Sunday , 18 October 2026

SM Caen vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
SM Caen
0 – 1
Full Time
ES Troyes AC
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 12:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 10' Martin Adeline
Romain Thomas 39' Y
Lorenzo Rajot 45' Y
R 79' Paolo Gozzi Iweru
Y 85' Renaud Ripart

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs ES Troyes AC — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Aurelien Petit
5 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Saint-Etienne 9 22
2 Stade de Reims 9 17
3 Red Star FC 9 17
4 AS Nancy-Lorraine 9 16
5 Montpellier HSC 8 15
6 Pau FC 9 14
7 FC Metz 9 13
8 FC Annecy 9 13
9 Dijon Football Cote d'Or 9 12
10 USL Dunkerque 9 11
11 FC Sochaux-Montbéliard 9 11
12 US Boulogne Cote d'Opale 9 9
13 En Avant Guingamp 9 8
14 FC Nantes 9 8
15 Grenoble Foot 38 9 8
16 Clermont Foot 63 9 7
17 Rodez Aveyron Football 8 7
18 Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 9 6

Head-to-Head

1
4
11
SM Caen 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals ES Troyes AC
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-26 SM Caen 0–1 ES Troyes AC 2024-01-27 SM Caen 0–0 ES Troyes AC 2023-11-04 ES Troyes AC 2–1 SM Caen 2021-04-17 ES Troyes AC 1–0 SM Caen 2020-12-12 SM Caen 0–0 ES Troyes AC

Recent Form

SM Caen
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct ES Troyes AC H 0–1 L
18 Oct Red Star FC A 2–2 D
05 Oct FC Lorient H 1–2 L
30 Sep En Avant Guingamp A 1–3 L
24 Sep Amiens SC H 2–1 W
20 Sep AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
ES Troyes AC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct SM Caen A 1–0 W
21 Oct Paris FC H 0–3 L
04 Oct USL Dunkerque A 1–2 L
28 Sep FC Metz H 2–1 W
24 Sep FC Annecy A 0–1 L
20 Sep Rodez Aveyron Football H 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Michel-d'Ornano will turn into a battlefield for SM Caen and ES Troyes AC.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' A moment of madness from Martin Adeline on 10 minutes earns him a card. ES Troyes AC will be frustrated.
  • 15' Joseph Boende has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. SM Caen and ES Troyes AC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' Paolo Gozzi Iweru has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Emmanuel Ntim departs to be replaced by Godson Kyeremeh.
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 39' That looks like a foul for a card for Romain Thomas.
  • 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lorenzo Rajot on 45 minutes.
  • 46' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Lorenzo Rajot departs to be replaced by Bilal Brahimi.
  • 49' ES Troyes AC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Rafiki Said Ahamada on 45.
  • 54' ES Troyes AC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 59' SM Caen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
  • 64' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 69' The 29-year-old Nicolas Lemaitre has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 71' A tactical swap from ES Troyes AC — Cyriaque Irie on, Kyliane Dong off on 71 minutes.
  • 74' Noe Lebreton makes way for Kalifa Coulibaly at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from SM Caen.
  • 76' Another substitution for ES Troyes AC to replace Youssouf M'Changama by Joseph Boende on 76 minute.
  • 79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Paolo Gozzi Iweru.
  • 82' Time for substitution for ES Troyes AC. Martin Adeline is replaced by Ismaelben Boura.
  • 83' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Quentin Lecoeuche departs to be replaced by Diabe Bolumbu.
  • 85' Renaud Ripart has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 85.
  • 90' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

SM Caen Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Nicolas Seube

ES Troyes AC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Lenny Pintor 2
Rafiki Said Ahamada 2
Youssouf M'Changama 1
Mouhamed Diop 1
Baissama Sankoh 1
Dylan Chambost 1
Tristan Dingome 1
Alex Mendy 1

Head to Head

2024-10-26 SM Caen 0–1 ES Troyes AC 2024-01-27 SM Caen 0–0 ES Troyes AC 2023-11-04 ES Troyes AC 2–1 SM Caen 2021-04-17 ES Troyes AC 1–0 SM Caen 2020-12-12 SM Caen 0–0 ES Troyes AC

SM Caen Form

2024-10-26 SM Caen 0–1 ES Troyes AC L 2024-10-18 Red Star FC 2–2 SM Caen D 2024-10-05 SM Caen 1–2 FC Lorient L 2024-09-30 En Avant Guingamp 3–1 SM Caen L 2024-09-24 SM Caen 2–1 Amiens SC W 2024-09-20 SM Caen 1–0 AC Ajaccio W

ES Troyes AC Form

2024-10-26 SM Caen 0–1 ES Troyes AC W 2024-10-21 ES Troyes AC 0–3 Paris FC L 2024-10-04 USL Dunkerque 2–1 ES Troyes AC L 2024-09-28 ES Troyes AC 2–1 FC Metz W 2024-09-24 FC Annecy 1–0 ES Troyes AC L 2024-09-20 ES Troyes AC 0–3 Rodez Aveyron Football L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 69% + ES Troyes AC or Draw 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen33% Draw33% ES Troyes AC34%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
66%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
67%
SM Caen or ES Troyes AC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen22% Draw55% ES Troyes AC23%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.7%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
3.3%
1 – 3
2.2%
0 – 3
2.1%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 20% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.