São Paulo FC vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Fortaleza EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | Botafogo FR | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | São Paulo FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | SC Recife | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | SC Internacional | H | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sao Paulo FC launch into their encounter with Fortaleza EC.
- 5' Gustavo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 266 appearances.
- 10' The travelling Fortaleza EC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Benjamin Kuscevic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' Argentina international Alan Franco has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 40' Sao Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 43' Lucas Ferreira picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 53' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. Fortaleza EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 58' It is a cagey affair so far. Sao Paulo FC in their trying to find a way past Fortaleza EC's compact .
- 61' Joao Ricardo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 65' Lucas Moura is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ferreira at the 65 minute mark.
- 69' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Marinho on, Breno Lopes off on 69 minutes.
- 73' Controversy at the stadium! Gustavo argues furiously but the card stands.
- 78' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 80' Deyverson gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Juan Lucero and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Luiz is hanging Gustavo on the field on 81 minute.
- 84' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Lucas Ferreira is replaced by Ryan Rodrigues.
- 89' Nahuel Ferraresi, a Venezuela , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 18
- 28
- 17
- 32
- 11
- 22
- 23
- 21
- 48
- 47
Bench
- 10
- 93
- 6
- 7
- 35
- 36
- 15
- 50
- 43
- 49
- 45
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 22
- 20
- 6
- 88
- 13
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Deyverson 80'
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Marinho 69'
- 14
- 8
-
39
Gustavo ↓ David Luiz 81'
Bench
-
11
Marinho ↑ 69'
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 80'
-
23
David Luiz ↑ 81'
- 5
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 80'
- 10
- 17
- 12
- 77
- 38
- 19
- 41
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 3 |
| Robson | 3 |
| Juan Lucero | 2 |
| David | 2 |
| Wellington Paulista | 2 |
| Jose Welison | 1 |
| Gabriel | 1 |
| Andre Silva | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 72% + São Paulo FC or Draw 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 2.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
63%
São Paulo FC or Fortaleza EC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
2.9%
3 – 0
2.2%
3 – 1
2.1%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 21% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 19% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.