Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs Swansea City AFC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sun 12 Jan 2025 · 16:30 UTC St. Mary's Stadium 12,120 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tyler Dibling 35' 2–0
Tyler Dibling 65' 3–0
Y 60' Matt Grimes
Y 78' Joe Allen
Ryan Manning 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Swansea City AFCFA Cup at St. Mary's Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Brentford FC H 0–5 L
29 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec West Ham United FC H 0–1 L
22 Dec Fulham FC A 0–0 D
15 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Southampton FC A 0–3 L
04 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Portsmouth FC A 0–4 L
29 Dec Luton Town FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–0 W
21 Dec Hull City AFC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Southampton FC to score. At the same time, Swansea City AFC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Myles Peart-Harris has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Kamal Deen Sulemana does the damage! The net is bulging and Southampton FC surge ahead!
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' Against the run of play, Tyler Dibling has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 40' Cyrus Christie has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' With 0 assists to his name this season, Aaron Ramsdale is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Southampton FC.
  • 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jan Bednarek, as he is very good at scoring at St. Mary's Stadium with 7 goals in the last 6 games.
  • 55' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 60' Swansea City AFC receives a card for a hard tackle on 60.
  • 65' Magnificent from Tyler Dibling! That is 4 goals in 348 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 66' Joe Allen gets the nod from Swansea City AFC. He replaces Goncalo Franco and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' Fresh legs for Swansea City AFC! Liam Cullen comes on to replace Cyrus Christie.
  • 68' William Smallbone is ready to make an impact after coming on for Chimuanya Ugochukwu at the 68 minute mark.
  • 73' Nathan Wood-Gordon is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jan Bednarek at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joe Allen.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Swansea City AFC team. Ronald is replaced by Azeem Abdulai on 79 minute.
  • 84' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 84 minutes.
  • 86' The whistle greets Joe Aribo as he departs to be replaced by Adam Lallana.
  • 90' Ryan Manning picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC58% Draw23% Swansea City AFC19%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
42%
Southampton FC or Swansea City AFC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC43% Draw42% Swansea City AFC15%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.9%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.