FC Porto vs Nottingham Forest FC, Europe 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
FC Porto vs Nottingham Forest FC — Europe at Estadio Do Dragao.
- FC Porto 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
- Assistant 1 Giorgio Peretti
- Assistant 2
9 games this season
🟨 3.8/game
⚽ 12.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvárosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzeň | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | FC Famalicão | H | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Mar | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Moreirense FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr | FC Porto | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | FC Midtjylland | A | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Fulham FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Mar | FC Midtjylland | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Porto | Nottingham Forest FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #13 |
| 17 | Points | 14 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 2 |
| 13 | Scored | 15 |
| 7 | Conceded | 7 |
| +6 | GD | +8 |
| 2.13 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 63% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC Porto are 5th (17 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (14 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Nottingham Forest FC get us underway at Estadio Do Dragao.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 10' FC Porto are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Nottingham Forest FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 11' The Brazil William da Silva breaks the deadlock on 11 minutes. 1-0!
- 13' Martim Fernandes is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 15' FC Porto receives a card for a hard tackle on 15.
- 19' Alberto Baio is replacing Martim Fernandes for the FC Porto side.
- 24' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Porto and Nottingham Forest FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Porto and Nottingham Forest FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 39' Nottingham Forest FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
- 44' Zaidu Sanusi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nottingham Forest FC so far.
- 46' Nottingham Forest FC make a change. Murillo trudges off to be replaced by Nikola Milenkovic on 46 minutes.
- 51' Borja Sainz has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 56' Jan Bednarek, a Poland , has 48 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 59' Time for substitution for FC Porto. Terem Moffi is replaced by Deniz Gul.
- 60' Omari Hutchinson is replacing Morgan Gibbs-White for the Nottingham Forest FC side.
- 61' It is a substitution in Nottingham Forest FC team. Dilane Bakwa is replaced by Neco Williams on 61 minute.
- 66' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Zach Abbott suffering a number of foals already.
- 71' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 74' Time for substitution for FC Porto. Seko Fofana is replaced by Alan Varela.
- 79' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 84' Spain international Gabriel Veiga has been a key figure this campaign — 5 goals and 4 assists in the Array this season.
- 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nicolas Dominguez, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Do Dragao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Porto Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 13
- 5
- 3
-
42
Seko Fofana ↓ Alan Varela 74'
-
29
Terem Moffi ↓ Deniz Gul 59'
- 99
- 12
-
17
Borja Sainz ↓ Pepe 59'
-
10
Gabriel Veiga ↓ Victor Froholdt 59'
- 7
-
52
Martim Fernandes ↓ Alberto Baio 19'
Bench
- 24
-
11
Pepe ↑ 59'
- 14
- 74
-
22
Alan Varela ↑ 74'
- 4
-
20
Alberto Baio ↑ 19'
-
27
Deniz Gul ↑ 59'
-
8
Victor Froholdt ↑ 59'
- 86
- 21
- 58
Coach
Francesco Farioli
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
11
Chris Wood ↓ Igor Jesus 46'
- 22
- 10
- 27
- 16
- 4
- 14
-
29
Dilane Bakwa ↓ Neco Williams 61'
-
24
James McAtee ↓ Ibrahim Sangare 74'
-
5
Murillo ↓ Nikola Milenkovic 46'
- 44
Bench
- 20
- 7
-
6
Ibrahim Sangare ↑ 74'
- 26
- 34
-
31
Nikola Milenkovic ↑ 46'
-
3
Neco Williams ↑ 61'
-
21
Omari Hutchinson ↑ 60'
-
19
Igor Jesus ↑ 46'
- 65
- 61
- 51
Coach
Vítor Pereira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| William da Silva | 1 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Porto Form
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2026-04-09
FC Porto
1–1
Nottingham Forest FC
D
2026-03-22
Tottenham Hotspur FC
0–3
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-19
FC Midtjylland
1–5
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-15
Nottingham Forest FC
0–0
Fulham FC
D
2026-03-12
Nottingham Forest FC
0–1
FC Midtjylland
L
2026-03-04
Manchester City FC
2–2
Nottingham Forest FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15
FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Porto or Nottingham Forest FC 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
FC Porto or Draw
62%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
66%
FC Porto or Nottingham Forest FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
9.8%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — FC Porto
| Handicap | FC Porto covers | Push | Nottingham Forest FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.