SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alex Gomes Stefano (Brazil)
4 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | Fortaleza EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | SC Recife | H | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Ceará SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | Mirassol FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 0–5 | L |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. SE Palmeiras get us underway at Allianz Parque.
- 5' Emiliano Martinez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' What a strike from Raphael Veiga! The score is 1-0.
- 15' Paraguay international Mauricio has been a key figure this campaign — 6 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tomas Pochettino made 176 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 23' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lucas Crispim makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 28' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 33' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 43' Lucas Sasha has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fortaleza EC that had 266 games and scored 352 goals.
- 57' Ramon Sosa is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
- 58' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Juan Lucero has done his job and it is now time for Deyverson to step up.
- 59' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rodrigo is hanging Lucas Crispim on the field on 59 minute.
- 64' SE Palmeiras have won 589 goals from 392 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 69' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Adam Bareiro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 70' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Mauricio has done his job and it is now time for Vitor Roque to step up.
- 71' Lucas Evangelista has so much to prove this time. He replaces Allan on 71 minute.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Andreas Pereira. He replaces Facundo Torres Perez on 74 minute.
- 75' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Ramon Sosa by Felipe Anderson on 75 minute.
- 80' Matheus Pereira is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fortaleza EC tonight.
- 82' Andreas Pereira does the damage! The net is bulging and SE Palmeiras surge ahead!
- 86' A moment of madness from Micael on 86 minutes earns him a card. SE Palmeiras will be frustrated.
- 86' Adam Bareiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matheus Pereira at the 86 minute mark.
- 90' A goal from the Brazil international Andreas Pereira! He fires home on 90 to make it 4-1!
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Emanuel Britez.
- It finishes all square. SE Palmeiras and Fortaleza EC share the spoils 4-1.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 188
- 21
- 3
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Vitor Roque 70'
- 17
- 32
- 13
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↓ Felipe Anderson 75'
- 4
- 6
-
40
Allan ↓ Lucas Evangelista 71'
Bench
- 15
-
8
Andreas Pereira ↑ 74'
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↑ 75'
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↑ 71'
- 5
- 1
- 11
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 70'
- 26
- 22
-
9
Vitor Roque ↑ 70'
- 52
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↓ Marinho 74'
- 6
- 23
- 88
- 33
-
5
Matheus Pereira ↓ Adam Bareiro 86'
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Deyverson 58'
- 3
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Tomas Pochettino 74'
-
91
Lucas Crispim ↓ Rodrigo 59'
- 14
Bench
-
11
Marinho ↑ 74'
- 20
- 16
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 58'
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 74'
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↑ 86'
- 30
- 34
- 12
-
29
Rodrigo ↑ 59'
- 38
- 28
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Roni | 3 |
| Juan Lucero | 3 |
| Ze Rafael | 3 |
| Endrick | 2 |
| Andreas Pereira | 2 |
| Robson | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
81%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
41%
SE Palmeiras or Fortaleza EC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

