Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Oita FC Trinita, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 18 Sep 2021 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kei Koizumi 28' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Oita FC TrinitaJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Oita FC Trinita H 0–0 D
11 Sep Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–1 W
29 Aug Vegalta Sendai A 1–0 W
25 Aug Yokohama F·Marinos H 0–4 L
21 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 3–1 W
14 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
11 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 2–0 W
28 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–4 L
25 Aug Vissel Kobe H 1–3 L
21 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
15 Aug Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Oita FC Trinita kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' It’s high time Tomohiro Katanosaka made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 28' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kei Koizumi on 28.
  • 33' Kei Koizumi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shun Takagi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 43' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
  • 61' The Oita FC Trinita manager makes a substitution. Shun Nagasawa departs to be replaced by Kohei Isa.
  • 64' Another substitution for Oita FC Trinita to replace Seigo Kobayashi by Yamato Machida on 64 minute.
  • 65' It is a substitution in Oita FC Trinita team. Arata Watanabe is replaced by Naoki Nomura on 65 minute.
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hokuto Shimoda made 439 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Kei Koizumi is replaced by Nanasei Iino.
  • 76' Eduardo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 79' Toshio Shimakawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hwang Seokho on 79 minute.
  • 84' Oita FC Trinita is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 88' Shinya Nakano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ayumu Ohata on 88 minute.
  • 90' The Oita FC Trinita manager makes a substitution. Yuta Koide departs to be replaced by Asahi Masuyama.
  • The final score is 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.34 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Oita FC Trinita xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Oita FC Trinita 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC43% Draw29% Oita FC Trinita28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Oita FC Trinita
57%
Sagan Tosu FC or Oita FC Trinita
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw49% Oita FC Trinita22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Oita FC Trinita covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Oita FC Trinita keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.