Sunday , 16 August 2026

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Mon 23 Sep 2024 · 15:30 UTC Akhmat Arena 4,907 HT 45' · FT 45'
Felippe Cardoso 68' 1–0
1–1 90+6' Dominik Oroz

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 1–1 D
15 Sep FK Dinamo Moskva A 2–4 L
31 Aug FK Akron Tolyatti H 0–0 D
24 Aug FK Khimki H 3–3 D
19 Aug FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–1 L
11 Aug FK Spartak Moskva A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–1 D
13 Sep FK Rubin Kazan A 2–0 W
01 Sep FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 0–1 L
25 Aug FK Nizhny Novgorod H 3–1 W
17 Aug FK Dinamo Moskva A 0–1 L
11 Aug FK Fakel Voronezh H 2–0 W

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
#9 Position #11
37 Points 32
30 Played 30
9 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 14
35 Scored 35
39 Conceded 50
-4 GD -15
1.23 PPG 1.07
30% Win % 27%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
I would bet for: RFK Akhmat Grozny or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RFK Akhmat Grozny42% Draw29% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
70%
Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
58%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny30% Draw48% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap RFK Akhmat Grozny covers Push PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
32%
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.