Southampton FC vs Swansea City AFC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Swansea City AFC — FA Cup at St. Mary's Stadium.
- Southampton FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Swansea City AFC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan | Swansea City AFC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Jan | Brentford FC | H | 0–5 | L |
| 29 Dec | Crystal Palace FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Dec | West Ham United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Dec | Fulham FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Dec | Tottenham Hotspur FC | H | 0–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan | Southampton FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jan | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 29 Dec | Luton Town FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Dec | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Hull City AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at St. Mary's Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jan Bednarek suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Liam Cullen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Swansea City AFC tonight.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' A goal from the Ghana international Kamal Deen Sulemana! He fires home on 20 to make it 1-0!
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joe Aribo made 393 appearances and scored 43 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' Matt Grimes, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 35' What a strike from Tyler Dibling! The score is 2-0.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 50' Swansea City AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 60' Swansea City AFC player sees a card in front of him.
- 65' Magnificent from Tyler Dibling! That is 4 goals in 363 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 66' Joe Allen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Goncalo Franco on 66 minute.
- 67' Liam Cullen is replacing Cyrus Christie for the Swansea City AFC side.
- 68' William Smallbone is replacing Chimuanya Ugochukwu for the Southampton FC side.
- 73' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Jan Bednarek by Nathan Wood-Gordon on 73 minute.
- 78' That looks like a foul for a card for Joe Allen.
- 79' Another substitution for Swansea City AFC to replace Ronald by Azeem Abdulai on 79 minute.
- 84' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 86' Another change for Southampton FC made on 86 minute. Joe Aribo leaves to be changed by Adam Lallana.
- 90' It’s a booking for Southampton FC player. Ryan Manning gets a card.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
- 35
- 2
- 14
-
7
Joe Aribo ↓ Adam Lallana 86'
- 3
- 6
- 20
- 26
- 18
-
33
Tyler Dibling ↓ Cameron Archer 67'
Bench
-
10
Adam Lallana ↑ 86'
- 21
- 1
-
15
Nathan Wood-Gordon ↑ 73'
-
9
Adam Armstrong ↑ 67'
- 16
- 32
-
19
Cameron Archer ↑ 67'
-
8
William Smallbone ↑ 68'
Swansea City AFC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Matt Grimes ↓ Jay Fulton 66'
- 26
- 33
-
23
Cyrus Christie ↓ Liam Cullen 67'
- 2
- 14
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Joe Allen 66'
- 19
- 25
-
35
Ronald ↓ Azeem Abdulai 79'
-
10
Ji-sung Eom ↓ Josh Ginnelly 79'
Bench
-
7
Joe Allen ↑ 66'
-
4
Jay Fulton ↑ 66'
-
20
Liam Cullen ↑ 67'
-
11
Josh Ginnelly ↑ 79'
- 22
- 21
-
47
Azeem Abdulai ↑ 79'
- 9
- 36
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ryan Fraser | 2 |
| Tyler Dibling | 2 |
| Che Adams | 2 |
| Zan Vipotnik | 1 |
| Joe Aribo | 1 |
| Cyle Larin | 1 |
| Samuel Edozie | 1 |
| Finn Azaz | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
2025-01-12
Southampton FC
3–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2025-01-04
Swansea City AFC
1–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
D
2025-01-01
Portsmouth FC
4–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2024-12-29
Swansea City AFC
2–1
Luton Town FC
W
2024-12-26
Swansea City AFC
3–0
Queens Park Rangers FC
W
2024-12-21
Hull City AFC
2–1
Swansea City AFC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Southampton FC to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
42%
Southampton FC or Swansea City AFC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.9%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 18% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 23% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.