Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burnley FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2020-21
Sat 26 Sep 2020 · 19:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45+2' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Southampton FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Adrian Holmes
  • Referee Scott Ledger
  • Referee Mike Dean
  • Referee Andre Marriner
  • Referee Michael Oliver

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Sep Southampton FC H 0–1 L
20 Sep Leicester City FC A 2–4 L
26 Jul Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–2 L
18 Jul Norwich City FC A 2–0 W
15 Jul Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
11 Jul Liverpool FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Sep Burnley FC A 1–0 W
20 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–5 L
12 Sep Crystal Palace FC A 0–1 L
26 Jul Sheffield United FC H 3–1 W
19 Jul AFC Bournemouth A 2–0 W
16 Jul Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Turf Moor!
  • 5' What a strike from Danny Ings! The score is 0-1.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 363 games and scored 447 goals.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ralph Hasenhuttl will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' Michael Obafemi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
  • 25' Burnley FC have won 424 goals from 357 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burnley FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 48' Phil Bardsley catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 48.
  • 53' Burnley FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Southampton FC's shape.
  • 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Che Adams suffering a number of foals already.
  • 63' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their trying to find a way past Southampton FC's compact .
  • 68' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 73' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 73 minutes.
  • 77' Moussa Djenepo makes way for Nathan Tella at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
  • 82' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 87' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • Another three points for Southampton FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Southampton FC 67% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC35% Draw33% Southampton FC32%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Southampton FC
65%
Burnley FC or Southampton FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC23% Draw54% Southampton FC23%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
2.4%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.