Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SM Caen vs AC Ajaccio, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 – 0
Full Time
Fri 20 Sep 2024 · 18:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs AC Ajaccio — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Geoffrey Kubler
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
16 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–3 L
30 Aug FC Annecy H 1–1 D
23 Aug Pau FC A 0–1 L
17 Aug Paris FC H 0–2 L
17 May Valenciennes FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep SM Caen A 0–1 L
13 Sep Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 1–1 D
30 Aug ES Troyes AC H 2–1 W
26 Aug Red Star FC A 0–1 L
16 Aug Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–0 W
17 May Rodez Aveyron Football A 0–2 L

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Michel-d'Ornano will turn into a battlefield for SM Caen and AC Ajaccio.
  • 5' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' AC Ajaccio are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' AC Ajaccio are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. SM Caen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SM Caen and AC Ajaccio are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 42' The referee calls foul for Jesah Ayessa. He receives a card.
  • 47' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 52' AC Ajaccio have won 241 goals from 402 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 57' Anthony Strata has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 402 appearances.
  • 62' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Julien Anziani as he leaves the pitch. Anthony Strata steps in for AC Ajaccio.
  • 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Francois-Joseph Sollacaro, as he is very good at scoring at Michel-d'Ornano with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 71' Mickael Le Bihan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tidiam Gomis at the 71 minute mark.
  • 76' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Valentin Henry.
  • 79' The SM Caen bench stirs into life. Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi is withdrawn and Noe Lebreton gets his opportunity.
  • 80' Goal! Bilal Brahimi scores his 9 goal in 391 matches.
  • 84' The AC Ajaccio bench stirs into life. Thomas Mangani is withdrawn and Ivane Chegra gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Moussa Soumano was booked on 85.
  • 85' Fresh legs for AC Ajaccio! Christopher Ibayi comes on to replace Mohamed Youssouf.
  • 86' A change in the SM Caen ranks — Alex Mendy exits the field as Kalifa Coulibaly enters on 86.
  • 87' Fresh legs for SM Caen! Lorenzo Rajot comes on to replace Bilal Brahimi.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for SM Caen and AC Ajaccio (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 AC Ajaccio xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen44% Draw30% AC Ajaccio26%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
75%
Draw or AC Ajaccio
56%
SM Caen or AC Ajaccio
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen29% Draw53% AC Ajaccio18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push AC Ajaccio covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.