Monday , 5 October 2026

ES Troyes AC vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
2 – 1
Full Time
Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 18:00 UTC Stade de l'Aube HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs SM Caen — Ligue 2 at Stade de l'Aube.

Match Details

  • Referee Remi Landry
4 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 7.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov SM Caen H 2–1 W
28 Oct Paris FC A 2–2 D
21 Oct US Concarneau H 0–0 D
07 Oct Valenciennes FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep AS Saint-Étienne H 0–1 L
26 Sep Rodez Aveyron Football A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov ES Troyes AC A 1–2 L
28 Oct Valenciennes FC A 2–2 D
21 Oct AJ Auxerre H 1–1 D
07 Oct Rodez Aveyron Football A 3–5 L
03 Oct FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 1–1 D
30 Sep En Avant Guingamp H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against ES Troyes AC and SM Caen has kicked off!
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jean-Marc Furlan might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Hianga Mananga Mbock needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' ES Troyes AC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 17' Luka Ilic adds to his 0 season tally! ES Troyes AC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 21' The referee calls foul for Romain Thomas. He receives a card.
  • 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 31' SM Caen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 36' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alex Mendy is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SM Caen.
  • 38' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Abdoulaye N'Diaye on 38 minutes.
  • 41' Rafiki Said Ahamada is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
  • 46' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. ES Troyes AC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 50' Kyliane Dong has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 50.
  • 55' Abdu Conte has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 509 appearances.
  • 60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 61' Alex Mendy doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 62' A change in the SM Caen ranks — Brahim Traore exits the field as Quentin Daubin enters on 62.
  • 64' Jaures Assoumou is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 70' A change in the ES Troyes AC ranks — Rafiki Said Ahamada exits the field as Andreas Bruus enters on 70.
  • 75' A quiet spell here at Stade de l'Aube. SM Caen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 80' Mickael Le Bihan is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SM Caen tonight.
  • 81' Fresh legs for SM Caen! Tidiam Gomis comes on to replace Caleb Zady Sery.
  • 84' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Hianga Mananga Mbock is replaced by Noe Lebreton on 84 minute.
  • 86' ES Troyes AC ring the changes. Kyliane Dong has done his job and it is now time for Junior Olaitan to step up.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Derek Mazou-Sacko. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 2-1 the final result. SM Caen will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.42 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC50% Draw27% SM Caen23%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
77%
Draw or SM Caen
50%
ES Troyes AC or SM Caen
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ES Troyes AC32% Draw49% SM Caen19%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.