Sunday , 16 August 2026

Burnley FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Mon 27 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Turf Moor 21,329 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Leeds United FC H 0–0 D
22 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 5–0 W
17 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–0 D
11 Jan Reading FC A 3–1 W
04 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
01 Jan Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
22 Jan Norwich City FC H 2–0 W
19 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–0 W
11 Jan Harrogate Town AFC H 1–0 W
04 Jan Hull City AFC A 3–3 D
01 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Burnley FC to score. At the same time, Leeds United FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The travelling Leeds United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Leeds United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' It’s high time Scott Parker made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Leeds United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' Josh Cullen, a Ireland , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 31' Manor Solomon picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 36' Illan Meslier is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Leeds United FC so far.
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Josh Brownhill made 387 appearances and scored 45 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' It looks like no one’s ball. Burnley FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' Ilia Gruev needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 60' Daniel James has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 60.
  • 65' USA international Brenden Aaronson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Jayden Bogle. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Largie Ramazani. He replaces Manor Solomon on 71 minute.
  • 74' Burnley FC ring the changes. Lyle Foster has done his job and it is now time for Jeremy Sarmiento to step up.
  • 79' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 84' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Leeds United FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 89' Burnley FC currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' The whistle greets Josh Brownhill as he departs to be replaced by Hannibal Mejbri.
  • The points are shared — Burnley FC 0-0 Leeds United FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 69% + Burnley FC or Leeds United FC 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC35% Draw32% Leeds United FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Leeds United FC
65%
Burnley FC or Leeds United FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC21% Draw55% Leeds United FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
13%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
2.3%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 19% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.