Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 4 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Turf Moor 18,187 HT 45' · FT 45'
Michal Helik og 33' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Oxford United FCChampionship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee James Bell
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Matt McGrath

Head-to-Head

1
1
Burnley FC 2 games · Avg 0.5 goals Oxford United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
01 Feb Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
27 Jan Leeds United FC H 0–0 D
22 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 5–0 W
17 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–0 D
11 Jan Reading FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb Burnley FC A 0–1 L
01 Feb Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
25 Jan Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
21 Jan Luton Town FC H 3–2 W
18 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W
14 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Turf Moor. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Oxford United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Oxford United FC that had 366 games and scored 485 goals.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 33' Michal Helik puts Oxford United FC on the lead.
  • 38' It’s high time Gary Rowett made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 43' The referee calls foul for Will Vaulks. He receives a card.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Oxford United FC team. Will Vaulks is replaced by Siriki Dembele on 46 minute.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lyle Foster, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Will Vaulks suffering a number of foals already.
  • 59' The referee shows Burnley FC player a card on 59.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Mark Harris. He replaces Tom Bradshaw on 61 minute.
  • 64' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Hannibal Mejbri gets a card.
  • 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 70' Cameron Brannagan is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
  • 70' Jeremy Sarmiento is replacing Hannibal Mejbri for the Burnley FC side.
  • 75' The travelling Oxford United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Oxford United FC team. Przemyslaw Placheta is replaced by Matt Phillips on 76 minute.
  • 81' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 82' Ashley Barnes is replacing Zian Flemming for the Burnley FC side.
  • 87' The Oxford United FC manager makes a substitution. Sam Long departs to be replaced by Ole Romeny.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Jonjo Shelvey. He replaces Lyle Foster on 89 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Oxford United FC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.56 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + Under — clean sheet likely 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC46% Draw34% Oxford United FC20%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes28% 0% No72%
Avg goals/match: 1.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Oxford United FC
54%
Burnley FC or Oxford United FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC25% Draw62% Oxford United FC13%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
1.8%
2 – 2
1.7%
4 – 0
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 26% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 15% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
57%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.