Saturday , 14 November 2026

SM Caen vs AC Ajaccio, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 – 0
Full Time
Fri 20 Sep 2024 · 18:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs AC Ajaccio — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Geoffrey Kubler
6 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
16 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–3 L
30 Aug FC Annecy H 1–1 D
23 Aug Pau FC A 0–1 L
17 Aug Paris FC H 0–2 L
17 May Valenciennes FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep SM Caen A 0–1 L
13 Sep Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 1–1 D
30 Aug ES Troyes AC H 2–1 W
26 Aug Red Star FC A 0–1 L
16 Aug Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–0 W
17 May Rodez Aveyron Football A 0–2 L

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. SM Caen get us underway at Michel-d'Ornano.
  • 5' The travelling AC Ajaccio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' SM Caen are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Ajaccio's shape.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. SM Caen must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SM Caen and AC Ajaccio are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' AC Ajaccio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 35' SM Caen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 40' Yann M'Vila needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 20 Yellow cards this season.
  • 42' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jesah Ayessa on 42 minutes.
  • 47' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 52' Benjamin Santelli, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 57' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 62' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kan Guy Arsene Kouassi made 402 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 64' AC Ajaccio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Anthony Strata is hanging Julien Anziani on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' The 39-year-old Thomas Mangani has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 71' The SM Caen bench stirs into life. Tidiam Gomis is withdrawn and Mickael Le Bihan gets his opportunity.
  • 76' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 77' Valentin Henry is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
  • 79' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi by Noe Lebreton on 79 minute.
  • 80' The France Bilal Brahimi breaks the deadlock on 80 minutes. 1-0!
  • 84' Ivane Chegra is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thomas Mangani at the 84 minute mark.
  • 85' Moussa Soumano catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
  • 85' A change in the AC Ajaccio ranks — Mohamed Youssouf exits the field as Christopher Ibayi enters on 85.
  • 86' Kalifa Coulibaly gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Alex Mendy and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' Another change for SM Caen made on 87 minute. Bilal Brahimi leaves to be changed by Lorenzo Rajot.
  • The points are shared — SM Caen 1-0 AC Ajaccio. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 AC Ajaccio xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen44% Draw30% AC Ajaccio26%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
75%
Draw or AC Ajaccio
56%
SM Caen or AC Ajaccio
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen29% Draw53% AC Ajaccio18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push AC Ajaccio covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.