Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burnley FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 4 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Turf Moor 18,187 HT 45' · FT 45'
Michal Helik og 33' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee James Bell
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Matt McGrath
5 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Burnley FC 2 games · Avg 0.5 goals Oxford United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
01 Feb Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
27 Jan Leeds United FC H 0–0 D
22 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 5–0 W
17 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–0 D
11 Jan Reading FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb Burnley FC A 0–1 L
01 Feb Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
25 Jan Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
21 Jan Luton Town FC H 3–2 W
18 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W
14 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Largie Ramazani 4 G 1 A
Zeki Amdouni 3 G 1 A
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Burnley FC host Oxford United FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Oxford United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Will Vaulks has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Przemyslaw Placheta needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alex Matos suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 33' The deadlock is broken! Michal Helik gets on the scoresheet on 33 minutes.
  • 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 43' The referee has no hesitation. Will Vaulks is booked for Oxford United FC — card on 43.
  • 46' Siriki Dembele has so much to prove this time. He replaces Will Vaulks on 46 minute.
  • 51' Burnley FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' Burnley FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Oxford United FC backline.
  • 59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Connor Roberts on 59.
  • 61' A tactical swap from Oxford United FC — Mark Harris on, Tom Bradshaw off on 61 minutes.
  • 64' It’s gonna be a card for Hannibal Mejbri.
  • 69' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 70' Poor challenge from Cameron Brannagan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 70' Jeremy Sarmiento is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hannibal Mejbri at the 70 minute mark.
  • 75' Burnley FC have won 420 goals from 354 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 76' Oxford United FC ring the changes. Przemyslaw Placheta has done his job and it is now time for Matt Phillips to step up.
  • 81' Burnley FC currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 82' Ashley Barnes gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Zian Flemming and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' Ole Romeny has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sam Long on 87 minute.
  • 89' Burnley FC ring the changes. Lyle Foster has done his job and it is now time for Jonjo Shelvey to step up.
  • It finishes all square. Burnley FC and Oxford United FC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.56 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + Under — clean sheet likely 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC46% Draw34% Oxford United FC20%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Oxford United FC
54%
Burnley FC or Oxford United FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC25% Draw62% Oxford United FC13%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
1.8%
2 – 2
1.7%
4 – 0
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 26% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 15% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
57% ✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.