SC Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

SC Freiburg

3 – 2

Full Time

Holstein Kiel

Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 33,700 HT 45' · FT 45'

Nicolai Remberg og 23' 1–0

Christian Gunter 38' 2–0

Vincenzo Grifo 74' 3–0

3–1 85' Phil Harres

3–2 90' Phil Harres

Y 37' Phil Harres

Y 45' Armin Gigovic

Y 50' Alexander Hahn

Lukas Kubler 58' Y

Michael Gregoritsch 90' Y

Y 90' Dominik Javorcek

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

SC Freiburg 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Soren Storks
Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
Assistant 2 Markus Schuller

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

SC Freiburg 11 games · Avg 2.9 goals Holstein Kiel

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2018-10-31 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Freiburg 2018-02-28 SC Freiburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2017-10-01 Holstein Kiel 3–2 SC Freiburg 2017-02-19 Holstein Kiel 2–0 SC Freiburg

Recent Form

SC Freiburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Holstein Kiel	H	3–2	W
21 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–5	L
13 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–2	W
08 Dec	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	1–1	D
03 Dec	Arminia Bielefeld	A	1–3	L
30 Nov	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	3–1	W

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	SC Freiburg	A	2–3	L
21 Dec	FC Augsburg	H	5–1	W
14 Dec	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	1–4	L
07 Dec	RB Leipzig	H	0–2	L
29 Nov	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	1–3	L
24 Nov	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–3	L

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Europa-Park Stadion. Ninety minutes of football awaits between SC Freiburg and Holstein Kiel.
5' Noah Atubolu, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Freiburg and Holstein Kiel are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
20' Holstein Kiel fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
23' Nicolai Remberg makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Holstein Kiel are in front.
28' Over 28 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
33' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Freiburg and Holstein Kiel are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
37' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 37.
38' A stunning finish from Christian Gunter — that came from absolutely nowhere!
43' It’s high time Julian Schuster made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Armin Gigovic.
50' The referee calls foul for Alexander Hahn. He receives a card.
55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
57' The Holstein Kiel bench stirs into life. Armin Gigovic is withdrawn and Lewis Holtby gets his opportunity.
58' Lukas Kubler is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
63' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
66' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Shuto Machino is replaced by Andu Yobel Kelati.
69' SC Freiburg make a change. Lucas Holer trudges off to be replaced by Michael Gregoritsch on 69 minutes.
74' The Italy Vincenzo Grifo breaks the deadlock on 74 minutes. 2-1!
76' Eren Dinkci makes way for Maximilian Philipp at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Freiburg.
81' Dominik Javorcek is replacing Alexander Bernhardsson for the Holstein Kiel side.
83' The crowd applauds Max Rosenfelder as he leaves the pitch. Jordy Makengo steps in for SC Freiburg.
85' Goal! Phil Harres scores his 15 goal in 3 matches.
90' Phil Harres doubles the advantage! 2-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
90' SC Freiburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
With this win, SC Freiburg is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Julian Schuster

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

18
Shuto Machino ↓ Andu Yobel Kelati 66'
1
Timon Weiner
8
Finn Porath
17
Timo Becker
3
Marco Komenda
37
Armin Gigovic ↓ Lewis Holtby 57'
22
Nicolai Remberg
19
Phil Harres
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 66'
11
Alexander Bernhardsson ↓ Dominik Javorcek 81'
26
David Zec

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Phil Harres	2
Christian Gunter	1
Lasse Rosenboom	1
Lucas Holer	1
Johan Manzambi	1
David Kinsombi	1
Janni-Luca Serra	1
Nils Petersen	1

Head to Head

SC Freiburg Form

2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel W 2024-12-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 SC Freiburg L 2024-12-13 SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-12-08 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 SC Freiburg D 2024-12-03 Arminia Bielefeld 3–1 SC Freiburg L 2024-11-30 SC Freiburg 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach W

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel L 2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel 5–1 FC Augsburg W 2024-12-14 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-12-07 Holstein Kiel 0–2 RB Leipzig L 2024-11-29 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.94 SC Freiburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.44 Holstein Kiel xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Freiburg50% Draw24% Holstein Kiel26%

Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw

74%

Draw or Holstein Kiel

50%

SC Freiburg or Holstein Kiel

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SC Freiburg36% Draw41% Holstein Kiel23%

Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.4%

2 – 1

8.9%

1 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 0

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

4.2%

3 – 2

Actual

3 – 0

0 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap	SC Freiburg covers	Push	Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	20%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	15%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.