Thursday , 1 October 2026

Qarabag Agdam FK vs Molde FK, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 21 Sep 2023 · 16:45 UTC Tofig Bakhramov HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabag Agdam FK vs Molde FK — Europe at Tofig Bakhramov.

Match Details

  • Referee John Beaton
4 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
2
Qarabag Agdam FK 3 games · Avg 1.7 goals Molde FK

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Molde FK H 1–0 W
31 Aug NK Olimpija Ljubljana H 1–1 D
24 Aug NK Olimpija Ljubljana A 2–0 W
17 Aug Helsingin JK A 2–1 W
10 Aug Helsingin JK H 2–1 W
02 Aug RKS Rakow Czestochowa H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Qarabag Agdam FK A 0–1 L
29 Aug Galatasaray SK A 1–2 L
23 Aug Galatasaray SK H 2–3 L
15 Aug KI Klaksvik H 2–0 W
08 Aug KI Klaksvik A 1–2 L
02 Aug Helsingin JK H 2–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Molde FK gets underway.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Qarabag Agdam FK are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Molde FK backline.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Qarabag Agdam FK must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' Poor challenge from Emil Breivik. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' That is a card for Molde FK. Martin Ellingsen will be fuming at that decision.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Tofig Bakhramov. Qarabag Agdam FK seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 47' A meaty challenge results in booking for Markus Kaasa on 47.
  • 52' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 55' Qarabag Agdam FK is taking the lead after the goal scored by Leandro Andrade on 55.
  • 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 65' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Qarabag Agdam FK side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 70' Molde FK make a change. Kristoffer Haugen trudges off to be replaced by Martin Linnes on 70 minutes.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Kristian Eriksen. He replaces Markus Kaasa on 74 minute.
  • 79' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marko Jankovic made 27 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 81' Another substitution for Qarabag Agdam FK to replace Leandro Andrade by Hamidou Keyta on 81 minute.
  • 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marko Jankovic on 84.
  • 87' Maksim Medvedev makes way for Bədavi Huseynov at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Qarabag Agdam FK.
  • 88' Molde FK make a change. Veton Berisha trudges off to be replaced by Magnus Grodem on 88 minutes.
  • 89' Controversy at the stadium! Kevin Medina argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Julio Romao picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Juninho makes way for Patrick Andrade at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Qarabag Agdam FK.
  • Full Time. Qarabag Agdam FK beats Molde FK

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.19 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73 Molde FK xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK50% Draw30% Molde FK20%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
80%
Draw or Molde FK
50%
Qarabag Agdam FK or Molde FK
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK30% Draw55% Molde FK15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
10%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 2
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap Qarabag Agdam FK covers Push Molde FK covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 25% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 15% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
49% ✗
Molde FK keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.