Wednesday , 11 November 2026

SE Palmeiras vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
SE Palmeiras
1 – 0
Full Time
São Paulo FC
Sun 11 May 2025 · 20:30 UTC Arena Barueri HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 31' Ruan
Joaquin Piquerez 85' Y
Y 90' Nahuel Ferraresi

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Barueri.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

13
5
3
SE Palmeiras 21 games · Avg 2.4 goals São Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-04-29 São Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 São Paulo FC 2023-06-11 São Paulo FC 0–2 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May São Paulo FC H 1–0 W
04 May CR Vasco da Gama A 1–0 W
27 Apr EC Bahia H 0–1 L
20 Apr Fortaleza EC A 2–1 W
16 Apr SC Internacional A 1–0 W
12 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
03 May Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Ceará SC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Santos FC H 2–1 W
16 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
13 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras São Paulo FC
#2 Position #10
73 Points 44
34 Played 34
21 / 10 / 3 W / D / L 12 / 8 / 14
62 Scored 39
23 Conceded 39
+39 GD +0
2.15 PPG 1.29
62% Win % 35%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
47% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 10 G 7 A
Mauricio 10 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 6 G 3 A
Vitor Roque 5 G 1 A
Allan 4 G 3 A
São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SE Palmeiras and Sao Paulo FC has kicked off!
  • 5' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SE Palmeiras and Sao Paulo FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 26' Enzo Diaz has so much to prove this time. He replaces Wendell on 26 minute.
  • 31' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 31.
  • 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 41' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 46' Pablo Maia has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 55' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Cedric exits the field as Lucas Ferreira enters on 55.
  • 56' Oscar is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matheus at the 56 minute mark.
  • 61' SE Palmeiras started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
  • 62' Richard Rios makes way for Felipe Anderson at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
  • 65' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Allan is replaced by Lucas Evangelista on 65 minute.
  • 66' SE Palmeiras make a change. Paulinho trudges off to be replaced by Mauricio on 66 minutes.
  • 71' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Murilo Cerqueira scoring 1 goals.
  • 75' Ferreira makes way for Luciano at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 79' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 79 minute. Estevao leaves to be changed by Vitor Roque.
  • 80' SE Palmeiras make a change. Anibal Moreno trudges off to be replaced by Raphael Veiga on 80 minutes.
  • 85' That looks like a foul for a card for Joaquin Piquerez.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Nahuel Ferraresi is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 90.
  • SE Palmeiras celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Breno Lopes 3
Luciano 3
Jose Manuel Lopez 3
Vitor Roque 3
Joaquin Piquerez 2
Willian 2
Gustavo Gomez 2
Gabriel Sara 2

Head to Head

2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 São Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-04-29 São Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 São Paulo FC 2023-06-11 São Paulo FC 0–2 SE Palmeiras

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 São Paulo FC W 2025-05-04 CR Vasco da Gama 0–1 SE Palmeiras W 2025-04-27 SE Palmeiras 0–1 EC Bahia L 2025-04-20 Fortaleza EC 1–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-04-16 SC Internacional 0–1 SE Palmeiras W 2025-04-12 SE Palmeiras 2–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W

São Paulo FC Form

2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-05-03 São Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC D 2025-04-26 Ceará SC 1–1 São Paulo FC D 2025-04-20 São Paulo FC 2–1 Santos FC W 2025-04-16 Botafogo FR 2–2 São Paulo FC D 2025-04-13 São Paulo FC 1–1 Cruzeiro EC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.64 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.5 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 67% + SE Palmeiras to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras64% Draw24% São Paulo FC12%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
89%
Draw or São Paulo FC
36%
SE Palmeiras or São Paulo FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras43% Draw49% São Paulo FC8%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
15.3%
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
10.2%
3 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
3.4%
1 – 2
2.3%
2 – 2
2%
4 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 20% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 28% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 8% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
61% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.