Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,141 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jan Bednarek 10' 1–0
1–1 26' Alexander Isak pen
1–2 30' Alexander Isak
1–3 51' Sandro Tonali

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Newcastle United FCPremier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Wade Smith

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
19 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 2–3 L
16 Jan Manchester United FC A 1–3 L
12 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Brentford FC H 0–5 L
29 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Southampton FC A 3–1 W
18 Jan AFC Bournemouth H 1–4 L
15 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
12 Jan Bromley FC H 3–1 W
04 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
30 Dec Manchester United FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Southampton FC and Newcastle United FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Dan Burn needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' Jan Bednarek puts Southampton FC on the lead.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Martin Dubravka made 339 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joe Willock suffering a number of foals already.
  • 21' It’s gonna be a card for Mateus Fernandes.
  • 26' What an equalizer from Alexander Isak!
  • 30' GOAL! Alexander Isak scores on 30. Assisted by Jacob Murphy
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' It’s high time Ivan Juric made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 45' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 50' Southampton FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
  • 51' GOAL! Sandro Tonali scores on 51. Assisted by Anthony Gordon
  • 56' It looks surprising Newcastle United FC does not make any changes. Paul Onuachu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 60' The whistle greets Adam Armstrong as he departs to be replaced by Cameron Archer.
  • 65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 70' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 75' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Newcastle United FC that had 339 games and scored 448 goals.
  • 79' The whistle greets Bruno Guimaraes as he departs to be replaced by Lewis Miley.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for William Smallbone. He replaces Chimuanya Ugochukwu on 80 minute.
  • 85' It looks like no one’s ball. Newcastle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 88' Another substitution for Newcastle United FC to replace Anthony Gordon by Miguel Almiron on 88 minute.
  • 89' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Joe Aribo is replaced by Adam Lallana on 89 minute.
  • 90' Sean Longstaff has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jacob Murphy on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Newcastle United FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC23% Draw25% Newcastle United FC52%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
47%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
77%
Southampton FC or Newcastle United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC18% Draw43% Newcastle United FC39%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 47% 53%
+1 47% 22% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.