Saturday , 12 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Ōita FC Trinita, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 18 Sep 2021 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kei Koizumi 28' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Oita FC TrinitaJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Ōita FC Trinita H 0–0 D
11 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–1 W
29 Aug Vegalta Sendai A 1–0 W
25 Aug Yokohama F.Marinos H 0–4 L
21 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 3–1 W
14 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
11 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 2–0 W
28 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–4 L
25 Aug Vissel Kobe H 1–3 L
21 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
15 Aug Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Oita FC Trinita fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Oita FC Trinita are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Oita FC Trinita seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Oita FC Trinita's shape.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 28' The referee has no hesitation. Kei Koizumi is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — Yellow card on 28.
  • 33' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 38' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 43' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Oita FC Trinita needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 48' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 48 minutes.
  • 53' Japan international Ryohei Shirasaki has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 58' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 61' A change in the Oita FC Trinita ranks — Shun Nagasawa exits the field as Kohei Isa enters on 61.
  • 64' The whistle greets Seigo Kobayashi as he departs to be replaced by Yamato Machida.
  • 65' Time for substitution for Oita FC Trinita. Arata Watanabe is replaced by Naoki Nomura.
  • 70' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 71' Nanasei Iino has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kei Koizumi on 71 minute.
  • 76' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuto Misao made 449 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 79' Toshio Shimakawa gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Hwang Seokho and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Oita FC Trinita is showing some good football. However, Oita FC Trinita are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 88' Shinya Nakano is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ayumu Ohata at the 88 minute mark.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Oita FC Trinita — Asahi Masuyama on, Yuta Koide off on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.34 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Oita FC Trinita xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Oita FC Trinita 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC43% Draw29% Oita FC Trinita28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Oita FC Trinita
57%
Sagan Tosu FC or Oita FC Trinita
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw49% Oita FC Trinita22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Oita FC Trinita covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Oita FC Trinita keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.