SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- FC Schalke 04 34 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Kampka
- Assistant 1 Marcel Gasteier
- Assistant 2 Martin Wilke (Germany)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | FC Schalke 04 | H | 2–4 | L |
| 30 Nov | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Nov | 1. FC Nürnberg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 4–2 | W |
| 29 Nov | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | Hamburger SV | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Nov | SSV Jahn Regensburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | SSV Ulm 1846 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Oct | FC Augsburg | A | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
88%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' SC Paderborn 07 have kicked off against FC Schalke 04. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Paderborn 07 and FC Schalke 04 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' It looks surprising SC Paderborn 07 does not make any changes. Max Gruger has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 12' Koen Kostons does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Paderborn 07 surge ahead!
- 17' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 22' SC Paderborn 07 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 23' Moussa Sylla makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and FC Schalke 04 are in front.
- 25' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Janik Bachmann on 25 minutes.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. SC Paderborn 07 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 40' A quiet spell here at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 43' The Turkey Kenan Karaman breaks the deadlock on 43 minutes. 1-2!
- 46' It is a substitution in SC Paderborn 07 team. Mika Baur is replaced by Sebastian Klaas on 46 minute.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 52' Assisted by Aaron Zehnter with the perfectly-timed delivery and Felix Gotze makes no mistake. 2-2!
- 57' Raphael Obermair needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Amin Younes.
- 59' Another substitution for FC Schalke 04 to replace Amin Younes by Christopher Antwi-Adjei on 59 minute.
- 64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 68' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ron-Thorben Hoffmann on 68 minutes.
- 69' Kenan Karaman does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Schalke 04 surge ahead!
- 74' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Schalke 04 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 75' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Felix Platte on, Ilyas Ansah off on 75 minutes.
- 76' Controversy at the stadium! Sebastian Klaas argues furiously but the card stands.
- 81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 83' Tomas Kalas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Moussa Sylla on 83 minute.
- 84' A change in the SC Paderborn 07 ranks — Laurin Curda exits the field as Adrian Bravo-Sanchez enters on 84.
- 86' Fresh legs for FC Schalke 04! Max Gruger comes on to replace Ron Schallenberg.
- 88' Janik Bachmann makes no mistake. The score reads 2-4 and FC Schalke 04 are in front.
- 89' Tjark Scheller has so much to prove this time. He replaces Santiago Castaneda on 89 minute.
- The points are shared — SC Paderborn 07 2-4 FC Schalke 04. Honours even.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 20
- 30
- 23
- 7
- 4
- 32
- 5
- 17
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Felix Platte 75'
-
9
Mika Baur ↓ Sebastian Klaas 46'
-
10
Koen Kostons ↓ Luis Engelns 75'
Bench
- 8
- 1
-
36
Felix Platte ↑ 75'
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 46'
- 33
- 19
-
42
Adrian Bravo-Sanchez ↑ 84'
-
25
Tjark Scheller ↑ 89'
-
46
Luis Engelns ↑ 75'
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
FC Schalke 04 Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
9
Moussa Sylla ↓ Tomas Kalas 83'
- 7
- 19
- 35
- 8
- 14
-
6
Ron Schallenberg ↓ Max Gruger 86'
- 28
- 23
- 5
- 31
Bench
-
26
Tomas Kalas ↑ 83'
- 1
-
18
Christopher Antwi-Adjei ↑ 59'
- 30
- 24
- 2
- 15
- 17
-
37
Max Gruger ↑ 86'
Coach
Kees van Wonderen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kenan Karaman | 3 |
| Dejan Ljubicic | 2 |
| Florent Muslija | 2 |
| Amine Harit | 2 |
| Ahmed Kutucu | 2 |
| Cauly | 1 |
| Keke Topp | 1 |
| Klaus Gjasula | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2024-12-06
SC Paderborn 07
2–4
FC Schalke 04
L
2024-11-30
SV 07 Elversberg
1–3
SC Paderborn 07
W
2024-11-22
SC Paderborn 07
3–2
1. FC Nürnberg
W
2024-11-09
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-11-03
SC Paderborn 07
0–0
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2024-10-30
SC Paderborn 07
0–1
SV Werder Bremen
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75
FC Schalke 04 xG
I would bet for:
SC Paderborn 07 or FC Schalke 04 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Schalke 04 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Schalke 04
65%
SC Paderborn 07 or FC Schalke 04
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Schalke 04 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–4 not predicted2 – 4Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
0 – 0
5.1%
1 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.9%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | FC Schalke 04 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
FC Schalke 04 keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

