Saturday , 26 September 2026

Gremio FBPA vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 4 Jun 2023 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 29' Alan Franco
Y 30' Alan Franco
Reinaldo 82' Y
Mila 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs São Paulo FC — Serie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jun São Paulo FC H 2–1 W
27 May CA Paranaense A 2–1 W
21 May SC Internacional H 3–1 W
14 May Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
11 May SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
07 May RB Bragantino H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jun Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
28 May Goiás EC H 2–1 W
20 May CR Vasco da Gama H 4–2 W
14 May SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
11 May Fortaleza EC A 0–0 D
07 May SC Internacional H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA São Paulo FC
#17 Position #11
29 Points 36
28 Played 27
7 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
30 Scored 32
38 Conceded 30
-8 GD +2
1.04 PPG 1.33
25% Win % 37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Sao Paulo FC get us underway at .
  • 5' A quiet spell here at . Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Grêmio FBPA are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's shape.
  • 15' Goal! Jonathan Calleri scores his 63 goal in 270 matches.
  • 20' Luis Suarez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 11 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 29' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alan Franco on 29.
  • 30' Poor challenge from Alan Franco. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 31' Franco Cristaldo is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 36' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 39' A goal from the Brazil international Reinaldo! He fires home on 39 to make it 0-3!
  • 44' Sao Paulo FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 46' Rai Ramos makes way for Nathan at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 51' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joao Pedro is hanging Fabio on the field on 51 minute.
  • 56' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 61' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Grêmio FBPA and Sao Paulo FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 63' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Franco Cristaldo is withdrawn and Everton gets his opportunity.
  • 66' Luciano gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Alisson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' Grêmio FBPA started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
  • 76' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 81' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 82' Poor challenge from Reinaldo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 84' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Luis Suarez by Vina on 84 minute.
  • 88' Mila picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.3 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA44% Draw29% São Paulo FC27%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
72%
Draw or São Paulo FC
56%
Gremio FBPA or São Paulo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA28% Draw50% São Paulo FC22%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.