Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Swansea City AFC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sun 12 Jan 2025 · 16:30 UTC St. Mary's Stadium 12,120 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tyler Dibling 35' 2–0
Tyler Dibling 65' 3–0
Y 60' Matt Grimes
Y 78' Joe Allen
Ryan Manning 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Swansea City AFC — FA Cup at St. Mary's Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Brentford FC H 0–5 L
29 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec West Ham United FC H 0–1 L
22 Dec Fulham FC A 0–0 D
15 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Southampton FC A 0–3 L
04 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Portsmouth FC A 0–4 L
29 Dec Luton Town FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–0 W
21 Dec Hull City AFC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at St. Mary's Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Southampton FC and Swansea City AFC.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' The travelling Swansea City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' What composure from Kamal Deen Sulemana! The Ghana international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Taylor Harwood-Bellis, as he is very good at scoring at St. Mary's Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 30' Mateus Fernandes needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 35' GOAL! Tyler Dibling scores on 35. Assisted by Kamal Deen Sulemana
  • 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Southampton FC and Swansea City AFC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 45' The 28-year-old Aaron Ramsdale has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 50' Florian Bianchini has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 55' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 60' The referee has no hesitation. Matt Grimes is booked for Swansea City AFC — card on 60.
  • 65' A stunning finish from Tyler Dibling — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 66' A change in the Swansea City AFC ranks — Goncalo Franco exits the field as Joe Allen enters on 66.
  • 67' Swansea City AFC ring the changes. Cyrus Christie has done his job and it is now time for Liam Cullen to step up.
  • 68' The whistle greets Chimuanya Ugochukwu as he departs to be replaced by William Smallbone.
  • 73' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Jan Bednarek by Nathan Wood-Gordon on 73 minute.
  • 78' A moment of madness from Joe Allen on 78 minutes earns him a card. Swansea City AFC will be frustrated.
  • 79' The whistle greets Ronald as he departs to be replaced by Azeem Abdulai.
  • 84' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Adam Lallana. He replaces Joe Aribo on 86 minute.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Ryan Manning. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The points are shared — Southampton FC 3-0 Swansea City AFC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC58% Draw23% Swansea City AFC19%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
42%
Southampton FC or Swansea City AFC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC43% Draw42% Swansea City AFC15%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.9%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.