Thursday , 2 July 2026

Manchester United FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Thu 16 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Old Trafford 73,722 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 43' Manuel Ugarte og
Amad Diallo 82' 1–1
Amad Diallo 90' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Southampton FCPremier League at Old Trafford.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Southampton FC H 3–1 W
12 Jan Arsenal FC A 5–3 W
05 Jan Liverpool FC A 2–2 D
30 Dec Newcastle United FC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
22 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Manchester United FC A 1–3 L
12 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Brentford FC H 0–5 L
29 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec West Ham United FC H 0–1 L
22 Dec Fulham FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Manchester United FC to score. At the same time, Southampton FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Manchester United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Manchester United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joe Aribo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' Alejandro Garnacho needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 35' It looks surprising Southampton FC does not make any changes. Aaron Ramsdale has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' The travelling Southampton FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 43' Manuel Ugarte puts Manchester United FC on the lead.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Tyler Dibling. He receives a card.
  • 46' Another substitution for Manchester United FC to replace Kobbie Mainoo by Antony on 46 minute.
  • 51' Lisandro Martinez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 16 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lisandro Martinez on 52.
  • 53' Time for substitution for Manchester United FC. Rasmus Hojlund is replaced by Joshua Zirkzee.
  • 54' The whistle greets Manuel Ugarte as he departs to be replaced by Toby Collyer.
  • 59' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for William Smallbone. He replaces Tyler Dibling on 63 minute.
  • 68' It’s high time Ruben Amorim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 73' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Mateus Fernandes departs to be replaced by Adam Armstrong.
  • 78' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 79' It’s gonna be a card for Flynn Downes.
  • 82' Goal! Amad Diallo scores his 14 goal in 525 matches.
  • 83' Christian Eriksen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Noussair Mazraoui on 83 minute.
  • 88' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yukinari Sugawara made 439 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' GOAL! Amad Diallo scores on 90. Assisted by Christian Eriksen
  • The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC52% Draw26% Southampton FC22%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Southampton FC
48%
Manchester United FC or Southampton FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester United FC33% Draw48% Southampton FC19%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.1%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.