Thursday , 2 July 2026

SM Caen vs AC Ajaccio, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 0
Full Time
Fri 20 Sep 2024 · 18:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs AC AjaccioLigue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

Match Details

  • Referee Geoffrey Kubler

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep AC Ajaccio H 1–0 W
16 Sep Grenoble Foot 38 A 1–3 L
30 Aug FC Annecy H 1–1 D
23 Aug Pau FC A 0–1 L
17 Aug Paris FC H 0–2 L
17 May Valenciennes FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep SM Caen A 0–1 L
13 Sep Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 1–1 D
30 Aug ES Troyes AC H 2–1 W
26 Aug Red Star FC A 0–1 L
16 Aug Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–0 W
17 May Rodez Aveyron Football A 0–2 L

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Michel-d'Ornano that hosts another battle between SM Caen and AC Ajaccio.
  • 5' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' AC Ajaccio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bilal Brahimi, as he is very good at scoring at Michel-d'Ornano with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
  • 30' SM Caen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 42' AC Ajaccio receives a card for a hard tackle on 42.
  • 47' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 52' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kan Guy Arsene Kouassi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 62' The travelling AC Ajaccio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 64' Another change for AC Ajaccio made on 64 minute. Julien Anziani leaves to be changed by Anthony Strata.
  • 69' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 71' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Tidiam Gomis is replaced by Mickael Le Bihan on 71 minute.
  • 76' AC Ajaccio seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 77' It’s gonna be a card for Valentin Henry.
  • 79' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi departs to be replaced by Noe Lebreton.
  • 80' Goal! Bilal Brahimi scores his 9 goal in 383 matches.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Ivane Chegra. He replaces Thomas Mangani on 84 minute.
  • 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Moussa Soumano on 85.
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Christopher Ibayi. He replaces Mohamed Youssouf on 85 minute.
  • 86' Time for substitution for SM Caen. Alex Mendy is replaced by Kalifa Coulibaly.
  • 87' Lorenzo Rajot is replacing Bilal Brahimi for the SM Caen side.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AC Ajaccio.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 AC Ajaccio xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen44% Draw30% AC Ajaccio26%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
75%
Draw or AC Ajaccio
56%
SM Caen or AC Ajaccio
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen29% Draw53% AC Ajaccio18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push AC Ajaccio covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
42%
AC Ajaccio keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.