Saturday , 26 September 2026

Botafogo FR vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 16 Apr 2025 · 21:30 UTC Estadio Nilton Santos HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr São Paulo FC H 2–2 D
12 Apr RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
06 Apr EC Juventude H 2–0 W
30 Mar SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
11 Dec CF Pachuca H 0–3 L
08 Dec São Paulo FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
13 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
06 Apr CA Mineiro A 0–0 D
29 Mar SC Recife H 0–0 D
08 Dec Botafogo FR A 1–2 L
04 Dec EC Juventude H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Botafogo FR São Paulo FC
#12 Position #11
35 Points 36
28 Played 27
9 / 8 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
41 Scored 32
45 Conceded 30
-4 GD +2
1.25 PPG 1.33
32% Win % 37%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Botafogo FR are 12th (35 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
2/4
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
4/3
76+
8/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 9 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Botafogo FR to score. At the same time, Sao Paulo FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Matheus needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 21' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ferreira makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 24' What a strike from Jefferson Savarino! The score is 1-1.
  • 29' The 23-year-old Cuiabano has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 34' Brazil international Marcos Antonio has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 35' Andre Silva is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jonathan Calleri at the 35 minute mark.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Estadio Nilton Santos. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rafael Monteiro made 479 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 50' Botafogo FR are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
  • 53' It’s gonna be a card for Matheus.
  • 58' The Brazil Andre Silva breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 1-2!
  • 63' Botafogo FR ring the changes. Gregore has done his job and it is now time for Patrick de Paula to step up.
  • 65' Wendell makes way for Enzo Diaz at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 66' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 66.
  • 71' Botafogo FR currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 76' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Matheus Martins is replaced by Gonzalo Mastriani on 81 minute.
  • 84' Igor Jesus makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Botafogo FR are in front.
  • 87' Nahuel Ferraresi makes way for Rodrigo Huendra at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 88' Another change for Botafogo FR made on 88 minute. Artur Guimaraes leaves to be changed by Jeffinho.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Robert Arboleda is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.66 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Botafogo FR or São Paulo FC 75% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR44% Draw25% São Paulo FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
69%
Draw or São Paulo FC
56%
Botafogo FR or São Paulo FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR31% Draw43% São Paulo FC26%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.3%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.