Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Mon 27 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Turf Moor 21,329 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Leeds United FCChampionship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Leeds United FC H 0–0 D
22 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 5–0 W
17 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–0 D
11 Jan Reading FC A 3–1 W
04 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
01 Jan Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
22 Jan Norwich City FC H 2–0 W
19 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–0 W
11 Jan Harrogate Town AFC H 1–0 W
04 Jan Hull City AFC A 3–3 D
01 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Turf Moor as Burnley FC face off against Leeds United FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 342 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Illan Meslier, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' Leeds United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Leeds United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at Turf Moor. Burnley FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 31' The referee calls foul for Manor Solomon. He receives a card.
  • 36' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burnley FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' Josh Brownhill, a England , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 51' Bashir Humphreys is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 60' The referee shows Leeds United FC player a card on 60.
  • 65' Ethan Ampadu has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 409 appearances.
  • 67' That is a card for Leeds United FC. Jayden Bogle will be fuming at that decision.
  • 71' The Leeds United FC bench stirs into life. Manor Solomon is withdrawn and Largie Ramazani gets his opportunity.
  • 74' Fresh legs for Burnley FC! Jeremy Sarmiento comes on to replace Lyle Foster.
  • 79' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 84' Leeds United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 89' Burnley FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Leeds United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 90' Hannibal Mejbri has so much to prove this time. He replaces Josh Brownhill on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 69% + Burnley FC or Leeds United FC 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC35% Draw32% Leeds United FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Leeds United FC
65%
Burnley FC or Leeds United FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC21% Draw55% Leeds United FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
13%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
2.3%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 19% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.