São Paulo FC vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Fortaleza EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | Botafogo FR | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | São Paulo FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | SC Recife | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | SC Internacional | H | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Morumbi will turn into a battlefield for São Paulo FC and Fortaleza EC.
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 10' Fortaleza EC have won 352 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' Brazil international Breno Lopes has been a key figure this campaign — 4 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. Fortaleza EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 30' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 35' The travelling Fortaleza EC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 43' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Lucas Ferreira gets a card.
- 48' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Lucas Ferreira has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 53' Fortaleza EC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 58' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 61' A moment of madness from Joao Ricardo on 61 minutes earns him a card. Fortaleza EC will be frustrated.
- 65' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Ferreira trudges off to be replaced by Lucas Moura on 65 minutes.
- 69' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Breno Lopes is replaced by Marinho on 69 minute.
- 73' That looks like a foul for a card for Gustavo.
- 78' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both São Paulo FC and Fortaleza EC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 80' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Deyverson comes on to replace Juan Lucero.
- 81' David Luiz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gustavo at the 81 minute mark.
- 84' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Lucas Ferreira has done his job and it is now time for Ryan Rodrigues to step up.
- 89' São Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- It finishes all square. São Paulo FC and Fortaleza EC share the spoils 0-0.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 18
- 28
- 17
- 32
- 11
- 22
- 23
- 21
- 48
- 47
Bench
- 10
- 93
- 6
- 7
- 35
- 36
- 15
- 50
- 43
- 49
- 45
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 22
- 20
- 6
- 88
- 13
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Deyverson 80'
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Marinho 69'
- 14
- 8
-
39
Gustavo ↓ David Luiz 81'
Bench
-
11
Marinho ↑ 69'
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 80'
-
23
David Luiz ↑ 81'
- 5
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 80'
- 10
- 17
- 12
- 77
- 38
- 19
- 41
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 3 |
| Robson | 3 |
| Wellington Paulista | 2 |
| Juan Lucero | 2 |
| David | 2 |
| Martin Nicolas Benitez | 1 |
| Hernanes | 1 |
| Luciano Neves | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 72% + São Paulo FC or Draw 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 2.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
63%
São Paulo FC or Fortaleza EC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
2.9%
3 – 0
2.2%
3 – 1
2.1%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 21% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 19% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.