SC Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

SC Freiburg

3 – 2

Full Time

Holstein Kiel

Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 33,700 HT 45' · FT 45'

Nicolai Remberg og 23' 1–0

Christian Gunter 38' 2–0

Vincenzo Grifo 74' 3–0

3–1 85' Phil Harres

3–2 90' Phil Harres

Y 37' Phil Harres

Y 45' Armin Gigovic

Y 50' Alexander Hahn

Lukas Kubler 58' Y

Michael Gregoritsch 90' Y

Y 90' Dominik Javorcek

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

SC Freiburg 9 games · 19 pts (2026/27)
Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Soren Storks
Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
Assistant 2 Markus Schuller

8 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 15.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

SC Freiburg 11 games · Avg 2.9 goals Holstein Kiel

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2018-10-31 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Freiburg 2018-02-28 SC Freiburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2017-10-01 Holstein Kiel 3–2 SC Freiburg 2017-02-19 Holstein Kiel 2–0 SC Freiburg

Recent Form

SC Freiburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Holstein Kiel	H	3–2	W
21 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–5	L
13 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–2	W
08 Dec	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	1–1	D
03 Dec	Arminia Bielefeld	A	1–3	L
30 Nov	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	3–1	W

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	SC Freiburg	A	2–3	L
21 Dec	FC Augsburg	H	5–1	W
14 Dec	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	1–4	L
07 Dec	RB Leipzig	H	0–2	L
29 Nov	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	1–3	L
24 Nov	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–3	L

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg

0-15

2/1

16-30

4/4

31-45

2/2

46-60

3/–

61-75

2/–

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SC Freiburg

Yuito Suzuki	5 G
Igor Matanovic	4 G	1 A
Maximilian Eggestein	3 G
Derry Scherhant	2 G	3 A
Yannik Engelhardt	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Europa-Park Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. SC Freiburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
10' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Freiburg and Holstein Kiel are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
23' What composure from Nicolai Remberg! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-1.
28' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
33' Merlin Rohl is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Holstein Kiel so far.
37' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 37.
38' Brilliant from the ! Christian Gunter makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 38.
43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
45' The referee has no hesitation. Armin Gigovic is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 45.
50' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Alexander Hahn will be fuming at that decision.
55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Freiburg and Holstein Kiel are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
57' Armin Gigovic makes way for Lewis Holtby at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from Holstein Kiel.
58' Lukas Kubler catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 58.
63' SC Freiburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 63.
66' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Shuto Machino by Andu Yobel Kelati on 66 minute.
69' Fresh legs for SC Freiburg! Michael Gregoritsch comes on to replace Lucas Holer.
74' Assisted by Ritsu Doan with the perfectly-timed delivery and Vincenzo Grifo makes no mistake. 2-1!
76' Maximilian Philipp is ready to make an impact after coming on for Eren Dinkci at the 76 minute mark.
81' Alexander Bernhardsson makes way for Dominik Javorcek at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Holstein Kiel.
83' The whistle greets Max Rosenfelder as he departs to be replaced by Jordy Makengo.
85' What a moment for Phil Harres! That strike on 85 puts his side firmly in control.
90' Phil Harres makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and Holstein Kiel are in front.
90' The referee shows SC Freiburg player a card on 90.
It finishes all square. SC Freiburg and Holstein Kiel share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Julian Schuster

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

18
Shuto Machino ↓ Andu Yobel Kelati 66'
1
Timon Weiner
8
Finn Porath
17
Timo Becker
3
Marco Komenda
37
Armin Gigovic ↓ Lewis Holtby 57'
22
Nicolai Remberg
19
Phil Harres
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 66'
11
Alexander Bernhardsson ↓ Dominik Javorcek 81'
26
David Zec

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Phil Harres	2
Lucas Holer	1
Johan Manzambi	1
David Kinsombi	1
Janni-Luca Serra	1
Nils Petersen	1
Vincenzo Grifo	1
Christian Gunter	1

Head to Head

SC Freiburg Form

2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel W 2024-12-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 SC Freiburg L 2024-12-13 SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-12-08 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 SC Freiburg D 2024-12-03 Arminia Bielefeld 3–1 SC Freiburg L 2024-11-30 SC Freiburg 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach W

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel L 2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel 5–1 FC Augsburg W 2024-12-14 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-12-07 Holstein Kiel 0–2 RB Leipzig L 2024-11-29 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.94 SC Freiburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.44 Holstein Kiel xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Freiburg50% Draw24% Holstein Kiel26%

Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw

74%

Draw or Holstein Kiel

50%

SC Freiburg or Holstein Kiel

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SC Freiburg36% Draw41% Holstein Kiel23%

Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.4%

2 – 1

8.9%

1 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 0

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

4.2%

3 – 2

Actual

3 – 0

0 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap	SC Freiburg covers	Push	Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	20%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	15%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.