Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SE Palmeiras vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

3 – 0
Full Time
Mon 25 Aug 2025 · 22:00 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Kevyson

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs SC Recife — Serie A at Allianz Parque.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug SC Recife H 3–0 W
17 Aug Botafogo FR A 1–0 W
10 Aug Ceará SC H 2–1 W
03 Aug EC Vitoria A 2–2 D
27 Jul Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
23 Jul Fluminense FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
16 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–2 D
10 Aug Gremio FBPA A 1–0 W
02 Aug EC Bahia H 0–0 D
26 Jul Santos FC H 2–2 D
24 Jul EC Vitoria A 2–2 D

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SE Palmeiras and SC Recife has kicked off!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 14' Goal! Jose Manuel Lopez scores his 32 goal in 188 matches.
  • 19' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SE Palmeiras and SC Recife are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 21' Kevyson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
  • 26' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Abel Ferreira will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 31' SE Palmeiras are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Recife backline.
  • 36' Kevyson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' ze Lucas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' Goal! Jose Manuel Lopez scores his 32 goal in 188 matches.
  • 59' GOAL! Gustavo Gomez scores on 59. Assisted by Mauricio
  • 60' SC Recife manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ignacio Ramirez is hanging Pablo Felipe on the field on 60 minute.
  • 65' SC Recife fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 68' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Felipe Anderson is replaced by Ramon Sosa.
  • 73' Chrystian Barletta is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
  • 78' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 82' SC Recife make a change. Lucas Lima trudges off to be replaced by Romarinho on 82 minutes.
  • 84' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 84 minute. Khellven leaves to be changed by Agustin Giay.
  • 85' A moment of madness from Pedro Augusto on 85 minutes earns him a card. SC Recife will be frustrated.
  • 90' Joaquin Piquerez makes way for Jefte at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
  • The points are shared — SE Palmeiras 3-0 SC Recife. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 60% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras60% Draw25% SC Recife15%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
85%
Draw or SC Recife
40%
SE Palmeiras or SC Recife
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras39% Draw48% SC Recife13%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
2.6%
0 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 18% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 25% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.