Sunday , 16 August 2026

Oita FC Trinita vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2020
Sat 4 Jul 2020 · 09:30 UTC Oita Bank Dome HT 45+3' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

Oita FC Trinita vs Sagan Tosu FCJ. League at Oita Bank Dome.

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
  • Referee Isao Nishihashi
  • Referee Koichiro Fukushima
  • Referee Yukimasa Anai

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jul Sagan Tosu FC H 2–0 W
22 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
07 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–2 L
30 Nov Vegalta Sendai A 0–2 L
23 Nov Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–1 D
10 Nov Gamba Osaka H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jul Oita FC Trinita A 0–2 L
22 Feb Kawasaki Frontale A 0–0 D
07 Dec Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–1 L
30 Nov Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 0–2 L
23 Nov Nagoya Grampus A 0–0 D
10 Nov Matsumoto Yamaga FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Oita FC Trinita to score. At the same time, Sagan Tosu FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Myung-Hwi Kim might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Tatsuya Morita is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Oita FC Trinita so far.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' Renzo Lopez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 35' Tiago Alves, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 40' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 45' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 46' Daichi Hayashi gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Renzo Lopez and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' Tatsuya Tanaka gets the nod from Oita FC Trinita. He replaces Kenta Inoue and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 59' The whistle greets Tiago Alves as he departs to be replaced by Takeshi Kanamori.
  • 64' Oita FC Trinita currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 66' Tatsuya Tanaka makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Oita FC Trinita are in front.
  • 66' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Fuchi Honda is withdrawn and Ryang Yong Gi gets his opportunity.
  • 67' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Fuchi Honda departs to be replaced by Ryang Yong Gi.
  • 71' Another substitution for Oita FC Trinita to replace Daiki Watari by Kazushi Mitsuhira on 71 minute.
  • 76' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 77' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Yuto Uchida trudges off to be replaced by Yohei Toyoda on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Yuki Kobayashi makes way for Toshio Shimakawa at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Oita FC Trinita.
  • 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 89' GOAL! Tatsuya Tanaka scores on 89.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Oita FC Trinita players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4 Oita FC Trinita xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oita FC Trinita52% Draw28% Sagan Tosu FC20%
Actual: Oita FC Trinita win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Oita FC Trinita or Draw
80%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
48%
Oita FC Trinita or Sagan Tosu FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Oita FC Trinita33% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.4%
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Oita FC Trinita

Handicap Oita FC Trinita covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Oita FC Trinita keeps clean sheet
45%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.