Saturday , 22 August 2026

Qarabag Agdam FK vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 9 Nov 2023 · 17:45 UTC Tofig Bakhramov HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Qarabag Agdam FK 4 games · Avg 4.0 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
26 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–5 L
05 Oct BK Häcken A 1–0 W
21 Sep Molde FK H 1–0 W
31 Aug NK Olimpija Ljubljana H 1–1 D
24 Aug NK Olimpija Ljubljana A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–0 W
04 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
01 Nov SV Sandhausen 1916 A 5–2 W
29 Oct SC Freiburg H 2–1 W
26 Oct Qarabag Agdam FK H 5–1 W
21 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Qarabağ Ağdam FK to score. At the same time, Bayer 04 Leverkusen does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Bayer 04 Leverkusen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Qarabağ Ağdam FK are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bayer 04 Leverkusen backline.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' A moment of madness from Kevin Medina on 25 minutes earns him a card. Qarabag Agdam FK will be frustrated.
  • 30' It’s high time Xabi Alonso made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' The referee has no hesitation. Marko Vesovic is booked for Qarabag Agdam FK — card on 35.
  • 40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Marko Jankovic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
  • 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 50' Bahlul Mustafazada is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Qarabağ Ağdam FK so far.
  • 55' Bayer 04 Leverkusen come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 60' Julio Romao has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 312 appearances.
  • 61' The whistle greets Amine Adli as he departs to be replaced by Jonas Hofmann.
  • 66' A quiet spell here at Tofig Bakhramov. Qarabağ Ağdam FK seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 68' Florian Wirtz was booked on 68.
  • 69' Bayer 04 Leverkusen receives a card for a hard tackle on 69.
  • 74' Supporters expect more eagerness from Robert Andrich, as he is very good at scoring at Tofig Bakhramov with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 79' It looks surprising Bayer 04 Leverkusen does not make any changes. Andrei Lunev has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 83' Another substitution for Qarabag Agdam FK to replace Leandro Andrade by Patrick Andrade on 83 minute.
  • 85' Qarabag Agdam FK ring the changes. Andrei Lunev has done his job and it is now time for Luka Gugeshashvili to step up.
  • 89' Bədavi Huseynov gets the nod from Qarabag Agdam FK. He replaces Elvin Cəfərquliyev and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Toral Bayramov.
  • 90' Adam Hlozek is replacing Florian Wirtz for the Bayer 04 Leverkusen side.
  • With this win, Bayer 04 Leverkusen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.03 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK24% Draw27% Bayer 04 Leverkusen49%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
51%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
76%
Qarabag Agdam FK or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK18% Draw46% Bayer 04 Leverkusen36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
9.2%
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 3
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap Qarabag Agdam FK covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 23% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
20%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.