Saturday , 14 November 2026

Southampton FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,141 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jan Bednarek 10' 1–0
1–1 26' Alexander Isak pen
1–2 30' Alexander Isak
1–3 51' Sandro Tonali

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Newcastle United FC — Premier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Wade Smith
7 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 14.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
19 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 2–3 L
16 Jan Manchester United FC A 1–3 L
12 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Brentford FC H 0–5 L
29 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Southampton FC A 3–1 W
18 Jan AFC Bournemouth H 1–4 L
15 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
12 Jan Bromley FC H 3–1 W
04 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
30 Dec Manchester United FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Harvey Barnes 2 G 2 A
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Saint Mary's. Southampton FC are looking to make home advantage count against Newcastle United FC.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Jan Bednarek makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Southampton FC are in front.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 21' Poor challenge from Mateus Fernandes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 26' Alexander Isak has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 26 minutes.
  • 30' Alexander Isak makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Newcastle United FC are in front.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lewis Miley suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 45' Ireland international Ryan Manning has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 50' The 28-year-old Sean Longstaff has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 51' A goal from the Italy international Sandro Tonali! He fires home on 51 to make it 1-3!
  • 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 60' The crowd applauds Adam Armstrong as he leaves the pitch. Cameron Archer steps in for Southampton FC.
  • 65' It looks like no one’s ball. Newcastle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 70' Newcastle United FC come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 75' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 79' The Newcastle United FC manager makes a substitution. Bruno Guimaraes departs to be replaced by Lewis Miley.
  • 80' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Chimuanya Ugochukwu is replaced by William Smallbone on 80 minute.
  • 85' Chimuanya Ugochukwu is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Newcastle United FC tonight.
  • 88' Another substitution for Newcastle United FC to replace Anthony Gordon by Miguel Almiron on 88 minute.
  • 89' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Joe Aribo is replaced by Adam Lallana on 89 minute.
  • 90' Sean Longstaff is replacing Jacob Murphy for the Newcastle United FC side.
  • Newcastle United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC23% Draw25% Newcastle United FC52%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
47%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
77%
Southampton FC or Newcastle United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC18% Draw43% Newcastle United FC39%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 22% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.