Sunday , 16 August 2026

SM Caen vs AC Ajaccio, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 0
Full Time
Fri 20 Sep 2024 · 18:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs AC AjaccioLigue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Geoffrey Kubler

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
16 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–3 L
30 Aug FC Annecy H 1–1 D
23 Aug Pau FC A 0–1 L
17 Aug Paris FC H 0–2 L
17 May Valenciennes FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep SM Caen A 0–1 L
13 Sep Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 1–1 D
30 Aug ES Troyes AC H 2–1 W
26 Aug Red Star FC A 0–1 L
16 Aug Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–0 W
17 May Rodez Aveyron Football A 0–2 L

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SM Caen to score. At the same time, AC Ajaccio does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' The travelling AC Ajaccio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' Mehdi Puch-Herrantz has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 42' Jesah Ayessa was booked on 42.
  • 47' AC Ajaccio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 52' The home supporters are growing impatient. SM Caen must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 57' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Julien Anziani suffering a number of foals already.
  • 64' Anthony Strata has so much to prove this time. He replaces Julien Anziani on 64 minute.
  • 69' AC Ajaccio come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 71' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Tidiam Gomis is replaced by Mickael Le Bihan on 71 minute.
  • 76' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 77' Valentin Henry is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
  • 79' Noe Lebreton is replacing Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi for the SM Caen side.
  • 80' Bilal Brahimi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 80 minutes.
  • 84' Time for substitution for AC Ajaccio. Thomas Mangani is replaced by Ivane Chegra.
  • 85' Poor challenge from Moussa Soumano. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 85' It is a substitution in AC Ajaccio team. Mohamed Youssouf is replaced by Christopher Ibayi on 85 minute.
  • 86' A change in the SM Caen ranks — Alex Mendy exits the field as Kalifa Coulibaly enters on 86.
  • 87' Bilal Brahimi makes way for Lorenzo Rajot at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from SM Caen.
  • It finishes all square. SM Caen and AC Ajaccio share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 AC Ajaccio xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen44% Draw30% AC Ajaccio26%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
75%
Draw or AC Ajaccio
56%
SM Caen or AC Ajaccio
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen29% Draw53% AC Ajaccio18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push AC Ajaccio covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
42%
AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.