RFK Akhmat Grozny vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

RFK Akhmat Grozny

3 – 1

Full Time

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Sat 16 Aug 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — RFPL .

RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 games · 32 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny 14 games · Avg 2.9 goals PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-16 RFK Akhmat Grozny 3–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2024-11-24 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2024-09-23 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2024-05-10 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2023-07-22 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Recent Form

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Aug	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	3–1	W
09 Aug	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	1–0	W
03 Aug	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	0–1	L
27 Jul	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	1–2	L
20 Jul	FK Rubin Kazan	H	0–2	L
24 May	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	0–3	L

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Aug	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	1–3	L
09 Aug	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	1–1	D
02 Aug	FK Rostov	A	4–1	W
25 Jul	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	2–0	W
19 Jul	FK Akron Tolyatti	A	1–1	D
24 May	FK Fakel Voronezh	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny		PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
#9	Position	#11
37	Points	32
30	Played	30
9 / 10 / 11	W / D / L	8 / 8 / 14
35	Scored	35
39	Conceded	50
-4	GD	-15
1.23	PPG	1.07
30%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and RFK Akhmat Grozny launch into their encounter with PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara.
RFK Akhmat Grozny celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mohamed Konate	5
Vladimir Iljin	3
Bernard Berisha	2
Denis Glushakov	2
Ablay Mbengue	2
Taras Burlak	2
Dominik Oroz	2
Artem Timofeev	1

Head to Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny Form

2025-08-16 RFK Akhmat Grozny 3–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W 2025-08-09 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2025-08-03 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2025-07-27 PFC CSKA Moskva 2–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2025-07-20 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–2 FK Rubin Kazan L 2025-05-24 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 3–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny L

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Form

2025-08-16 RFK Akhmat Grozny 3–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L 2025-08-09 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FK Baltika Kaliningrad D 2025-08-02 FK Rostov 1–4 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W 2025-07-25 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod W 2025-07-19 FK Akron Tolyatti 1–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara D 2025-05-24 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.73 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny47% Draw26% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara27%

Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 2.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw

73%

Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

53%

RFK Akhmat Grozny or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

RFK Akhmat Grozny35% Draw44% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara21%

Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.9%

2 – 1

9.2%

1 – 0

2 – 0

7.6%

0 – 0

6.8%

1 – 2

6.6%

2 – 2

5.7%

0 – 1

5.5%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap	RFK Akhmat Grozny covers	Push	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	21%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	15%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.