Thursday , 1 October 2026

New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Wed 18 Sep 2024 · 23:30 UTC Yankee Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Philadelphia Union H 1–5 L
14 Sep D.C. United SC A 1–1 D
31 Aug Columbus Crew SC A 2–4 L
24 Aug Chicago Fire FC H 2–2 D
20 Jul Orlando City SC A 1–1 D
17 Jul Atlanta United FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep New York City FC A 5–1 W
14 Sep Internacional CF Miami A 1–3 L
31 Aug New York Red Bulls A 2–0 W
28 Aug Columbus Crew SC H 0–1 L
20 Jul Nashville SC H 3–0 W
17 Jul New England Revolution H 5–1 W

Season Stats

New York City FC Philadelphia Union
#8 Position #6
33 Points 39
27 Played 27
8 / 9 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 10
41 Scored 54
36 Conceded 44
+5 GD +10
1.22 PPG 1.44
30% Win % 41%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

New York City FC are 8th (33 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/6
76+
2/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau 15 G 4 A
Agustin Ojeda 5 G 5 A
Hannes Wolf 5 G 1 A
Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 16 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 8 G 1 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.57 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.42 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC26% Draw23% Philadelphia Union51%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
74%
New York City FC or Philadelphia Union
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC21% Draw37% Philadelphia Union42%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 1
7.8%
1 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.3%
0 – 1
4.1%
1 – 4
4%
3 – 2
3.4%
2 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 13% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 20% 36%
+1.5 64% — 36%
+2 64% 16% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.