Thursday , 2 July 2026

Lille OSC vs Aston Villa FC, Europe 2025-26 LAST 16

UEFA Europa League · 2025-26
Thu 12 Mar 2026 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs Aston Villa FCEurope .

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
9 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 3.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Lille OSC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Aston Villa FC H 0–1 L
08 Mar FC Lorient H 1–1 D
01 Mar FC Nantes H 1–0 W
26 Feb FK Crvena Zvezda A 2–0 W
22 Feb Angers SCO A 1–0 W
19 Feb FK Crvena Zvezda H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Lille OSC A 1–0 W
04 Mar Chelsea FC H 1–4 L
27 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
21 Feb Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
11 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Lille OSC Aston Villa FC
#18 Position #2
12 Points 21
8 Played 8
4 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 1
12 Scored 14
9 Conceded 6
+3 GD +8
1.50 PPG 2.63
50% Win % 88%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season
60% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Lille OSC are 18th (12 pts). Aston Villa FC are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
/
16-30
2/
31-45
5/
46-60
3/
61-75
/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Lille OSC Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.7 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC27% Draw33% Aston Villa FC40%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
60%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
73%
Lille OSC or Aston Villa FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC15% Draw57% Aston Villa FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 2
9.6%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 0
3.7%
0 – 3
3.5%
1 – 3
2.7%
2 – 2
2.6%
2 – 3
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 15% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 25% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 13% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
33%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
50%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.