Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Qarabag Agdam FK, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 26 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC BayArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 games · Avg 4.0 goals Qarabag Agdam FK

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Qarabag Agdam FK H 5–1 W
21 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
08 Oct 1. FC Koln H 3–0 W
05 Oct Molde FK A 2–1 W
30 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–0 W
24 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–5 L
05 Oct BK Hacken A 1–0 W
21 Sep Molde FK H 1–0 W
31 Aug NK Olimpija Ljubljana H 1–1 D
24 Aug NK Olimpija Ljubljana A 2–0 W
17 Aug Helsingin JK A 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen66% Draw19% Qarabag Agdam FK15%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
85%
Draw or Qarabag Agdam FK
34%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Qarabag Agdam FK
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen51% Draw36% Qarabag Agdam FK13%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
7.5%
1 – 0
6.5%
4 – 1
5%
4 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Qarabag Agdam FK covers
-2.5 29% 71%
-2 29% 20% 51%
-1.5 49% 51%
-1 49% 21% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
36%
Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.