Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SM Caen vs FC Lorient, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 – 2
Full Time
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 12:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs FC Lorient — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Florent Batta

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct FC Lorient H 1–2 L
30 Sep En Avant Guingamp A 1–3 L
24 Sep Amiens SC H 2–1 W
20 Sep AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
16 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–3 L
30 Aug FC Annecy H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct SM Caen A 2–1 W
27 Sep AC Ajaccio H 3–0 W
24 Sep Pau FC A 0–1 L
21 Sep FC Metz A 1–1 D
13 Sep Red Star FC H 2–1 W
31 Aug Amiens SC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FC Lorient get us underway at Michel-d'Ornano.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 399 appearances.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. SM Caen in their trying to find a way past FC Lorient's compact .
  • 17' SM Caen is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tidiam Gomis on 17.
  • 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Brahim Traore suffering a number of foals already.
  • 27' Laurent Abergel is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Lorient tonight.
  • 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mohamed Bamba made 14 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Julien Ponceau makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and FC Lorient are in front.
  • 38' The referee calls foul for Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi. He receives a card.
  • 43' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 46' Noe Lebreton gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Godson Kyeremeh and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for Quentin Lecoeuche on 49.
  • 54' The energy levels are beginning to show. Olivier Pantaloni might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 59' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' Another change for SM Caen made on 61 minute. Bilal Brahimi leaves to be changed by Lorenzo Rajot.
  • 66' FC Lorient started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
  • 67' Another substitution for FC Lorient to replace Julien Ponceau by Mohamed Bamba on 67 minute.
  • 72' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Diabe Bolumbu. He replaces Quentin Lecoeuche on 75 minute.
  • 76' Another change for FC Lorient made on 76 minute. Eli Kroupi leaves to be changed by Aiyegun Tosin.
  • 81' Panos Katseris has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 86' FC Lorient manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Enzo Genton is hanging Laurent Abergel on the field on 86 minute.
  • 87' Mohamed Bamba does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Lorient surge ahead!
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SM Caen.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.21 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 FC Lorient xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or FC Lorient 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen33% Draw29% FC Lorient38%
Actual: FC Lorient win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
62%
Draw or FC Lorient
67%
SM Caen or FC Lorient
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen25% Draw49% FC Lorient26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push FC Lorient covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.