Southampton FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2024-25

Southampton FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Newcastle United FC

Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,141 HT 45' · FT 45'

Jan Bednarek 10' 1–0

1–1 26' Alexander Isak pen

1–2 30' Alexander Isak

1–3 51' Sandro Tonali

Mateus Fernandes 21' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Newcastle United FC — Premier League at Saint Mary's.

Southampton FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Newcastle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sam Barrott (England)
Assistant 1 Lee Betts
Assistant 2 Wade Smith

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	West Ham United FC	38	39
2	Burnley FC	38	22
3	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	38	20
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	0	0
5	Coventry City FC	0	0
6	Hull City AFC	0	0
7	Ipswich Town FC	0	0
8	Arsenal FC	0	0
9	Manchester City FC	0	0
10	Manchester United FC	0	0
11	Aston Villa FC	0	0
12	Liverpool FC	0	0
13	AFC Bournemouth	0	0
14	Sunderland AFC	0	0
15	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	0	0
16	Brentford FC	0	0
17	Chelsea FC	0	0
18	Fulham FC	0	0
19	Newcastle United FC	0	0
20	Everton FC	0	0
21	Leeds United FC	0	0
22	Crystal Palace FC	0	0
23	Nottingham Forest FC	0	0

Head-to-Head

Southampton FC 12 games · Avg 3.0 goals Newcastle United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-25 Southampton FC 1–3 Newcastle United FC 2024-08-17 Newcastle United FC 1–0 Southampton FC 2023-04-30 Newcastle United FC 3–1 Southampton FC 2022-11-06 Southampton FC 1–4 Newcastle United FC 2022-03-10 Southampton FC 1–2 Newcastle United FC

Recent Form

Southampton FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	Newcastle United FC	H	1–3	L
19 Jan	Nottingham Forest FC	A	2–3	L
16 Jan	Manchester United FC	A	1–3	L
12 Jan	Swansea City AFC	H	3–0	W
04 Jan	Brentford FC	H	0–5	L
29 Dec	Crystal Palace FC	A	1–2	L

Newcastle United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	Southampton FC	A	3–1	W
18 Jan	AFC Bournemouth	H	1–4	L
15 Jan	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	H	3–0	W
12 Jan	Bromley FC	H	3–1	W
04 Jan	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	2–1	W
30 Dec	Manchester United FC	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Southampton FC gets underway.
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
10' What a moment for Jan Bednarek! That strike on 10 puts his side firmly in control.
15' Southampton FC currently sit 20 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
20' Newcastle United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
21' Poor challenge from Mateus Fernandes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
26' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Alexander Isak makes no mistake. 1-1!
30' A goal from the Sweden international Alexander Isak! He fires home on 30 to make it 1-2!
35' Mateus Fernandes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 505 appearances.
40' A quiet spell here at Saint Mary's. Newcastle United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
51' Goal! Sandro Tonali scores his 17 goal in 114 matches.
56' Chimuanya Ugochukwu, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
60' Southampton FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cameron Archer is hanging Adam Armstrong on the field on 60 minute.
65' England international Valentino Livramento has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
70' Lewis Hall needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
75' Southampton FC have won 417 goals from 348 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
79' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Miley. He replaces Bruno Guimaraes on 79 minute.
80' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Chimuanya Ugochukwu is replaced by William Smallbone on 80 minute.
85' Newcastle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
88' A tactical swap from Newcastle United FC — Miguel Almiron on, Anthony Gordon off on 88 minutes.
89' The crowd applauds Joe Aribo as he leaves the pitch. Adam Lallana steps in for Southampton FC.
90' Jacob Murphy makes way for Sean Longstaff at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Newcastle United FC.
Another three points for Newcastle United FC.

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

1
Alex McCarthy
35
Jan Bednarek
2
Kyle Walker-Peters
14
James Bree ↓ Ryan Fraser 88'
7
Joe Aribo ↓ Adam Lallana 89'
9
Adam Armstrong ↓ Cameron Archer 60'
3
Ryan Manning ↓ Yukinari Sugawara 60'
32
Paul Onuachu
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
26
Chimuanya Ugochukwu ↓ William Smallbone 80'
18
Mateus Fernandes

Bench

Coach Ivan Juric

Newcastle United FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

25
Lloyd Kelly
22
Nick Pope
36
Sean Longstaff ↑ 90'
2
Kieran Trippier
24
Miguel Almiron ↑ 88'
28
Joe Willock ↑ 79'
4
Sven Botman
18
William Osula
67
Lewis Miley ↑ 79'

Coach Eddie Howe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Stuart Armstrong	4
Callum Wilson	4
Bruno Guimaraes	3
Miguel Almiron	3
Ayoze Perez	3
Allan Saint-Maximin	2
Chris Wood	2
Joe Willock	2

Head to Head

Southampton FC Form

2025-01-25 Southampton FC 1–3 Newcastle United FC L 2025-01-19 Nottingham Forest FC 3–2 Southampton FC L 2025-01-16 Manchester United FC 3–1 Southampton FC L 2025-01-12 Southampton FC 3–0 Swansea City AFC W 2025-01-04 Southampton FC 0–5 Brentford FC L 2024-12-29 Crystal Palace FC 2–1 Southampton FC L

Newcastle United FC Form

2025-01-25 Southampton FC 1–3 Newcastle United FC W 2025-01-18 Newcastle United FC 1–4 AFC Bournemouth L 2025-01-15 Newcastle United FC 3–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC W 2025-01-12 Newcastle United FC 3–1 Bromley FC W 2025-01-04 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1–2 Newcastle United FC W 2024-12-30 Manchester United FC 0–2 Newcastle United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.14 Southampton FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.87 Newcastle United FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Southampton FC23% Draw25% Newcastle United FC52%

Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw

47%

Draw or Newcastle United FC

77%

Southampton FC or Newcastle United FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Southampton FC18% Draw43% Newcastle United FC39%

Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.4%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

8.5%

0 – 1

8.5%

0 – 0

6.6%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 1

5.8%

2 – 2

5.4%

0 – 3

5.2%

1 – 0

4.8%

2 – 3

3.4%

2 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap	Southampton FC covers	Push	Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	13%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	47%	—	53%
+1	47%	22%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	16%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.