Thursday , 2 July 2026

PFK Sochi vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Tue 21 Apr 2026 · 14:30 UTC Fisht Olympic Stadium 2,854 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Ivan Oleynikov
Marcelo Alves 48' 1–1
Marcelo Alves 90+9' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Sochi vs PFK Krylya Sovetov SamaraRFPL at Fisht Olympic Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Vladimir Moskalev
  • Assistant 1 Dmitriy Mosyakin
  • Assistant 2 Mikhail Ivanov (Russia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–1 W
17 Apr FK Rostov A 1–0 W
12 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–0 W
06 Apr FK Rubin Kazan H 0–1 L
21 Mar FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 0–4 L
14 Mar FK Krasnodar H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr PFK Sochi A 1–2 L
18 Apr PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–1 D
11 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny H 2–2 D
04 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 1–2 L
22 Mar FK Rubin Kazan H 0–0 D
15 Mar FK Nizhny Novgorod A 0–3 L

Season Stats

PFK Sochi PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
#16 Position #11
22 Points 32
30 Played 30
6 / 4 / 20 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 14
29 Scored 35
60 Conceded 50
-31 GD -15
0.73 PPG 1.07
20% Win % 27%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
PFK Sochi this season
20% Clean Sheets
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara this season

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PFK Sochi
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
I would bet for: PFK Sochi or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi39% Draw26% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara35%
Actual: PFK Sochi win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
65%
Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
61%
PFK Sochi or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Sochi26% Draw44% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara30%
Actual: PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7%
0 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
22%
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.