
-
8
William Smallbone ↑ 82'
-
29
Albert Gronbaek Erlykke ↑ 86'
Burnley FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 35
-
26
Jonjo Shelvey ↓ Joe Bauress 58'
-
10
Benson Manuel ↓ Marcus Edwards 59'
- 4
- 32
- 28
- 7
- 23
-
6
CJ Egan-Riley ↓ Maxime Esteve 60'
- 2
- 12
Bench
-
22
Marcus Edwards ↑ 59'
-
15
Nathan Redmond ↑ 83'
- 24
- 19
- 20
-
5
Maxime Esteve ↑ 60'
- –
- 48
-
41
Joe Bauress ↑ 58'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ashley Barnes | 3 |
| Danny Ings | 3 |
| Maxwel Cornet | 2 |
| Nathan Redmond | 2 |
| Matej Vydra | 2 |
| Chris Wood | 1 |
| Armando Broja | 1 |
| Valentino Livramento | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Burnley FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Burnley FC
70%
Southampton FC or Burnley FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.