Botafogo FR vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Aug | Fortaleza EC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jul | SC Recife | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | EC Vitoria | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Ceará SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #2 |
| 42 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 11 / 9 / 14 | W / D / L | 21 / 10 / 3 |
| 46 | Scored | 62 |
| 53 | Conceded | 23 |
| -7 | GD | +39 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 32% | Win % | 62% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Botafogo FR are 11th (42 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
6/6
16-30
3/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/4
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 10 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 6 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Botafogo FR vs SE Palmeiras — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Matheus Martins has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 404 appearances.
- 10' SE Palmeiras seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' SE Palmeiras come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 30' Agustin Giay has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 32' Anibal Moreno has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 32.
- 37' Over 37 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' What composure from Felipe Anderson! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 50' It looks surprising SE Palmeiras does not make any changes. Weverton has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 59' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Allan is replaced by Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira on 59 minute.
- 64' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Davide Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
- 65' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Murilo Cerqueira on 65 minutes.
- 66' Alvaro Montoro is replacing Nathan Ribeiro for the Botafogo FR side.
- 71' Allan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Felipe Anderson at the 71 minute mark.
- 74' Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
- 78' Vitinho is replacing Alexander Barboza for the Botafogo FR side.
- 83' Agustin Giay has so much to prove this time. He replaces Khellven on 83 minute.
- 88' Argentina international Jose Manuel Lopez has been a key figure this campaign — 8 goals and 6 assists in the Array this season.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. SE Palmeiras take all three points.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 25
- 30
- 13
- 12
-
20
Alexander Barboza ↓ Vitinho 78'
- 17
- 11
- 23
-
16
Nathan Ribeiro ↓ Alvaro Montoro 66'
-
4
Mateo Ponte ↓ Jeffinho 78'
Bench
- 7
- 22
-
10
Jefferson Savarino ↑ 59'
-
2
Vitinho ↑ 78'
- 39
- 35
-
47
Jeffinho ↑ 78'
- 77
-
8
Alvaro Montoro ↑ 66'
- 14
- 48
- 53
Coach
Davide Ancelotti
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Allan 71'
- 30
- 5
-
12
Khellven ↓ Agustin Giay 83'
- 17
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↓ Mauricio 66'
-
26
Murilo Cerqueira ↓ Bruno Fuchs 66'
- 22
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Luighi Hanri 66'
Bench
- 14
-
3
Bruno Fuchs ↑ 66'
-
18
Mauricio ↑ 66'
- 32
- 13
- 19
-
4
Agustin Giay ↑ 83'
-
31
Luighi Hanri ↑ 66'
- 43
- 39
-
40
Allan ↑ 71'
- 56
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gustavo Scarpa | 4 |
| Endrick | 3 |
| Roni | 3 |
| Tiquinho Soares | 3 |
| Lucas Lima | 2 |
| Lucas Lima | 2 |
| Murilo | 2 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 2 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.77
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
49%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
79%
Botafogo FR or SE Palmeiras
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
0 – 2
11.7%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 3
6.3%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 4
2.6%
2 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 25% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

