Botafogo FR vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 21 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Aug | Fortaleza EC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jul | SC Recife | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | EC Vitoria | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Ceará SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #1 |
| 30 | Points | 48 |
| 21 | Played | 23 |
| 8 / 6 / 7 | W / D / L | 14 / 6 / 3 |
| 35 | Scored | 40 |
| 33 | Conceded | 19 |
| +2 | GD | +21 |
| 1.43 | PPG | 2.09 |
| 38% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Botafogo FR are 10th (30 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 7 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Mauricio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio Nilton Santos!
- 5' Botafogo FR are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SE Palmeiras's shape.
- 10' Allan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 15' SE Palmeiras have won 583 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' Mauricio has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 32' Anibal Moreno is having his name booked by the referee on 32.
- 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bruno Fuchs suffering a number of foals already.
- 42' A quiet spell here at Estadio Nilton Santos. Botafogo FR seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' Assisted by Vitor Roque with the perfectly-timed delivery and Felipe Anderson makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matheus Martins made 389 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 59' Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira is ready to make an impact after coming on for Allan at the 59 minute mark.
- 64' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Botafogo FR and SE Palmeiras are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 65' Murilo Cerqueira was booked on 65.
- 66' Time for substitution for Botafogo FR. Nathan Ribeiro is replaced by Alvaro Montoro.
- 71' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Felipe Anderson is replaced by Allan on 71 minute.
- 74' The referee shows Botafogo FR player a card on 74.
- 78' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Alexander Barboza is replaced by Vitinho on 78 minute.
- 83' Agustin Giay is ready to make an impact after coming on for Khellven at the 83 minute mark.
- 88' The energy levels are beginning to show. Davide Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 25
- 30
- 13
- 12
-
20
Alexander Barboza ↓ Vitinho 78'
- 17
- 11
- 23
-
16
Nathan Ribeiro ↓ Alvaro Montoro 66'
-
4
Mateo Ponte ↓ Jeffinho 78'
Bench
- 7
- 22
-
10
Jefferson Savarino ↑ 59'
-
2
Vitinho ↑ 78'
- 39
- 35
-
47
Jeffinho ↑ 78'
- 77
-
8
Alvaro Montoro ↑ 66'
- 14
- 48
- 53
Coach
Davide Ancelotti
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Allan 71'
- 30
- 5
-
12
Khellven ↓ Agustin Giay 83'
- 17
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↓ Mauricio 66'
-
26
Murilo Cerqueira ↓ Bruno Fuchs 66'
- 22
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Luighi Hanri 66'
Bench
- 14
-
3
Bruno Fuchs ↑ 66'
-
18
Mauricio ↑ 66'
- 32
- 13
- 19
-
4
Agustin Giay ↑ 83'
-
31
Luighi Hanri ↑ 66'
- 43
- 39
-
40
Allan ↑ 71'
- 56
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gustavo Scarpa | 4 |
| Endrick | 3 |
| Roni | 3 |
| Tiquinho Soares | 3 |
| Murilo | 2 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 2 |
| Lucas Lima | 2 |
| Lucas Lima | 2 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.99
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
53%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
75%
Botafogo FR or SE Palmeiras
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
9.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 1
5.6%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
5.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 23% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

