Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Swansea City AFC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sun 12 Jan 2025 · 16:30 UTC St. Mary's Stadium 12,120 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tyler Dibling 35' 2–0
Tyler Dibling 65' 3–0
Y 60' Matt Grimes
Y 78' Joe Allen
Ryan Manning 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Swansea City AFCFA Cup at St. Mary's Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Brentford FC H 0–5 L
29 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec West Ham United FC H 0–1 L
22 Dec Fulham FC A 0–0 D
15 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Southampton FC A 0–3 L
04 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Portsmouth FC A 0–4 L
29 Dec Luton Town FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–0 W
21 Dec Hull City AFC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Southampton FC is hosting Swansea City AFC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for James Bree suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Tyler Dibling is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Southampton FC tonight.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' The Ghana Kamal Deen Sulemana breaks the deadlock on 20 minutes. 1-0!
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' Southampton FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Swansea City AFC's shape.
  • 35' GOAL! Tyler Dibling fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 40' It looks surprising Swansea City AFC does not make any changes. Joe Allen has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 50' Myles Peart-Harris is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Swansea City AFC so far.
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 60' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matt Grimes on 60 minutes.
  • 65' Brilliant from the ! Tyler Dibling makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 65.
  • 66' Joe Allen gets the nod from Swansea City AFC. He replaces Goncalo Franco and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Liam Cullen. He replaces Cyrus Christie on 67 minute.
  • 68' William Smallbone has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chimuanya Ugochukwu on 68 minute.
  • 73' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Jan Bednarek departs to be replaced by Nathan Wood-Gordon.
  • 78' Controversy at the stadium! Joe Allen argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 79' Azeem Abdulai is replacing Ronald for the Swansea City AFC side.
  • 84' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 86' The Southampton FC bench stirs into life. Joe Aribo is withdrawn and Adam Lallana gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Ryan Manning argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC58% Draw23% Swansea City AFC19%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
42%
Southampton FC or Swansea City AFC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC43% Draw42% Swansea City AFC15%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.9%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.