Saturday , 22 August 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Qarabag Agdam FK, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 26 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC BayArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 games · Avg 4.0 goals Qarabag Agdam FK

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Qarabag Agdam FK H 5–1 W
21 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
08 Oct 1. FC Köln H 3–0 W
05 Oct Molde FK A 2–1 W
30 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–0 W
24 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–5 L
05 Oct BK Häcken A 1–0 W
21 Sep Molde FK H 1–0 W
31 Aug NK Olimpija Ljubljana H 1–1 D
24 Aug NK Olimpija Ljubljana A 2–0 W
17 Aug Helsingin JK A 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Bayer 04 Leverkusen launch into their encounter with Qarabağ Ağdam FK.
  • 4' The deadlock is broken! Florian Wirtz gets on the scoresheet on 4 minutes.
  • 9' Piero Hincapie has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 14' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' Florian Wirtz has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 15.
  • 16' A stunning finish from Toral Bayramov — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 19' Qarabag Agdam FK player sees a card in front of him.
  • 24' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kevin Medina is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Qarabağ Ağdam FK.
  • 29' GOAL! Alejandro Grimaldo scores on 29. Assisted by Florian Wirtz
  • 34' Juninho is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bayer 04 Leverkusen so far.
  • 35' Brilliant from the forward! Victor Boniface makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 35.
  • 40' Marko Jankovic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 43' Robert Andrich is having his name booked by the referee on 43.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Julio Romao.
  • 46' Yassine Benzia gets the nod from Qarabag Agdam FK. He replaces Matheus Silva and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 54' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alejandro Grimaldo makes it 4-1.
  • 57' The deadlock is broken! Edmond Tapsoba gets on the scoresheet on 57 minutes.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Bayer 04 Leverkusen team. Granit Xhaka is replaced by Exequiel Palacios on 62 minute.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Patrick Andrade. He replaces Marko Jankovic on 63 minute.
  • 68' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 70' The Bayer 04 Leverkusen manager makes a substitution. Florian Wirtz departs to be replaced by Adam Hlozek.
  • 71' The Qarabag Agdam FK manager makes a substitution. Leandro Andrade departs to be replaced by Nəriman Axundzadə.
  • 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Julio Romao suffering a number of foals already.
  • 77' It’s a booking for Qarabag Agdam FK player. Elvin Cəfərquliyev gets a card.
  • 80' Gustavo Puerta is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alejandro Grimaldo at the 80 minute mark.
  • 85' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 87' Hamidou Keyta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Abdellah Zoubir on 87 minute.
  • Another three points for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen66% Draw19% Qarabag Agdam FK15%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
85%
Draw or Qarabag Agdam FK
34%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Qarabag Agdam FK
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen51% Draw36% Qarabag Agdam FK13%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
7.5%
1 – 0
6.5%
4 – 1
5%
4 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Qarabag Agdam FK covers
-2.5 29% 71%
-2 29% 20% 51%
-1.5 49% 51%
-1 49% 21% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
36%
Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.