SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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2. Bundesliga · 2024-25

SC Paderborn 07

2 – 4

Full Time

FC Schalke 04

Fri 6 Dec 2024 · 17:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena 15,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Koen Kostons 12' 1–0

1–1 23' Moussa Sylla

1–2 43' Kenan Karaman

Felix Gotze 52' 2–2

2–3 69' Kenan Karaman

2–4 88' Janik Bachmann

Y 25' Janik Bachmann

Y 58' Amin Younes

Y 68' Ron-Thorben Hoffmann

Sebastian Klaas 76' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
FC Schalke 04 34 games · 70 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Robert Kampka
Assistant 1 Marcel Gasteier
Assistant 2 Martin Wilke (Germany)

13 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	34	70
2	SV 07 Elversberg	34	62
3	SC Paderborn 07	34	62
4	Hannover 96	34	60
5	SV Darmstadt 98	34	52
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	34	52
7	Hertha BSC	34	51
8	1. FC Nurnberg	34	46
9	VfL Bochum 1848	34	44
10	Karlsruher SC	34	44
11	SG Dynamo Dresden	34	41
12	Holstein Kiel	34	41
13	Arminia Bielefeld	34	39
14	1. FC Magdeburg	34	39
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	34	37
16	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	34	37
17	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	34	37
18	SC Preussen Munster	34	30

Head-to-Head

SC Paderborn 07 8 games · Avg 4.3 goals FC Schalke 04

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-06 SC Paderborn 07 2–4 FC Schalke 04 2024-03-09 FC Schalke 04 3–3 SC Paderborn 07 2023-09-29 SC Paderborn 07 3–1 FC Schalke 04 2020-02-08 FC Schalke 04 1–1 SC Paderborn 07 2019-09-15 SC Paderborn 07 1–5 FC Schalke 04

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Dec	FC Schalke 04	H	2–4	L
30 Nov	SV 07 Elversberg	A	3–1	W
22 Nov	1. FC Nurnberg	H	3–2	W
09 Nov	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	A	1–1	D
03 Nov	Eintracht Braunschweig	H	0–0	D
30 Oct	SV Werder Bremen	H	0–1	L

FC Schalke 04

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Dec	SC Paderborn 07	A	4–2	W
29 Nov	1. FC Kaiserslautern	H	0–3	L
23 Nov	Hamburger SV	A	2–2	D
10 Nov	SSV Jahn Regensburg	H	2–0	W
01 Nov	SSV Ulm 1846	A	0–0	D
29 Oct	FC Augsburg	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

SC Paderborn 07		FC Schalke 04
#3	Position	#1
62	Points	70
34	Played	34
18 / 8 / 8	W / D / L	21 / 7 / 6
59	Scored	50
45	Conceded	31
+14	GD	+19
1.82	PPG	2.06
53%	Win %	62%

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

41% Clean Sheets
FC Schalke 04 this season

SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). FC Schalke 04 are 1st (70 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Paderborn 07

0-15

2/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

2/4

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/1

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Schalke 04

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

2/–

61-75

2/1

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. SC Paderborn 07 get us underway at Home Deluxe Arena.
5' SC Paderborn 07 is showing some good football. However, SC Paderborn 07 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Paderborn 07 and FC Schalke 04 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
12' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Koen Kostons makes it 1-0.
17' Felix Gotze has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 433 appearances.
22' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 22 minutes.
23' A goal from the Mali international Moussa Sylla! He fires home on 23 to make it 1-1!
25' The referee calls foul for Janik Bachmann. He receives a card.
30' It looks surprising FC Schalke 04 does not make any changes. Calvin Brackelmann has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Paderborn 07 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marcin Kaminski made 111 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
43' The Turkey Kenan Karaman breaks the deadlock on 43 minutes. 1-2!
46' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Sebastian Klaas on, Mika Baur off on 46 minutes.
51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
52' Felix Gotze does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Paderborn 07 surge ahead!
57' Ron Schallenberg is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Paderborn 07 so far.
58' Poor challenge from Amin Younes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
59' Christopher Antwi-Adjei gets the nod from FC Schalke 04. He replaces Amin Younes and will look to change the dynamic.
64' SC Paderborn 07 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
68' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ron-Thorben Hoffmann on 68.
69' Kenan Karaman adds to his 3 season tally! FC Schalke 04 lead 2-3 — and this changes everything.
74' Taylan Bulut has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
75' Ilyas Ansah makes way for Felix Platte at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Paderborn 07.
76' SC Paderborn 07 receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
81' It’s high time Kees van Wonderen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
83' Fresh legs for FC Schalke 04! Tomas Kalas comes on to replace Moussa Sylla.
84' The SC Paderborn 07 bench stirs into life. Laurin Curda is withdrawn and Adrian Bravo-Sanchez gets his opportunity.
86' The FC Schalke 04 manager makes a substitution. Ron Schallenberg departs to be replaced by Max Gruger.
88' A goal from the Germany international Janik Bachmann! He fires home on 88 to make it 2-4!
89' Santiago Castaneda makes way for Tjark Scheller at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Paderborn 07.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-4 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

20
Felix Gotze
30
Markus Schubert
23
Raphael Obermair
7
Filip Bilbija
4
Calvin Brackelmann
32
Aaron Zehnter
5
Santiago Castaneda ↓ Tjark Scheller 89'
17
Laurin Curda ↓ Adrian Bravo-Sanchez 84'
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Felix Platte 75'
9
Mika Baur ↓ Sebastian Klaas 46'
10
Koen Kostons ↓ Luis Engelns 75'

Bench

Coach Lukas Kwasniok

FC Schalke 04 Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

9
Moussa Sylla ↓ Tomas Kalas 83'
7
Paul Seguin
19
Kenan Karaman
35
Marcin Kaminski
8
Amin Younes ↓ Christopher Antwi-Adjei 59'
14
Janik Bachmann
6
Ron Schallenberg ↓ Max Gruger 86'
28
Justin Heekeren
23
Mehmet-Can Aydin
5
Derry Murkin
31
Taylan Bulut

Bench

Coach Kees van Wonderen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kenan Karaman	3
Florent Muslija	2
Amine Harit	2
Ahmed Kutucu	2
Dejan Ljubicic	2
Laurin Curda	1
Janik Bachmann	1
Yusuf Kabadayi	1

Head to Head

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2024-12-06 SC Paderborn 07 2–4 FC Schalke 04 L 2024-11-30 SV 07 Elversberg 1–3 SC Paderborn 07 W 2024-11-22 SC Paderborn 07 3–2 1. FC Nurnberg W 2024-11-09 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–1 SC Paderborn 07 D 2024-11-03 SC Paderborn 07 0–0 Eintracht Braunschweig D 2024-10-30 SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SV Werder Bremen L

FC Schalke 04 Form

2024-12-06 SC Paderborn 07 2–4 FC Schalke 04 W 2024-11-29 FC Schalke 04 0–3 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 2024-11-23 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Schalke 04 D 2024-11-10 FC Schalke 04 2–0 SSV Jahn Regensburg W 2024-11-01 SSV Ulm 1846 0–0 FC Schalke 04 D 2024-10-29 FC Augsburg 3–0 FC Schalke 04 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.55 SC Paderborn 07 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.86 FC Schalke 04 xG

I would bet for: SC Paderborn 07 or FC Schalke 04 74% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Paderborn 0733% Draw26% FC Schalke 0441%

Actual: FC Schalke 04 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.41

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw

59%

Draw or FC Schalke 04

67%

SC Paderborn 07 or FC Schalke 04

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SC Paderborn 0725% Draw41% FC Schalke 0434%

Actual: FC Schalke 04 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted

2 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

10.4%

1 – 2

8.5%

2 – 1

7.1%

2 – 2

6.6%

0 – 2

5.7%

0 – 1

5.5%

1 – 3

5.3%

0 – 0

4.8%

1 – 0

4.5%

2 – 3

4.1%

2 – 0

3 – 1

3.7%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap	SC Paderborn 07 covers	Push	FC Schalke 04 covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	16%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	56%	—	44%
+1	56%	19%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	13%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

FC Schalke 04 keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.