Burnley FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 8 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
- Assistant 2 Matt McGrath
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb | Oxford United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Jan | Leeds United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 17 Jan | Sunderland AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Jan | Reading FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb | Burnley FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Feb | Bristol City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jan | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jan | Luton Town FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Oxford United FC get us underway at Turf Moor.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Turf Moor. Oxford United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' England international Bashir Humphreys has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Oxford United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 33' Michal Helik does the damage! The net is bulging and Oxford United FC surge ahead!
- 38' Connor Roberts has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 43' It’s gonna be a card for Will Vaulks.
- 46' The Oxford United FC manager makes a substitution. Will Vaulks departs to be replaced by Siriki Dembele.
- 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Oxford United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 59' A moment of madness from Connor Roberts on 59 minutes earns him a card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
- 61' Another change for Oxford United FC made on 61 minute. Tom Bradshaw leaves to be changed by Mark Harris.
- 64' The referee shows Burnley FC player a card on 64.
- 69' Oxford United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 70' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Cameron Brannagan.
- 70' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Hannibal Mejbri is replaced by Jeremy Sarmiento.
- 75' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 76' Matt Phillips gets the nod from Oxford United FC. He replaces Przemyslaw Placheta and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Oxford United FC that had 372 games and scored 498 goals.
- 82' The crowd applauds Zian Flemming as he leaves the pitch. Ashley Barnes steps in for Burnley FC.
- 87' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Ole Romeny comes on to replace Sam Long.
- 89' Burnley FC ring the changes. Lyle Foster has done his job and it is now time for Jonjo Shelvey to step up.
- With this win, Burnley FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 24
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Ashley Barnes 82'
-
17
Lyle Foster ↓ Jonjo Shelvey 89'
- 11
- 1
- 28
- 5
- 6
- 12
- 29
Bench
- 99
-
35
Ashley Barnes ↑ 82'
-
26
Jonjo Shelvey ↑ 89'
- 10
- 4
- 32
-
7
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 70'
- 23
- 2
Coach
Scott Parker
Oxford United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
50
Tom Bradshaw ↓ Mark Harris 61'
- 3
-
4
Will Vaulks ↓ Siriki Dembele 46'
-
2
Sam Long ↓ Ole Romeny 87'
- 8
- 1
- 47
- 7
- 19
- 22
- 18
Bench
-
9
Mark Harris ↑ 61'
-
10
Matt Phillips ↑ 76'
- 21
-
23
Siriki Dembele ↑ 46'
- 24
-
15
Idris El Mizouni ↑ 76'
-
99
Ole Romeny ↑ 87'
- 20
- 30
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
Burnley FC Form
Oxford United FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.56
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 81% + Under — clean sheet likely 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.48
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 1.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 2.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 3.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
| ± 4.5 | 2% |
|
98% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Oxford United FC
54%
Burnley FC or Oxford United FC
66%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burnley FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
1.8%
2 – 2
1.7%
4 – 0
0.7%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 11% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 26% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 15% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
57%
✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

