Sunday , 16 August 2026

SM Caen vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
0 1
Full Time
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 12:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs ES Troyes ACLigue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Aurelien Petit

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct ES Troyes AC H 0–1 L
18 Oct Red Star FC A 2–2 D
05 Oct FC Lorient H 1–2 L
30 Sep En Avant Guingamp A 1–3 L
24 Sep Amiens SC H 2–1 W
20 Sep AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct SM Caen A 1–0 W
21 Oct Paris FC H 0–3 L
04 Oct USL Dunkerque A 1–2 L
28 Sep FC Metz H 2–1 W
24 Sep FC Annecy A 0–1 L
20 Sep Rodez Aveyron Football H 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 69% + ES Troyes AC or Draw 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen33% Draw33% ES Troyes AC34%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
66%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
67%
SM Caen or ES Troyes AC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen22% Draw55% ES Troyes AC23%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.7%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
3.3%
1 – 3
2.2%
0 – 3
2.1%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 20% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
38%
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.