Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Lille OSC vs Aston Villa FC, Europe 2025-26 LAST 16

UEFA Europa League · 2025-26
Lille OSC
0 – 1
Full Time
Aston Villa FC
Thu 12 Mar 2026 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs Aston Villa FC — Europe .

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 14.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8 21
2 Aston Villa FC 8 21
3 FC Midtjylland 8 19
4 Real Betis Balompié 8 17
5 FC Porto 8 17
6 Sporting Clube de Braga 8 17
7 SC Freiburg 8 17
8 AS Roma 8 16
9 KRC Genk 8 16
10 Bologna FC 1909 8 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 15
12 Ferencvárosi TC 8 15
13 Nottingham Forest FC 8 14
14 FC Viktoria Plzen 8 14
15 FK Crvena Zvezda 8 14
16 RC Celta de Vigo 8 13
17 PAOK Thessaloniki FC 8 12
18 Lille OSC 8 12
19 Fenerbahçe SK 8 12
20 Panathinaikos AO 8 12
21 Celtic FC 8 11
22 PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad 8 10
23 GNK Dinamo Zagreb 8 10
24 SK Brann 8 9
25 BSC Young Boys 8 9
26 SK Sturm Graz 8 7
27 FCSB Bukarest 8 7
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8 7
29 Feyenoord Rotterdam 8 6
30 FC Basel 1893 8 6
31 FC Red Bull Salzburg 8 6
32 Rangers FC 8 4
33 OGC Nice 8 3
34 FC Utrecht 8 1
35 Malmo FF 8 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv FC 8 1

Head-to-Head

2
Lille OSC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Aston Villa FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-12 Lille OSC 0–1 Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

Lille OSC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Aston Villa FC H 0–1 L
08 Mar FC Lorient H 1–1 D
01 Mar FC Nantes H 1–0 W
26 Feb FK Crvena Zvezda A 2–0 W
22 Feb Angers SCO A 1–0 W
19 Feb FK Crvena Zvezda H 0–1 L
Aston Villa FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Lille OSC A 1–0 W
04 Mar Chelsea FC H 1–4 L
27 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
21 Feb Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
11 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Lille OSC Aston Villa FC
#18 Position #2
12 Points 21
8 Played 8
4 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 1
12 Scored 14
9 Conceded 6
+3 GD +8
1.50 PPG 2.63
50% Win % 88%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Lille OSC are 18th (12 pts). Aston Villa FC are 2nd (21 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Lille OSC Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.7 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC27% Draw33% Aston Villa FC40%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
60%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
73%
Lille OSC or Aston Villa FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC15% Draw57% Aston Villa FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 2
9.6%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 0
3.7%
0 – 3
3.5%
1 – 3
2.7%
2 – 2
2.6%
2 – 3
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 15% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 25% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 13% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
50% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.