Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Manchester United FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Thu 16 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Old Trafford 73,722 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 43' Manuel Ugarte og
Amad Diallo 82' 1–1
Amad Diallo 90' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Southampton FC — Premier League at Old Trafford.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan
5 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 13.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Southampton FC H 3–1 W
12 Jan Arsenal FC A 5–3 W
05 Jan Liverpool FC A 2–2 D
30 Dec Newcastle United FC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
22 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Manchester United FC A 1–3 L
12 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Brentford FC H 0–5 L
29 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec West Ham United FC H 0–1 L
22 Dec Fulham FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester United FC
Bruno Fernandes 3 G 1 A
Bryan Mbeumo 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC52% Draw26% Southampton FC22%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Southampton FC
48%
Manchester United FC or Southampton FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester United FC33% Draw48% Southampton FC19%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.1%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.