FC Porto vs Nottingham Forest FC, Europe 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
FC Porto vs Nottingham Forest FC — Europe at Estadio Do Dragao.
- FC Porto 8 games · 17 pts (2025/26)
- Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · 14 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
- Assistant 1 Giorgio Peretti
- Assistant 2
13 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 3.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompie | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzen | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | FC Famalicão | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Mar | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Moreirense FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr | FC Porto | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | FC Midtjylland | A | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Fulham FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Mar | FC Midtjylland | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Porto | Nottingham Forest FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #13 |
| 17 | Points | 14 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 2 |
| 13 | Scored | 15 |
| 7 | Conceded | 7 |
| +6 | GD | +8 |
| 2.13 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 63% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
FC Porto this season
44%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC this season
FC Porto are 5th (17 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Porto
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Porto and Nottingham Forest FC is underway.
- 5' Nottingham Forest FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker Morgan Gibbs-White scoring 1 goals.
- 10' Nottingham Forest FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 11' William da Silva puts FC Porto on the lead.
- 13' What a strike from Martim Fernandes! The score is 2-0.
- 15' It’s a booking for FC Porto player. Gabriel Veiga gets a card.
- 19' The whistle greets Martim Fernandes as he departs to be replaced by Alberto Baio.
- 24' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Porto is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
- 34' FC Porto is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' Another substitution for Nottingham Forest FC to replace Murillo by Nikola Milenkovic on 46 minute.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Nottingham Forest FC winning 66.67% of all matches.
- 56' Murillo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 59' FC Porto manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Deniz Gul is hanging Terem Moffi on the field on 59 minute.
- 60' The Nottingham Forest FC manager makes a substitution. Morgan Gibbs-White departs to be replaced by Omari Hutchinson.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Neco Williams. He replaces Dilane Bakwa on 61 minute.
- 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 71' Nottingham Forest FC is showing some good football. However, Nottingham Forest FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 74' Time for substitution for FC Porto. Seko Fofana is replaced by Alan Varela.
- 79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nottingham Forest FC that had 372 games and scored 433 goals.
- 84' Supporters expect more eagerness from Thiago Silva, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Do Dragao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 89' It looks surprising Nottingham Forest FC does not make any changes. Chris Wood has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
FC Porto Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 13
- 5
- 3
-
42
Seko Fofana ↓ Alan Varela 74'
-
29
Terem Moffi ↓ Deniz Gul 59'
- 99
- 12
-
17
Borja Sainz ↓ Pepe 59'
-
10
Gabriel Veiga ↓ Victor Froholdt 59'
- 7
-
52
Martim Fernandes ↓ Alberto Baio 19'
Bench
- 24
-
11
Pepe ↑ 59'
- 14
- 74
-
22
Alan Varela ↑ 74'
- 4
-
20
Alberto Baio ↑ 19'
-
27
Deniz Gul ↑ 59'
-
8
Victor Froholdt ↑ 59'
- 86
- 21
- 58
Coach
Francesco Farioli
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
11
Chris Wood ↓ Igor Jesus 46'
- 22
- 10
- 27
- 16
- 4
- 14
-
29
Dilane Bakwa ↓ Neco Williams 61'
-
24
James McAtee ↓ Ibrahim Sangare 74'
-
5
Murillo ↓ Nikola Milenkovic 46'
- 44
Bench
- 20
- 7
-
6
Ibrahim Sangare ↑ 74'
- 26
- 34
-
31
Nikola Milenkovic ↑ 46'
-
3
Neco Williams ↑ 61'
-
21
Omari Hutchinson ↑ 60'
-
19
Igor Jesus ↑ 46'
- 65
- 61
- 51
Coach
Vítor Pereira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| William da Silva | 1 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Porto Form
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2026-04-09
FC Porto
1–1
Nottingham Forest FC
D
2026-03-22
Tottenham Hotspur FC
0–3
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-19
FC Midtjylland
1–5
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-15
Nottingham Forest FC
0–0
Fulham FC
D
2026-03-12
Nottingham Forest FC
0–1
FC Midtjylland
L
2026-03-04
Manchester City FC
2–2
Nottingham Forest FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15
FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Porto or Nottingham Forest FC 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
FC Porto or Draw
62%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
66%
FC Porto or Nottingham Forest FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
9.8%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — FC Porto
| Handicap | FC Porto covers | Push | Nottingham Forest FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

