Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Mon 27 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Turf Moor 21,329 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Leeds United FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2
7 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Leeds United FC H 0–0 D
22 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 5–0 W
17 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–0 D
11 Jan Reading FC A 3–1 W
04 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
01 Jan Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
22 Jan Norwich City FC H 2–0 W
19 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–0 W
11 Jan Harrogate Town AFC H 1–0 W
04 Jan Hull City AFC A 3–3 D
01 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Burnley FC and Leeds United FC get this one started.
  • 5' The travelling Leeds United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Leeds United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Connor Roberts has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' Leeds United FC have won 535 goals from 361 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 31' The referee shows Leeds United FC player a card on 31.
  • 36' Burnley FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Leeds United FC backline.
  • 41' Bashir Humphreys has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 411 appearances.
  • 46' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 347 games and scored 409 goals.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burnley FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daniel Farke might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 60' Daniel James was booked on 60.
  • 65' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 67' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jayden Bogle on 67 minutes.
  • 71' Leeds United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Largie Ramazani is hanging Manor Solomon on the field on 71 minute.
  • 74' Another change for Burnley FC made on 74 minute. Lyle Foster leaves to be changed by Jeremy Sarmiento.
  • 79' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Leeds United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 84' Ilia Gruev has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 89' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burnley FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 90' Hannibal Mejbri gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Josh Brownhill and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The final score is 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 69% + Burnley FC or Leeds United FC 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC35% Draw32% Leeds United FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Leeds United FC
65%
Burnley FC or Leeds United FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC21% Draw55% Leeds United FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
13%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
2.3%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 19% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.