Sunday , 27 September 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 00:00 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'
Micael 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.

Match Details

  • Referee Alex Gomes Stefano (Brazil)
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 4.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 4–1 W
13 Sep SC Internacional H 4–1 W
31 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
25 Aug SC Recife H 3–0 W
17 Aug Botafogo FR A 1–0 W
10 Aug Ceará SC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
31 Aug SC Internacional A 1–2 L
24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
16 Aug Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
09 Aug Botafogo FR H 0–5 L

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. SE Palmeiras get us underway at Allianz Parque.
  • 5' Emiliano Martinez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' What a strike from Raphael Veiga! The score is 1-0.
  • 15' Paraguay international Mauricio has been a key figure this campaign — 6 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tomas Pochettino made 176 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 23' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lucas Crispim makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 28' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 33' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 43' Lucas Sasha has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fortaleza EC that had 266 games and scored 352 goals.
  • 57' Ramon Sosa is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
  • 58' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Juan Lucero has done his job and it is now time for Deyverson to step up.
  • 59' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rodrigo is hanging Lucas Crispim on the field on 59 minute.
  • 64' SE Palmeiras have won 589 goals from 392 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 69' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Adam Bareiro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 70' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Mauricio has done his job and it is now time for Vitor Roque to step up.
  • 71' Lucas Evangelista has so much to prove this time. He replaces Allan on 71 minute.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Andreas Pereira. He replaces Facundo Torres Perez on 74 minute.
  • 75' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Ramon Sosa by Felipe Anderson on 75 minute.
  • 80' Matheus Pereira is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fortaleza EC tonight.
  • 82' Andreas Pereira does the damage! The net is bulging and SE Palmeiras surge ahead!
  • 86' A moment of madness from Micael on 86 minutes earns him a card. SE Palmeiras will be frustrated.
  • 86' Adam Bareiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matheus Pereira at the 86 minute mark.
  • 90' A goal from the Brazil international Andreas Pereira! He fires home on 90 to make it 4-1!
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Emanuel Britez.
  • It finishes all square. SE Palmeiras and Fortaleza EC share the spoils 4-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras59% Draw22% Fortaleza EC19%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
81%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
41%
SE Palmeiras or Fortaleza EC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras41% Draw41% Fortaleza EC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 22% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.