Wednesday , 30 September 2026

PFK Sochi vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Tue 21 Apr 2026 · 14:30 UTC Fisht Olympic Stadium 2,854 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Ivan Oleynikov
Marcelo Alves 48' 1–1
Marcelo Alves 90+9' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Sochi vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — RFPL at Fisht Olympic Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Vladimir Moskalev
  • Assistant 1 Dmitriy Mosyakin
  • Assistant 2 Mikhail Ivanov (Russia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–1 W
17 Apr FK Rostov A 1–0 W
12 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–0 W
06 Apr FK Rubin Kazan H 0–1 L
21 Mar FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 0–4 L
14 Mar FK Krasnodar H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr PFK Sochi A 1–2 L
18 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–1 D
11 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny H 2–2 D
04 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 1–2 L
22 Mar FK Rubin Kazan H 0–0 D
15 Mar FK Nizhny Novgorod A 0–3 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
Ivan Oleynikov 3 G 3 A
Martin Kramaric 2 G 1 A
Nikita Chernov 2 G
Amar Rahmanovic 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.35 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
I would bet for: PFK Sochi or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi42% Draw28% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara30%
Actual: PFK Sochi win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
70%
Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
58%
PFK Sochi or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Sochi28% Draw48% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara24%
Actual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.