Saturday , 26 September 2026

SE Palmeiras vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
SE Palmeiras
1 – 0
Full Time
São Paulo FC
Sun 11 May 2025 · 20:30 UTC Arena Barueri HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 31' Ruan
Joaquin Piquerez 85' Y
Y 90' Nahuel Ferraresi

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Barueri.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 São Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

13
5
3
SE Palmeiras 21 games · Avg 2.4 goals São Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-04-29 São Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 São Paulo FC 2023-06-11 São Paulo FC 0–2 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May São Paulo FC H 1–0 W
04 May CR Vasco da Gama A 1–0 W
27 Apr EC Bahia H 0–1 L
20 Apr Fortaleza EC A 2–1 W
16 Apr SC Internacional A 1–0 W
12 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
03 May Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Ceará SC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Santos FC H 2–1 W
16 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
13 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras São Paulo FC
#2 Position #11
57 Points 36
28 Played 27
16 / 9 / 3 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
47 Scored 32
21 Conceded 30
+26 GD +2
2.04 PPG 1.33
57% Win % 37%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! SE Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 377 games and scored 411 goals.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' It’s high time Abel Ferreira made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Estevao is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SE Palmeiras so far.
  • 25' Nahuel Ferraresi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
  • 26' Enzo Diaz gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Wendell and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 31' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 36' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 41' The 35-year-old Cedric has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 51' SE Palmeiras is showing some good football. However, SE Palmeiras are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 55' Lucas Ferreira has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cedric on 55 minute.
  • 56' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 56 minute. Matheus leaves to be changed by Oscar.
  • 61' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 62' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Richard Rios is replaced by Felipe Anderson on 62 minute.
  • 65' Allan makes way for Lucas Evangelista at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
  • 66' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 66 minute. Paulinho leaves to be changed by Mauricio.
  • 71' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Ferreira is replaced by Luciano.
  • 79' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Estevao has done his job and it is now time for Vitor Roque to step up.
  • 80' Raphael Veiga is ready to make an impact after coming on for Anibal Moreno at the 80 minute mark.
  • 85' Joaquin Piquerez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 85.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nahuel Ferraresi.
  • Another three points for SE Palmeiras.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Breno Lopes 3
Luciano 3
Jose Manuel Lopez 3
Vitor Roque 3
Joaquin Piquerez 2
Willian 2
Gustavo Gomez 2
Gabriel Sara 2

Head to Head

2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-04-29 São Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 São Paulo FC 2023-06-11 São Paulo FC 0–2 SE Palmeiras

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 São Paulo FC W 2025-05-04 CR Vasco da Gama 0–1 SE Palmeiras W 2025-04-27 SE Palmeiras 0–1 EC Bahia L 2025-04-20 Fortaleza EC 1–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-04-16 SC Internacional 0–1 SE Palmeiras W 2025-04-12 SE Palmeiras 2–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W

São Paulo FC Form

2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-05-03 São Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC D 2025-04-26 Ceará SC 1–1 São Paulo FC D 2025-04-20 São Paulo FC 2–1 Santos FC W 2025-04-16 Botafogo FR 2–2 São Paulo FC D 2025-04-13 São Paulo FC 1–1 Cruzeiro EC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.54 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.54 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 66% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras62% Draw25% São Paulo FC13%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
87%
Draw or São Paulo FC
38%
SE Palmeiras or São Paulo FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras40% Draw51% São Paulo FC9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.6%
2 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
2.8%
1 – 2
2.7%
2 – 2
2.2%
4 – 1
1.7%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 19% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 28% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
58% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.