SE Palmeiras vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs SC Recife — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
- SC Recife 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | SC Recife | H | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Ceará SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Jul | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. SC Recife kicks off things out of here…
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Leo Augusto has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 14' Goal! Jose Manuel Lopez scores his 33 goal in 192 matches.
- 19' Rafael Thyere has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 187 appearances.
- 21' A moment of madness from Kevyson on 21 minutes earns him a card. SC Recife will be frustrated.
- 26' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 31' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 36' A quiet spell here at Allianz Parque. SC Recife seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Murilo Cerqueira made 362 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 46' Gabriel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 51' Felipe Anderson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
- 56' Jose Manuel Lopez doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 59' Assisted by Mauricio with the perfectly-timed delivery and Gustavo Gomez makes no mistake. 3-0!
- 60' The SC Recife manager makes a substitution. Pablo Felipe departs to be replaced by Ignacio Ramirez.
- 65' SE Palmeiras are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 68' Felipe Anderson makes way for Ramon Sosa at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
- 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 82' Romarinho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucas Lima at the 82 minute mark.
- 84' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Khellven by Agustin Giay on 84 minute.
- 85' Controversy at the stadium! Pedro Augusto argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Joaquin Piquerez is replaced by Jefte on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Ramon Sosa 68'
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↓ Allan 84'
-
12
Khellven ↓ Agustin Giay 84'
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Facundo Torres Perez 68'
- 42
- 26
-
22
Joaquin Piquerez ↓ Jefte 90'
- 32
- 9
Bench
- 14
- 3
- 1
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 68'
- 13
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 68'
-
4
Agustin Giay ↑ 84'
- 31
-
6
Jefte ↑ 90'
- 39
-
40
Allan ↑ 84'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 40
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↓ Ignacio Ramirez 60'
- 15
-
10
Lucas Lima ↓ Romarinho 82'
- 33
- 38
- 17
-
3
Kevyson ↓ Aderlan Silva 60'
- 14
-
58
ze Lucas ↓ Pedro Augusto 60'
Bench
- 21
- 19
-
11
Romarinho ↑ 82'
- 22
-
9
Ignacio Ramirez ↑ 60'
-
28
Pedro Augusto ↑ 60'
-
13
Aderlan Silva ↑ 60'
- 6
-
30
Chrystian Barletta ↑ 90'
- 46
Coach
Daniel Paulista
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 3 |
| Willian | 3 |
| Anselmo | 2 |
| Anselmo | 2 |
| Chrystian Barletta | 1 |
| Keno | 1 |
| Joaquin Piquerez | 1 |
| Willian | 1 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
SC Recife xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 60% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
85%
Draw or SC Recife
40%
SE Palmeiras or SC Recife
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
2.6%
0 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | SC Recife covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 18% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.