Sunday , 16 August 2026

Norwich City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 21 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Carrow Road 25,058 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mohamed Toure 33' 1–0
1–1 54' David Ozoh
Liam Gibbs 60' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Carrow Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
  • Assistant 1 Hugh Gilroy (England)
  • Assistant 2 Mark Russell
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Derby County FC H 2–1 W
18 Apr Bristol City FC A 4–2 W
11 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
06 Apr Millwall FC A 2–1 W
03 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
21 Mar Charlton Athletic FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Norwich City FC A 1–2 L
18 Apr Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
11 Apr Southampton FC A 1–2 L
06 Apr Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
03 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
21 Mar Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Norwich City FC Derby County FC
#24 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Norwich City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Norwich City FC are 24th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Norwich City FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.82 Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Norwich City FC or Draw 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC43% Draw35% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Norwich City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 42%
58%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Derby County FC
57%
Norwich City FC or Derby County FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Norwich City FC22% Draw64% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Norwich City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.7%
1 – 0
18%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
13%
2 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
2%
2 – 2
1.7%
3 – 1
1.4%
0 – 3
0.8%

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap Norwich City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 24% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 17% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
55%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.