Saturday , 14 November 2026

Fortaleza EC vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 26 Nov 2023 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 74' Mayke
Marinho 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov SE Palmeiras H 2–2 D
23 Nov Botafogo FR H 2–2 D
18 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 0–1 L
12 Nov Cuiabá EC A 1–2 L
08 Nov CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
05 Nov CR Flamengo H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D
12 Nov SC Internacional H 3–0 W
09 Nov CR Flamengo A 0–3 L
05 Nov CA Paranaense H 1–0 W
02 Nov Botafogo FR A 4–3 W
28 Oct EC Bahia H 1–0 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
47% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 10 G 7 A
Mauricio 10 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 6 G 3 A
Vitor Roque 5 G 1 A
Allan 4 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Fortaleza EC and SE Palmeiras has kicked off!
  • 5' Fortaleza EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 14' Poor challenge from Bruno Pacheco. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 19' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fortaleza EC that had 266 games and scored 352 goals.
  • 20' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Thiago Galhardo makes it 1-0.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 30' Kaiky Marques has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 402 appearances.
  • 35' Artur Guimaraes has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Vanderlan, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 45' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 55' SE Palmeiras come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 57' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Marcos Rocha is replaced by Rony on 57 minute.
  • 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Red card for Gustavo Gomez.
  • 63' The SE Palmeiras bench stirs into life. Breno Lopes is withdrawn and Vanderlan gets his opportunity.
  • 66' Raphael Veiga doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 70' GOAL! Calebe scores on 70. Assisted by Thiago Galhardo
  • 74' Controversy at the stadium! Mayke argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 75' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Gustavo Garcia.
  • 76' Marinho gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Thiago Galhardo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' What a strike from Ze Rafael! The score is 2-2.
  • 82' Joao Ricardo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SE Palmeiras so far.
  • 83' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Endrick is replaced by Kaiky Marques.
  • 84' The crowd applauds Raphael Veiga as he leaves the pitch. Fabinho steps in for SE Palmeiras.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Tomas Pochettino comes on to replace Caio Alexandre.
  • 90' That is a Yellow card for Fortaleza EC. Marinho will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Jose Welison by Pedro Rocha on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or SE Palmeiras 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC35% Draw28% SE Palmeiras37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
63%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
65%
Fortaleza EC or SE Palmeiras
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC27% Draw45% SE Palmeiras28%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 19% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.