Botafogo FR vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Aug | Fortaleza EC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jul | SC Recife | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | EC Vitoria | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Ceará SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Jul | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #1 |
| 22 | Points | 41 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 12 / 5 / 1 |
| 31 | Scored | 30 |
| 31 | Conceded | 13 |
| +0 | GD | +17 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 2.28 |
| 35% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Botafogo FR are 12th (22 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 7 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Botafogo FR kicks off things out of here…
- 5' SE Palmeiras started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Botafogo FR are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' Weverton has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Botafogo FR needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' Botafogo FR currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 32' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Anibal Moreno.
- 37' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Botafogo FR side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 42' A quiet spell here at Estadio Nilton Santos. Botafogo FR seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' Felipe Anderson doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 50' Bruno Fuchs has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 55' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 59' Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira is replacing Allan for the Botafogo FR side.
- 64' Both keepers have barely been tested. Botafogo FR and SE Palmeiras are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 65' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Murilo Cerqueira gets a card.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Alvaro Montoro. He replaces Nathan Ribeiro on 66 minute.
- 71' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Felipe Anderson by Allan on 71 minute.
- 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira on 74 minutes.
- 78' Vitinho is replacing Alexander Barboza for the Botafogo FR side.
- 83' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Khellven is replaced by Agustin Giay.
- 88' It looks surprising Botafogo FR does not make any changes. Nathan Ribeiro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- With this win, SE Palmeiras is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 25
- 30
- 13
- 12
-
20
Alexander Barboza ↓ Vitinho 78'
- 17
- 11
- 23
-
16
Nathan Ribeiro ↓ Alvaro Montoro 66'
-
4
Mateo Ponte ↓ Jeffinho 78'
Bench
- 7
- 22
-
10
Jefferson Savarino ↑ 59'
-
2
Vitinho ↑ 78'
- 39
- 35
-
47
Jeffinho ↑ 78'
- 77
-
8
Alvaro Montoro ↑ 66'
- 14
- 48
- 53
Coach
Davide Ancelotti
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Allan 71'
- 30
- 5
-
12
Khellven ↓ Agustin Giay 83'
- 17
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↓ Mauricio 66'
-
26
Murilo Cerqueira ↓ Bruno Fuchs 66'
- 22
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Luighi Hanri 66'
Bench
- 14
-
3
Bruno Fuchs ↑ 66'
-
18
Mauricio ↑ 66'
- 32
- 13
- 19
-
4
Agustin Giay ↑ 83'
-
31
Luighi Hanri ↑ 66'
- 43
- 39
-
40
Allan ↑ 71'
- 56
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gustavo Scarpa | 4 |
| Endrick | 3 |
| Roni | 3 |
| Tiquinho Soares | 3 |
| Lucas Lima | 2 |
| Lucas Lima | 2 |
| Murilo | 2 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 2 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.95
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
51%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
77%
Botafogo FR or SE Palmeiras
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
10%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 24% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

