Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 4 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Turf Moor 18,187 HT 45' · FT 45'
Michal Helik og 33' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee James Bell
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Matt McGrath

Head-to-Head

1
1
Burnley FC 2 games · Avg 0.5 goals Oxford United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
01 Feb Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
27 Jan Leeds United FC H 0–0 D
22 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 5–0 W
17 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–0 D
11 Jan Reading FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb Burnley FC A 0–1 L
01 Feb Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
25 Jan Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
21 Jan Luton Town FC H 3–2 W
18 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W
14 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Oxford United FC get us underway at Turf Moor.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Turf Moor. Oxford United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' England international Bashir Humphreys has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Oxford United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 33' Michal Helik does the damage! The net is bulging and Oxford United FC surge ahead!
  • 38' Connor Roberts has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 43' It’s gonna be a card for Will Vaulks.
  • 46' The Oxford United FC manager makes a substitution. Will Vaulks departs to be replaced by Siriki Dembele.
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Oxford United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 59' A moment of madness from Connor Roberts on 59 minutes earns him a card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
  • 61' Another change for Oxford United FC made on 61 minute. Tom Bradshaw leaves to be changed by Mark Harris.
  • 64' The referee shows Burnley FC player a card on 64.
  • 69' Oxford United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 70' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Cameron Brannagan.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Hannibal Mejbri is replaced by Jeremy Sarmiento.
  • 75' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 76' Matt Phillips gets the nod from Oxford United FC. He replaces Przemyslaw Placheta and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Oxford United FC that had 372 games and scored 498 goals.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Zian Flemming as he leaves the pitch. Ashley Barnes steps in for Burnley FC.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Ole Romeny comes on to replace Sam Long.
  • 89' Burnley FC ring the changes. Lyle Foster has done his job and it is now time for Jonjo Shelvey to step up.
  • With this win, Burnley FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.56 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + Under — clean sheet likely 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC46% Draw34% Oxford United FC20%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Oxford United FC
54%
Burnley FC or Oxford United FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC25% Draw62% Oxford United FC13%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
1.8%
2 – 2
1.7%
4 – 0
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 26% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 15% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
57% ✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.