Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
SC Freiburg
3 – 2
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 33,700 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nicolai Remberg og 23' 1–0
Christian Gunter 38' 2–0
Vincenzo Grifo 74' 3–0
3–1 85' Phil Harres
3–2 90' Phil Harres
Y 37' Phil Harres
Y 45' Armin Gigovic
Y 50' Alexander Hahn
Lukas Kubler 58' Y
Michael Gregoritsch 90' Y
Y 90' Dominik Javorcek

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Soren Storks
  • Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
  • Assistant 2 Markus Schuller
17 games this season 🟨 0.5/game ⚽ 3.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

5
3
3
SC Freiburg 11 games · Avg 2.9 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2018-10-31 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Freiburg 2018-02-28 SC Freiburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2017-10-01 Holstein Kiel 3–2 SC Freiburg 2017-02-19 Holstein Kiel 2–0 SC Freiburg

Recent Form

SC Freiburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Holstein Kiel H 3–2 W
21 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–5 L
13 Dec VfL Wolfsburg H 3–2 W
08 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
03 Dec Arminia Bielefeld A 1–3 L
30 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–1 W
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan SC Freiburg A 2–3 L
21 Dec FC Augsburg H 5–1 W
14 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–4 L
07 Dec RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–3 L
24 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SC Freiburg is hosting Holstein Kiel for another epic battle.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' David Zec has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shuto Machino suffering a number of foals already.
  • 23' Holstein Kiel is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nicolai Remberg on 23.
  • 28' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 33' SC Freiburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 37' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 37.
  • 38' GOAL! Christian Gunter scores on 38.
  • 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Maximilian Eggestein made 414 appearances and scored 23 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Armin Gigovic. He receives a card.
  • 50' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Alexander Hahn gets a card.
  • 55' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 57' The whistle greets Armin Gigovic as he departs to be replaced by Lewis Holtby.
  • 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lukas Kubler on 58.
  • 63' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 66' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Shuto Machino by Andu Yobel Kelati on 66 minute.
  • 69' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Lucas Holer is replaced by Michael Gregoritsch.
  • 74' Goal! Vincenzo Grifo scores his 76 goal in 407 matches.
  • 76' Maximilian Philipp is replacing Eren Dinkci for the SC Freiburg side.
  • 81' Dominik Javorcek is replacing Alexander Bernhardsson for the Holstein Kiel side.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Jordy Makengo. He replaces Max Rosenfelder on 83 minute.
  • 85' What a strike from Phil Harres! The score is 2-2.
  • 90' Phil Harres with the second goal in the match!
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Michael Gregoritsch.
  • Another three points for SC Freiburg.

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Julian Schuster

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Phil Harres 2
Lucas Holer 1
Johan Manzambi 1
David Kinsombi 1
Janni-Luca Serra 1
Nils Petersen 1
Vincenzo Grifo 1
Christian Gunter 1

Head to Head

2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2018-10-31 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Freiburg 2018-02-28 SC Freiburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2017-10-01 Holstein Kiel 3–2 SC Freiburg 2017-02-19 Holstein Kiel 2–0 SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg Form

2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel W 2024-12-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 SC Freiburg L 2024-12-13 SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-12-08 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 SC Freiburg D 2024-12-03 Arminia Bielefeld 3–1 SC Freiburg L 2024-11-30 SC Freiburg 3–1 Borussia Monchengladbach W

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel L 2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel 5–1 FC Augsburg W 2024-12-14 Borussia Monchengladbach 4–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-12-07 Holstein Kiel 0–2 RB Leipzig L 2024-11-29 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg50% Draw24% Holstein Kiel26%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
74%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
50%
SC Freiburg or Holstein Kiel
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg36% Draw41% Holstein Kiel23%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 20% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.